Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13232
48 HRS TO SC DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY -- Obama Flat, Clinton Down, Edwards Up: Two days till the South Carolina Democratic Primary, SurveyUSA finds Barack Obama at 45%, unchanged from a week ago; Hillary Clinton at 29%, down 7 from a week ago, and John Edwards at 22%, up 7 from a week ago. Research conducted for WSPA-TV Greenville and WCSC-TV Charleston. All interviews conducted after results of the Nevada Caucus were known. Among white voters today, Clinton and Edwards are effectively tied, 37% Clinton (down 13 points from last week) to 34% Edwards (up 8 points from last week). Upstate, all 3 candidates are within 8 points of each other. In the Midlands, Obama is 2:1 atop Clinton. In the Low County, Obama and Clinton are down, Edwards is up, but Obama still leads by 15 points. More than a third of Democrats are focused on the Economy as the most important issue for the next president. Of those, Obama is backed by 48%, Clinton by 29%, Edwards by 20%. Among black voters, Obama leads 73% to 18%. Among voters under 50, Obama leads by 24. Among voters age 50+, Obama leads by 8. South Carolina is one of very few, and possibly the only Democratic primary state, where Obama leads among female voters. In most other states, Clinton has a stranglehold on women. Here in SC, Clinton led Obama by 33 points among females in November, but today, Obama is 12 atop Clinton among women.
20% May Change Their Mind: 2,100 South Carolina adults were interviewed 01/22/08 and 01/23/08. All interviews completed after contentious Democratic candidate debate in Myrtle Beach the evening of 01/21/08. Of the adults, 1,839 were registered to vote. Of them, 685 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 01/26/08 Democratic Primary. 20% of likely Democratic Primary voters say they "may" yet change their mind. Of those whose minds are made up, Obama's support is the most solid.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
685 Likely Democratic Primary VotersAllGenderRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyChange Your MindAge<50 / 50+RegionTop Issue For Next President
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemaleWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalCould ChMind Mad18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+UpstateMidlandsLow CounEconomyEnvironmHealth CIraqTerrorisSocial SEducatioImmigrat
Composition of Likely Democratic Primary Voters100%41%59%55%42%1%2%8%73%16%15%42%17%20%78%19%31%30%20%50%50%27%38%34%37%4%20%12%5%8%8%4%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.