Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14737
 
A Month Ago, McCain Led by 9 Among VA Whites ... Now He Leads by 17 Among VA Whites ... And So ... Virginia whites veer back toward John McCain in the campaign's final 72 hours, helping the Republican to close to within 4 points of Democrat Barack Obama, according to research conducted by SurveyUSA for WDBJ-TV Roanoke, WJLA-TV Washington DC, WTVR-TV Richmond, and WJHL-TV Tri-Cities. Obama, in interviews through Saturday night 11/01/08, leads 50% to 46%. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA VA poll 1 week ago, McCain is up 3, Obama is down 2. Among voters age 35 to 49, McCain leads today for the first time in 7 weeks. Immediately after the GOP convention, McCain led by 22 points among white Virginians. That narrowed to a 9-point McCain lead when the stock market fell. Now, at the wire, McCain is back up to a 17 point advantage among whites. In the Shenandoah, McCain moves ahead of Obama. In the DC suburbs, McCain slices into Obama's lead. Virginia men continued to be more affected by events than Virginia women. 800 adults interviewed 10/30/08 through 11/01/08. Of them, 748 were registered to vote. Of them, 672 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before election day.
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
672 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
McCain (R)46%48%44%39%49%43%54%44%48%44%58%45%57%10%**26%85%9%45%79%34%9%43%49%51%42%41%71%28%57%37%42%48%54%39%44%46%
Obama (D)50%47%53%57%47%54%43%51%50%51%37%52%40%88%**58%14%90%44%17%62%88%53%48%45%56%54%25%69%39%60%54%48%42%58%50%51%
Other2%3%1%4%2%2%1%3%1%3%1%1%2%0%**14%1%0%7%4%1%2%3%2%3%1%2%3%1%2%2%2%2%2%3%3%1%
Undecided2%1%2%1%2%1%3%2%1%1%4%1%2%2%**2%1%1%3%0%3%1%2%1%1%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%2%1%3%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%26%34%25%16%59%41%53%8%39%72%18%4%5%36%38%24%35%44%15%55%45%49%28%23%43%53%47%51%30%70%24%26%22%27%
 
 
Voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Jim Gilmore? Democrat Mark Warner? Independent Green Party candidate Gail Parker? Or Libertarian Bill Redpath?
672 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KShenandoNortheasSoutheasCentral
Jim Gilmore (R)35%38%32%31%38%33%35%35%34%35%33%35%42%9%**20%69%7%29%65%22%8%34%36%40%31%28%57%19%43%28%32%37%41%31%32%35%
Mark Warner (D)59%55%62%58%54%64%62%56%63%56%63%62%52%86%**61%26%90%59%29%72%87%60%59%55%62%63%37%76%52%65%61%58%56%59%61%60%
Gail Parker (I-G)3%3%2%5%3%1%0%4%1%4%0%1%2%2%**14%2%2%4%2%3%4%3%2%2%3%4%3%3%2%3%3%2%1%5%1%2%
Bill Redpath (L)2%2%1%2%2%0%1%2%0%2%1%0%2%0%**3%1%0%4%3%1%1%1%2%1%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%0%2%4%1%
Undecided2%2%2%4%2%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%2%2%**2%2%1%4%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%3%1%2%3%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%26%34%25%16%59%41%53%8%39%72%18%4%5%36%38%24%35%44%15%55%45%49%28%23%43%53%47%51%30%70%24%26%22%27%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.