| Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #19575 |
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In Florida: Early 1st Reaction to Speeches at Republican Convention, Movement Towards Romney Among Persuadables -
Two-thirds of those who watched Thursday night's speeches at the Republican National Convention already had decided who they would vote for before anyone opened their mouth, but among the small but important group of persuadable speech watchers, there is 2:1 movement towards Romney, according to a SurveyUSA poll of the state of Florida conducted for WFLA-TV in Tampa. 1,211 adults were interviewed statewide 08/31/12, after Romney, Florida's Marco Rubio and Clint Eastwood spoke to the convention 08/30/12. Of the adults, 1,100 were registered to vote in Florida. Of the registered voters, 754 heard the convention speeches. Of the convention speech watchers:
* 66% did not change their mind. Caution: As expected, those who watched the speeches at the Republican National Convention were disproportionately Republican. This poll does not attempt to measure how all likely voters in the state of Florida would vote if filling out a ballot today. It attempts to measure early movement among speech-watchers only. Reaction to individual speeches broke along party lines:
* 79% of Republicans, compared to 35% of Democrats, said Romney's speech helped his chances to be elected. |
| 1 | Did you hear the speeches at last night's Republican National Convention? |
| 1100 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.8% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Yes | 69% | 75% | 62% | 62% | 68% | 71% | 73% | 65% | 72% | 71% | 58% | 69% | ** | 82% | 49% | 77% | 84% | 74% | 50% | 69% | 76% | 65% | 70% | 69% |
| No | 29% | 22% | 36% | 34% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 38% | 31% | ** | 17% | 48% | 20% | 16% | 24% | 45% | 27% | 24% | 33% | 29% | 28% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 0% | ** | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 25% | 24% | 28% | 23% | 49% | 51% | 63% | 13% | 21% | 3% | 40% | 33% | 24% | 31% | 39% | 16% | 7% | 9% | 31% | 22% | 30% |
| 2 | Did Mitt Romney's speech ... help Romney's chances to be elected? Hurt Romney's chances to be elected? Or did the speech not make a difference? |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Helped | 61% | 60% | 63% | 50% | 58% | 62% | 74% | 54% | 68% | 63% | 52% | 62% | ** | 79% | 35% | 54% | 81% | 57% | 24% | 66% | 73% | 65% | 60% | 53% |
| Hurt | 15% | 17% | 12% | 25% | 18% | 10% | 8% | 21% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 20% | ** | 8% | 26% | 18% | 9% | 12% | 36% | 15% | 10% | 11% | 16% | 19% |
| Did Not Make a Difference | 23% | 22% | 24% | 26% | 23% | 27% | 17% | 24% | 22% | 23% | 28% | 19% | ** | 13% | 37% | 27% | 9% | 30% | 36% | 16% | 16% | 23% | 22% | 28% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 3 | Did Marco Rubio's speech ... help Romney's chances to be elected? Hurt Romney's chances to be elected? Or did the speech not make a difference? |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Helped | 65% | 64% | 66% | 54% | 65% | 65% | 74% | 59% | 69% | 64% | 55% | 72% | ** | 85% | 37% | 53% | 85% | 60% | 35% | 66% | 75% | 68% | 56% | 64% |
| Hurt | 12% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 8% | 11% | 8% | 15% | 10% | 12% | 26% | 8% | ** | 5% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 13% | 41% | 10% | 12% | 8% | 17% | 13% |
| Did Not Make a Difference | 23% | 23% | 22% | 24% | 25% | 23% | 17% | 25% | 21% | 24% | 19% | 20% | ** | 10% | 33% | 34% | 10% | 28% | 24% | 24% | 13% | 24% | 27% | 21% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 4 | Did Clint Eastwood's speech ... help Romney's chances to be elected? Hurt Romney's chances to be elected? Or did the speech not make a difference? |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Helped | 41% | 44% | 36% | 42% | 32% | 38% | 51% | 37% | 44% | 40% | 41% | 40% | ** | 49% | 24% | 41% | 54% | 36% | 26% | 49% | 57% | 50% | 38% | 26% |
| Hurt | 23% | 23% | 24% | 33% | 15% | 27% | 17% | 24% | 23% | 23% | 37% | 20% | ** | 12% | 45% | 24% | 9% | 27% | 51% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 23% | 26% |
| Did Not Make a Difference | 34% | 32% | 38% | 25% | 49% | 34% | 29% | 37% | 32% | 36% | 22% | 39% | ** | 38% | 28% | 34% | 35% | 37% | 22% | 26% | 23% | 28% | 37% | 45% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 1% | ** | 1% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 5 | Was your own reaction to Mitt Romney's speech ... positive, negative or neutral? |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Positive | 64% | 66% | 62% | 51% | 67% | 63% | 74% | 59% | 68% | 65% | 54% | 65% | ** | 83% | 38% | 54% | 86% | 57% | 26% | 72% | 71% | 67% | 62% | 58% |
| Negative | 23% | 20% | 26% | 39% | 18% | 21% | 13% | 29% | 18% | 22% | 36% | 19% | ** | 9% | 48% | 24% | 7% | 27% | 60% | 22% | 21% | 17% | 28% | 25% |
| Neutral | 13% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 16% | ** | 8% | 13% | 22% | 7% | 16% | 13% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 11% | 16% |
| Not Sure | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 6 | Was your own reaction to Marco Rubio's speech ... |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Positive | 67% | 67% | 66% | 57% | 70% | 65% | 75% | 64% | 69% | 65% | 55% | 76% | ** | 84% | 38% | 61% | 84% | 61% | 31% | 63% | 75% | 68% | 60% | 68% |
| Negative | 19% | 19% | 20% | 31% | 17% | 19% | 11% | 24% | 16% | 19% | 37% | 15% | ** | 7% | 42% | 21% | 7% | 23% | 48% | 20% | 19% | 16% | 26% | 17% |
| Neutral | 14% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 15% | 16% | 6% | 9% | ** | 8% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 5% | 15% | 13% | 14% |
| Not Sure | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | ** | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 7 | Was your own reaction to Clint Eastwood's speech ... |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.6% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Positive | 49% | 54% | 44% | 48% | 54% | 43% | 54% | 51% | 48% | 45% | 43% | 62% | ** | 58% | 30% | 51% | 58% | 47% | 26% | 56% | 55% | 52% | 42% | 49% |
| Negative | 24% | 24% | 25% | 32% | 18% | 27% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 25% | 37% | 16% | ** | 12% | 45% | 26% | 11% | 26% | 58% | 14% | 20% | 22% | 31% | 25% |
| Neutral | 26% | 22% | 30% | 19% | 27% | 30% | 26% | 23% | 28% | 29% | 17% | 23% | ** | 29% | 23% | 23% | 30% | 26% | 16% | 27% | 24% | 25% | 26% | 26% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | ** | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |
| 8 | After hearing all the speeches at the Republican convention, which best describes you: Nothing changed my mind? I switched from undecided to Romney? I switched from undecided to Obama? I switched from Obama to Romney? Or I switched from Romney to Obama? |
| 754 Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | ||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian / | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | North We | North Ea | Central | South We | South Ea | |
| Nothing Changed Your Mind | 66% | 57% | 75% | 57% | 58% | 66% | 80% | 57% | 73% | 72% | 43% | 57% | ** | 79% | 66% | 39% | 75% | 56% | 72% | 79% | 63% | 61% | 65% | 68% |
| Switched From Undecided To Romney | 16% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 14% | 19% | 21% | ** | 12% | 10% | 28% | 16% | 19% | 12% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 17% | 13% |
| Switched From Undecided To Obama | 10% | 14% | 7% | 12% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 18% | 14% | ** | 5% | 12% | 19% | 5% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 13% |
| Switched From Obama To Romney | 6% | 8% | 4% | 9% | 7% | 7% | 2% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 19% | 4% | ** | 2% | 11% | 9% | 2% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 3% |
| Switched From Romney To Obama | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 3% | ** | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2% |
| Not Sure | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | ** | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters Who Heard Speeches | 100% | 54% | 46% | 23% | 24% | 29% | 25% | 47% | 53% | 65% | 11% | 21% | 3% | 48% | 24% | 27% | 38% | 42% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 30% | 23% | 30% |