| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #15919 |
| 14 Days To Go, NYC Mayor Bloomberg 12 Atop Thompson in Bid For 3rd Term: In an election for New York City mayor today, 10/20/09, two weeks until votes are counted, incumbent Mayor Mike Bloomberg is re-elected to a third term, defeating Democratic challenger Bill Thompson 53% to 41%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV.
Bloomberg is dominant among women, whites and Hispanics; in Manhattan, Queens and Staten Island. Thompson does best among blacks, residents of Brooklyn and The Bronx. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,100 city of New York adults 10/17/09 through 10/19/09. Of them, 962 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 583 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/03/09 general election. Although SurveyUSA produces tracking graphs for this contest, the 3 releases were not identical. SurveyUSA's 10/06/09 release identified Bloomberg as a Republican, Thompson as a Democrat (Bloomberg led by 8); SurveyUSA's 10/13 release did not include a party label for either candidate (Bloomberg led by 17). SurveyUSA's 10/19/09 release described the ballot lines on which each candidate will appear (Bloomberg leads by 12). All 3 releases rotated the candidate names. |
 | If the Election for Mayor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Mike Bloomberg, who appears on the Republican and Independence Party ballot lines? Or Bill Thompson, who appears on the Democratic and Working Family party ballot lines? |
| 583 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | $50K - $ | $100K + | Manhatta | Brooklyn | Queens | The Bron | Staten I | |
| Bloomberg | 53% | 48% | 57% | 51% | 46% | 54% | 63% | 48% | 58% | 62% | 30% | 61% | 53% | 74% | 49% | 51% | 67% | 56% | 49% | 51% | 55% | 53% | 45% | 66% | 63% | 42% | 62% | 36% | 67% |
| Thompson | 41% | 45% | 38% | 41% | 49% | 41% | 33% | 45% | 37% | 35% | 64% | 34% | 31% | 23% | 46% | 39% | 27% | 37% | 47% | 45% | 36% | 42% | 47% | 30% | 34% | 55% | 29% | 52% | 31% |
| Other/Undecided | 6% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 5% | 17% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 9% | 12% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 44% | 56% | 22% | 29% | 28% | 21% | 51% | 49% | 46% | 24% | 19% | 11% | 15% | 71% | 13% | 19% | 41% | 28% | 58% | 42% | 36% | 37% | 27% | 21% | 32% | 29% | 12% | 6% |