Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15462
 
14 Months Before KS GOP Primary, Tiahrt and Moran Even in US Senate GOP Primary: Jerry Moran and Todd Tiahrt run even in the race for the GOP nomination to fill Sam Brownback's open US Senate seat, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KWCH-TV Wichita and KCTV-TV Kansas City. Today, Moran gets 40%, Tiahrt 38%; 22% are undecided. Moran has gained 1 point and Tiahrt has gained 3 since SurveyUSA's last tracking poll. Among men, Tiahrt, who represents Kansas' 4th Congressional District in the US House, today leads by 5 points; two months ago, Moran led among men by 6, an 11-point shift to Tiahrt. Among women, the race had been tied. Today, Moran, who represents Kansas' 1st Congressional District in the US House, leads by 11 among female voters.
 
Brownback Remains Dominant in Statehouse Nomination Run:: United States Senator Sam Brownback, first elected in a 1996 special election, continues to hold a commanding lead in the contest to win the Republican nomination to run for Kansas Governor. In a primary today, 14 months until the election, Brownback defeats Secretary of State Ron Thornburgh 3:1. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released two months ago, the race is essentially unchanged, with Brownback down 6 points and Thornburgh up 2. Thornburgh has doubled his support among voters age 35 to 49 in the past two months and increased his standing among moderates, but still trails significantly.
 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,500 Kansas adults 06/12/09 through 06/14/09. Of them, 1,295 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 453 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely voters in the August 2009 Republican Primary. Kansas political parties decide before each primary whether the primary will be open to voters who are not affiliated with any political party; SurveyUSA includes those voters here, who make up 11% of the electorate in this poll, and breaks out their results in a crosstab.
 
If the Republican Primary for Kansas Governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Sam Brownback? Or Ron Thornburgh?
453 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Brownback58%57%59%70%51%56%59%58%57%56%**92%**61%36%70%43%**62%54%66%45%42%71%38%59%59%58%58%49%69%63%
Thornburgh19%22%16%4%22%26%20%15%23%20%**8%**18%33%14%28%**21%18%16%24%28%10%37%20%20%19%21%23%15%18%
Undecided23%21%25%26%27%18%21%26%19%24%**0%**22%31%16%29%**17%28%18%31%30%19%25%21%21%23%21%28%16%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%53%47%17%28%28%26%45%55%91%1%7%1%89%11%59%35%3%53%47%65%20%15%63%35%55%41%37%63%51%31%18%
 
Kansas will also hold a Republican primary for United States Senate. If the Republican Primary for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Jerry Moran? Or Todd Tiahrt?
453 Likely GOP Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RacePartyIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KNortheasSoutheasWestern
Moran40%37%42%34%41%39%44%38%41%42%**18%**39%50%34%47%**36%42%37%47%43%32%53%44%37%43%37%38%30%61%
Tiahrt38%42%33%45%39%38%32%41%35%35%**82%**40%18%44%32%**43%33%41%35%32%44%30%37%40%35%41%30%58%25%
Undecided22%20%24%21%20%23%25%20%24%23%**0%**21%32%21%21%**21%24%23%19%25%24%17%19%23%22%22%31%12%14%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely GOP Primary Voters100%53%47%17%28%28%26%45%55%91%1%7%1%89%11%59%35%3%53%47%65%20%15%63%35%55%41%37%63%51%31%18%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.