Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18703
 
Republican Williams in KY Governor Race Never Gets Traction, Ends Where he Started, Far Back of Democrat Beshear:

Hours before votes are counted in the election for Governor of Kentucky, incumbent Democrat Steve Beshear remains where he has been all Summer and Fall, in command, and poised for comfortable re-election, according to a SurveyUSA pre-election poll conducted for the Courier-Journal newspaper and WHAS-TV in Louisville.

In 3 SurveyUSA tracking polls over 90 days, Republican David Williams never polled above 29%, and Beshear never polled below 52%. Independent Gatewood Galbraith ends where he started, at 9%. SurveyUSA's interactive tracking graphs show the lack of movement in the race.

Williams has majority support among Republicans and among Tea Party members, but that's it. He trails by 13 among men, by 23 among whites and by 35 among women. Beshear leads by 17 points in North Central KY, by 18 points in Western KY, 31 points in Eastern KY and by 36 points in Greater Louisville. Beshear gets 56% of lower-income votes, 54% of middle-income votes and 53% of upper-income votes. Williams has never led among pro-life voters, never led among gun owners, never led among those who go to church regularly, all groups typically friendly to a Republican candidate. 28% of Republicans cross-over to vote for the Democrat. By contrast, just 12% of Democrats cross-over to vote for the Republican.

Williams ends with a Minus 17 Favorability rating.
Beshear ends with a Plus 18 Favorability rating.

This survey includes cell phone respondents and landline respondents. SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Kentucky adults 10/28/11 through 11/01/11. Of the adults, 785 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 576 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/11 Gubernatorial election. This survey was conducted multimode. Landline respondents (who are 75% of adults, 79% of likely voters), were interviewed in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Cell phone respondents (who are 25% of adults, 21% of likely voters), were interviewed by call center employees, who hand-dialed the phone numbers, asked the questions, and who remained on the line until the interview was completed. In this data set, cell-phone respondents and landline respondents vote similarly.

 
If the election for Kentucky Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican David Williams? Democrat Steve Beshear? Or Independent Gatewood Galbraith?
576 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRaceCell Phone / LanParty RegistrationTea Party MemberIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Williams (R)29%35%24%31%29%29%29%31%14%****24%31%58%12%20%59%23%47%17%13%29%30%34%25%22%41%16%35%19%26%28%35%33%25%31%28%
Beshear (D)54%48%59%52%49%56%58%54%65%****51%55%28%72%38%21%62%40%64%71%57%52%52%57%57%43%68%47%67%56%54%53%51%61%48%59%
Galbraith (I)9%10%8%8%12%9%5%9%5%****7%9%7%9%24%13%8%5%11%13%9%9%7%11%13%9%10%9%9%11%8%9%4%7%13%11%
Undecided8%7%9%9%10%6%7%7%16%****18%5%7%7%18%7%7%8%8%3%5%9%7%7%8%8%6%8%5%7%10%4%12%7%9%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%11%31%34%25%92%6%0%2%21%79%37%58%5%15%79%43%35%16%46%54%53%31%16%55%41%61%36%36%38%27%23%29%32%16%
 
 
Is your opinion of David Williams ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of David Williams?
576 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRaceCell Phone / LanParty RegistrationTea Party MemberIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Favorable21%23%19%21%22%21%21%22%5%****15%23%39%11%11%39%18%32%13%13%20%22%23%20%16%29%11%24%16%21%19%23%23%16%22%25%
Unfavorable38%37%38%20%35%41%46%38%34%****24%42%24%47%32%24%42%27%46%58%45%33%36%35%49%30%51%34%45%35%35%49%29%48%38%32%
Neutral22%25%20%29%24%21%20%21%28%****22%22%24%21%28%28%20%24%24%19%20%24%21%27%18%25%21%26%18%21%27%17%22%22%22%24%
No Opinion19%15%22%30%20%18%13%18%33%****39%12%14%21%28%8%20%17%18%9%15%22%20%17%17%17%17%16%21%23%19%11%26%14%18%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%11%31%34%25%92%6%0%2%21%79%37%58%5%15%79%43%35%16%46%54%53%31%16%55%41%61%36%36%38%27%23%29%32%16%
 
 
Is your opinion of Steve Beshear ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Steve Beshear?
576 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRaceCell Phone / LanParty RegistrationTea Party MemberIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherCell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependYesNoConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KWestern LouisvilNorth CeEastern
Favorable45%43%48%39%40%48%52%45%58%****44%46%25%61%28%19%53%35%55%57%49%44%45%50%45%38%55%43%54%48%45%48%46%50%41%46%
Unfavorable27%28%25%27%29%26%24%28%11%****20%29%44%16%24%51%21%36%22%16%25%28%30%26%16%37%15%31%19%24%26%28%30%25%27%23%
Neutral22%23%22%21%26%21%20%23%17%****26%22%24%19%40%27%21%24%19%23%20%23%20%20%32%20%26%22%23%22%24%21%14%22%28%24%
No Opinion6%6%5%13%5%5%4%5%14%****10%4%7%4%9%3%5%4%3%4%6%5%6%4%7%5%4%5%4%5%5%3%9%4%4%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%11%31%34%25%92%6%0%2%21%79%37%58%5%15%79%43%35%16%46%54%53%31%16%55%41%61%36%36%38%27%23%29%32%16%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.