Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17261
In VA-09, Democrat Boucher Remains Well Positioned for 15th Term in US House: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 9th Congressional District today, 10/14/10, incumbent Democrat Rick Boucher defeats Republican State House Majority Leader Morgan Griffith, 51% to 41%, according to a WDBJ-TV news poll conducted by SurveyUSA. 1 in 5 Republicans cross-over to vote Democrat. Independents break for the Democrat, one of the few places in 2010 where this is the case.
Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 10/11/10 through 10/13/10, using a blended combination of Random Digit Dial (RDD) sample from Survey Sampling Inc and Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle. Of the registered voters, 633 were determined by SurveyUSA to have already voted, or to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. Early voting began 09/17/10.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Morgan Griffith? Democrat Rick Boucher? Or Independent Jeremiah Heaton?
633 Likely & Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtYesNoRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Morgan Griffith (R)41%42%40%52%43%40%37%46%38%41%********42%73%9%38%62%22%20%71%6%38%26%42%41%45%38%33%54%21%44%36%37%47%
Rick Boucher (D)51%49%53%42%45%55%56%43%56%51%********51%22%86%48%30%72%74%20%92%54%63%51%51%48%56%56%37%75%49%59%55%47%
Jeremiah Heaton (I)4%5%4%7%6%3%2%6%3%4%********4%3%3%8%5%3%4%5%2%4%4%4%4%3%3%8%5%3%4%2%4%3%
Composition of Likely & Actual Voters100%49%51%14%23%36%26%38%62%93%4%2%2%5%95%37%32%28%49%33%12%40%27%23%10%41%59%62%19%18%62%35%74%24%50%50%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.