| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17154 |
| WA-08: Movement to Democrat DelBene Among Moderates, But Republican Reichert Still Positioned to Hold Seat for GOP: In an election for US House of Representatives in Washington State's 8th Congressional District today, 09/30/10, incumbent Republican Dave Reichert defeats Democratic challenger Suzan DelBene 52% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 4 weeks ago, DelBene is up 4 points; Reichert is down 2. Among moderates, Reichert had led by 4, now trails by 17, a 21-point swing to the Democrat. Among women, DelBene had trailed by 8 points, now leads by 3, an 11-point swing to the Democrat. Men and voters age 35 to 49 account for almost all of Reichert's advantage. Reichert, first elected in 2004, leads 10:1 among Republicans. DelBene, a businesswoman and former Microsoft VP, leads 5:1 among Democrats, 17% of whom cross over to vote for the incumbent. Independents break 5:4 Republican. Washington's 8th Congressional District, first created after the 1980 census, never has been held by a Democrat. |
| Filtering: 700 registered voters from Washington's 8th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/27/10 through 09/29/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 579 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If you were filling out your ballot in the election for U.S. House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? Republican Dave Reichert? or Democrat Suzan DelBene ? |
| 579 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Dave Reichert (R) | 52% | 57% | 46% | 55% | 57% | 49% | 46% | 57% | 48% | 50% | ** | ** | 45% | 90% | 17% | 53% | 91% | 40% | 13% | 94% | 10% | 58% | 52% | 51% | 54% | 64% | 50% | 40% | 84% | 30% | 59% | 45% | 52% | 52% |
| Suzan DelBene (D) | 45% | 40% | 49% | 45% | 38% | 47% | 52% | 40% | 48% | 46% | ** | ** | 50% | 9% | 81% | 40% | 7% | 57% | 84% | 4% | 86% | 34% | 44% | 46% | 42% | 34% | 45% | 55% | 14% | 67% | 38% | 52% | 44% | 45% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 4% | ** | ** | 5% | 1% | 2% | 7% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 14% | 32% | 37% | 18% | 46% | 54% | 88% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 30% | 34% | 35% | 32% | 45% | 19% | 35% | 39% | 19% | 7% | 67% | 33% | 40% | 25% | 35% | 39% | 58% | 45% | 49% | 17% | 83% |