Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17154
 
WA-08: Movement to Democrat DelBene Among Moderates, But Republican Reichert Still Positioned to Hold Seat for GOP:

In an election for US House of Representatives in Washington State's 8th Congressional District today, 09/30/10, incumbent Republican Dave Reichert defeats Democratic challenger Suzan DelBene 52% to 45%, according to this latest exclusive KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 4 weeks ago, DelBene is up 4 points; Reichert is down 2. Among moderates, Reichert had led by 4, now trails by 17, a 21-point swing to the Democrat. Among women, DelBene had trailed by 8 points, now leads by 3, an 11-point swing to the Democrat. Men and voters age 35 to 49 account for almost all of Reichert's advantage.

Reichert, first elected in 2004, leads 10:1 among Republicans. DelBene, a businesswoman and former Microsoft VP, leads 5:1 among Democrats, 17% of whom cross over to vote for the incumbent. Independents break 5:4 Republican. Washington's 8th Congressional District, first created after the 1980 census, never has been held by a Democrat.

 
Filtering: 700 registered voters from Washington's 8th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/27/10 through 09/29/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 579 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If you were filling out your ballot in the election for U.S. House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? Republican Dave Reichert? or Democrat Suzan DelBene ?
579 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Dave Reichert (R)52%57%46%55%57%49%46%57%48%50%****45%90%17%53%91%40%13%94%10%58%52%51%54%64%50%40%84%30%59%45%52%52%
Suzan DelBene (D)45%40%49%45%38%47%52%40%48%46%****50%9%81%40%7%57%84%4%86%34%44%46%42%34%45%55%14%67%38%52%44%45%
Undecided4%3%4%0%4%5%3%3%4%4%****5%1%2%7%2%3%4%2%3%8%3%3%4%2%4%5%3%4%4%3%4%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%14%32%37%18%46%54%88%3%4%5%30%34%35%32%45%19%35%39%19%7%67%33%40%25%35%39%58%45%49%17%83%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.