Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #11711 |
NH GOP PRIMARY: In a Republican Primary in New Hampshire today, Rudolph Giuliani and John McCain are tied among Republicans, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. Giuliani gets 33% of likely Republican primary votes today, McCain 32%. Mitt Romney follows with 21%. 11% would vote for some other Republican. |
NH DEMOCRAT PRIMARY: In a Democratic Primary in New Hampshire today, Hillary Rodham Clinton defeats Barack Obama and John Edwards, who tie for 2nd, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WBZ-TV Boston. Clinton gets 40% today, Obama 25%, Edwards 23%. 9% would vote for some other Democrat. Clinton runs 10 points stronger among females than males. |
FILTERING: 1,800 New Hampshire adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 1/26/07 through 1/28/07. Of them, 1,544 were registered to vote. Of them, 582 were determined to be likely Democratic Primary Voters, 412 were determined to be likely Republican Primary Voters. The New Hampshire Primary will be held in approximately twelve months, exact date TBD after other states are done repositioning their own primaries to be closer to the front of the pack. |
1 | If the Republican Primary were today, would you vote for Rudy Giuliani? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Or some other Republican? |
412 Likely Republican Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Generation | Ideology | Party | Who Did You Vote For in '04? | Abortion | Gun Ownership | Labor Union | Support Same Sex | Stem Cell Resear | Marijuana For Me | Privitize Social | Death Penalty | Global Warming | Passport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Gen Y | Gen X | Jones | Boomers | Mature | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Bush | Kerry | Other | Did Not | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | For | Against | Should | Should N | Should | Should N | Support | Oppose | Real | Made-up | Yes | No | |
Giuliani | 33% | 32% | 34% | 44% | 31% | 32% | 23% | 36% | 28% | 55% | 40% | 26% | 32% | 23% | 30% | 35% | 39% | 34% | ** | 29% | 33% | 19% | ** | ** | 28% | 36% | 36% | 29% | 45% | 30% | 42% | 31% | 34% | 27% | 34% | 29% | 30% | 35% | 34% | 29% | 32% | 32% | 33% | 33% |
McCain | 32% | 30% | 37% | 27% | 36% | 34% | 28% | 33% | 32% | 11% | 32% | 40% | 30% | 28% | 27% | 40% | 34% | 31% | ** | 34% | 32% | 50% | ** | ** | 30% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 34% | 33% | 39% | 29% | 37% | 28% | 35% | 30% | 30% | 34% | 33% | 34% | 36% | 28% | 32% | 34% |
Romney | 21% | 23% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 17% | 30% | 20% | 22% | 11% | 19% | 22% | 19% | 30% | 27% | 16% | 10% | 22% | ** | 21% | 22% | 11% | ** | ** | 26% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 12% | 23% | 8% | 25% | 16% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 27% | 16% | 20% | 19% | 17% | 27% | 24% | 17% |
Other Republican | 11% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 9% | 16% | 16% | 6% | 9% | 17% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 13% | 10% | ** | 16% | 10% | 17% | ** | ** | 12% | 10% | 9% | 13% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 13% |
Undecided | 3% | 1% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 3% | ** | 0% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 4% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Republican Primary Voters | 100% | 64% | 36% | 22% | 39% | 24% | 15% | 61% | 39% | 6% | 31% | 30% | 17% | 15% | 54% | 37% | 5% | 75% | 2% | 23% | 87% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 46% | 50% | 47% | 51% | 16% | 84% | 19% | 72% | 62% | 28% | 69% | 26% | 44% | 42% | 78% | 16% | 57% | 30% | 43% | 56% |
2 | If the Democratic Primary were today, would you vote for Hillary Rodham Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
582 Likely Democratic Primary Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Generation | Ideology | Party | Who Did You Vote For in '04? | Abortion | Gun Ownership | Labor Union | Support Same Sex | Stem Cell Resear | Marijuana For Me | Privitize Social | Death Penalty | Global Warming | Passport | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Gen Y | Gen X | Jones | Boomers | Mature | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Bush | Kerry | Other | Did Not | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | For | Against | Should | Should N | Should | Should N | Support | Oppose | Real | Made-up | Yes | No | |
Clinton | 40% | 35% | 45% | 45% | 38% | 37% | 45% | 40% | 40% | 49% | 41% | 34% | 41% | 45% | 56% | 37% | 44% | ** | 43% | 33% | 30% | 42% | 24% | ** | 39% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 34% | 41% | 40% | 41% | 40% | 46% | 39% | 38% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 41% | 39% | ** | 34% | 43% |
Edwards | 23% | 23% | 22% | 14% | 27% | 25% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 11% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 21% | 19% | 24% | 20% | ** | 23% | 21% | 21% | 24% | 14% | ** | 28% | 21% | 22% | 23% | 26% | 22% | 19% | 29% | 22% | 28% | 22% | 34% | 19% | 23% | 24% | 20% | 22% | ** | 24% | 22% |
Obama | 25% | 29% | 23% | 34% | 24% | 25% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 36% | 25% | 29% | 24% | 16% | 18% | 27% | 28% | ** | 23% | 32% | 35% | 23% | 41% | ** | 21% | 28% | 28% | 26% | 32% | 25% | 31% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 28% | 21% | 26% | 26% | 24% | 27% | 26% | ** | 29% | 25% |
Other Democrat | 9% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 9% | 9% | 16% | 7% | 12% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 8% | ** | 8% | 10% | 13% | 8% | 18% | ** | 10% | 8% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 10% | 7% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ** | 11% | 7% |
Undecided | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | ** | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | ** | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | ** | 2% | 3% |
Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 22% | 36% | 26% | 16% | 59% | 41% | 10% | 25% | 31% | 19% | 16% | 7% | 51% | 36% | 4% | 66% | 31% | 10% | 82% | 6% | 2% | 17% | 80% | 30% | 68% | 23% | 76% | 61% | 28% | 89% | 5% | 84% | 13% | 13% | 73% | 53% | 37% | 92% | 5% | 42% | 56% |