Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14024
WA 2nd CD: Democrat Larsen 18 Points Ahead in Bid for 5th Term to US House: In an election in Washington state's 2nd congressional district today, Democrat Rick Larsen, first elected to the US House of Representatives eight years ago, defeats Republican Rick Bart 56% to 38%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV Seattle. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for Larsen; 6% of Democrats cross over to vote for Bart. Independents favor Larsen by 23 points. Among men, Larsen leads by 2 points; among women, Larsen leads by 35 points. Larsen leads by 9 among voters age 18 to 49, by 26 among those age 50+. Bart, the retired sheriff of Snohomish County, has a 4:1 lead among conservatives; Larsen leads 3:1 among moderates and 11:1 among liberals.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 Washington adults 06/16/08 through 06/17/08; of the adults, 782 identified themselves as being registered to vote in Washington state. Of the registered voters, 544 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election. 37 of Washington's 39 counties vote exclusively by mail; ballots must be postmarked no later than Election Day, 11/04/08.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Rick Bart? Or, Democrat Rick Larsen?
544 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your Mind
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad
Rick Bart (R)38%47%29%44%41%38%31%42%35%37%56%45%77%6%36%77%23%8%55%35%25%64%22%35%40%
Rick Larsen (D)56%49%64%47%52%59%65%51%61%58%43%41%17%91%59%20%72%90%40%59%70%30%74%57%57%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%15%32%31%21%47%53%88%5%6%37%39%19%35%35%19%37%23%41%39%58%23%75%