Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23139
 
In California, Immediately Prior to Pneumonia Reveal, Clinton Far Ahead of Trump; Harris Atop Sanchez in Fight for Boxer's Open Senate Seat;
Death Penalty Likely to Survive, But Ballot Measures on Recreational Marijuana, Background Checks & New Cigarette Tax Ahead At This Hour:


8 weeks till votes are counted in California, in interviews conducted in the days immediately prior to Hillary Clinton's collapse on 09/11/16 in New York City, Clinton is in front of Donald Trump by margins comparable to Barack Obama's defeat of Mitt Romney and John McCain, according to a SurveyUSA pre-election tracking poll conducted for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.

Clinton leads Trump by 25 points in California today, 57% to 32%, with Libertarian Gary Johnson at 3% and Green Party candidate Jill Stein at 1%. These numbers are likely to change, of course, after news of Clinton's illness is digested by voters. Obama carried California by 23 points in 2012 and by 24 points in 2008. Clinton today leads by 30 points among all women, leads by 28 points among suburban moms, and leads by 52 points among single moms. She leads by 18 points among white voters, by 24 points among Asian American voters, by 31 points among Latino voters, and by 58 points among African American voters.

Clinton leads by 38 points among 1st-generation Californians (those whose parents were born in another country). She leads by 30 points among 2nd-generation Californians (those with 1 or more grandparents born in another land). Clinton holds 90% of the Democratic base, compared to 80% of Republican who stand with Trump. Independents break for Clinton by 17 points. Moderates break for Clinton by 39 points.

Trump leads Clinton by 4 points among gun owners. Trump closes to within 17 points of Clinton among voters who grew up in a household where one parent hit the other. Clinton leads by 28 points among voters who did not witness domestic violence between their parents growing up. Trump runs 12 points stronger among motorcycle owners than he does among voters who do not ride a bike. Clinton leads by 52 points among vegetarians. The candidates run even in the Inland Empire, but Clinton leads by more than 2:1 in Greater Los Angeles and by more than 3:1 in the Bay Area. Catholics are ever-so-slightly more likely to back Clinton than Trump. Union households vote the same as non-union households. Trump ties Clinton in evangelical homes; Clinton leads by 38 points in non-evangelical homes.

In the election for United States Senator from CA, to replace retiring Democrat Barbara Boxer, Democrat Kamala Harris leads Democrat Loretta Sanchez, 44% to 27%, but, 4 weeks till early voting begins, almost a third of likely voters remain undecided in the contest. Harris leads overwhelmingly among Asian Americans and African Americans, and leads comfortably among whites. Latinos split. Sanchez narrowly leads among voters who have lived in California less than 10 years. Harris leads among those who have lived in California 10+ years. Harris leads among men and women, rich and poor, educated and uneducated. Harris leads in urban areas, suburban areas and rural areas and in all 4 named regions of the state. Those who voted for Boxer in 2010 back Harris in 2016 by 40 points. Those who voted for Carly Fiorina in 2010 narrowly favor Sanchez in 2016.

Ballot Measures:

* Proposition 56, which would increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack, is favored to pass by nearly 2:1.
* Proposition 62, which would end the death penalty in CA and replace it with life in prison, trails by 16 points today and is headed for defeat.
* Proposition 63, which outlaws large-capacity magazines and requires background checks before ammo can be purchased, leads by more than 2:1.
* Proposition 64, which would legalize, regulate and tax recreational marijuana, is supported 52% to 40%. Caution advised.

Statewide Favorability Ratings:

* President Obama is viewed extremely favorably by 36% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 24%.
* Trump is viewed extremely favorably by 13% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 52%.
* Clinton is viewed extremely favorably by 19% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 31%.
* Governor Jerry Brown is viewed extremely favorably by 15% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 18%.
* Dianne Feinstein is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 17%.
* Boxer is viewed extremely favorably by 14% of CA voters, extremely unfavorably by 22%.

Context and Methodology:

SurveyUSA interviewed 900 state of California adults 09/08/16 through 09/11/16. Of the adults, 782 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 678 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/08/16 general election. Of registered voters, 4% tell SurveyUSA they almost always vote in a Presidential election but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. An offsetting 6% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential elections but will vote in 2016 because they are particularly drawn to one of the candidates. 87% of the interviews for this survey were completed before Clinton buckled at Ground Zero the morning of 09/11/16 and before doctors offered pneumonia as an explanation. The survey was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on their home telephones (53% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (47% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the screen of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Polling ballot measures and citizen initiatives is an inexact science. In general, having nothing to do with California specifically and having nothing to do with 2016 uniquely, opposition to a ballot measure increases as Election Day approaches. Rarely does support for a ballot measure increase over time. It is likely that opposition to Propositions 56, 62, 63 and 64 will increase once early voting begins in one month, on 10/10/16. This may alter the calculus on recreational marijuana Proposition 64, which today has the most fragile advantage of those measures tested.
 
California will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
782 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 2.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Always Do / Will This Year631320312159213140120372260316361859489874354731741051751702781081231921068419443482204345129230272267293621474733861482731413752471884101682621065084956018241710650328932365543213396166443153446795012943371182471311356937
Always Do / Not This Year3412221571122212861210131191704227351845102421814719816161724155382211923618131962782572514185271122151714186261618121031052
Not Sure Yet 6530352220167422326325113165781802020181414217116421034212619202427894916181012323114421732854458203794932313592537204224378472837123598104
Rarely Do / Will This Year46232317196436102031755366514381717842047172814151715161510265537133611927113413223425398365392520539162913311332733252114198587
Don't / Won't This Year5221300405000001110102111210141132211210400002222020413131322131313130422121001
Total7823873942152611731334763063754823911998109667888212109207231321134146252122972385311092724001792863163183647716858743017429116144931822451120433513062865688219517129620362393796712664862175362065361006113654171583121531589250
Composition of Registered Voters100%50%50%28%33%22%17%61%39%48%6%31%15%13%14%8%10%11%27%14%27%30%41%17%19%32%16%12%30%68%14%35%51%23%37%40%41%47%10%22%75%61%25%44%24%59%41%29%67%38%62%17%82%9%90%29%68%17%82%48%52%10%89%35%65%29%71%28%72%14%83%47%53%20%40%20%20%12%6%
 
If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson or Green Party candidate Jill Stein?
678 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Donald Trump (R)2191209951675646117102122759327571351761121465813787152106901304662111357610872112284916740129309614469921124376371731119989112411689111723185551515814851150311658013944816332258
Hillary Clinton (D)38718620199138826923615118130121551811521631601052989266334213293761042824513221091146150182166328529532392273021616991282121172593214033781293583191911883534314323611126896280463141931946815566984631
Gary Johnson (L)18995454991124202662302143079114152511477411351393441085113851321561131451141379215411212810573300
Jill Stein8261312534130000142105301313171254214312660403508171717170743074325160727150201
Undecided452619201923405181161016315311072211561665132821824101421152721129221014102124103113229361411330103422238342025738143163636915187563
Total678343335176232146124408270337402029994904960781871081831872951161272111109121146197219362144246287277319661525103991512781413942741994441812841105505460019045311254231434270582228425180474166478875343193591332661391407744
Composition of Likely November Voters100%51%49%26%34%22%18%60%40%50%6%30%15%14%13%7%9%12%28%16%27%28%44%17%19%31%16%13%31%68%14%32%53%21%36%42%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%47%24%59%41%30%67%39%61%17%83%8%91%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%26%74%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
219 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 6.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Trump1367759354721328253773381852401910391923210474332855977333469235360566017369828751859874666622839311016126537530102577517115311004190379019106548224563520125
Against Clinton7839391417341232474341814213016712150243282819202850142242122146155291365115011355322234815366685683435106234386652250165513571354235519252410133
Not Sure5411211322030210010031030101230500331130413125122110404231404042213130432003200
Total2191209951675646117102122759327571351761121465813787152106901304662111357610872112284916740129309614469921124376371731119989112411689111723185551515814851150311658013944816332258
Composition of Trump Voters100%55%45%23%30%26%21%53%47%56%3%27%15%34%32%16%8%3%5%1%67%26%6%36%32%24%4%3%41%59%21%28%51%16%35%49%33%51%13%22%77%19%62%16%51%68%32%44%53%36%64%18%82%5%94%42%53%20%80%44%56%11%89%27%73%28%72%25%75%16%83%37%63%20%37%29%15%11%4%
 
Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
219 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 6.5 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically1408258294435327367814371855432110472973485846237357833341652644705267173210619871969914667652446241128128607033103558012122341004293399116111449524614213137
With Reservations733835162320143934403171316281471504423519252422324112204182738144510175514411028472225421529861465283785930376622047175012541548314219202113121
Not Sure6066010612050500010051010501161150616010660106015505106150660511506060661100600
Total2191209951675646117102122759327571351761121465813787152106901304662111357610872112284916740129309614469921124376371731119989112411689111723185551515814851150311658013944816332258
Composition of Trump Voters100%55%45%23%30%26%21%53%47%56%3%27%15%34%32%16%8%3%5%1%67%26%6%36%32%24%4%3%41%59%21%28%51%16%35%49%33%51%13%22%77%19%62%16%51%68%32%44%53%36%64%18%82%5%94%42%53%20%80%44%56%11%89%27%73%28%72%25%75%16%83%37%63%20%37%29%15%11%4%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
387 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Clinton2441111345982545014110311718723713229369290154618227208152606418123801425887100119104206018021621691713011355183851013919830205491854119412111625212861517716066169351881171283910337653119
Against Trump133686535562518904357124618493112763141440766184841163795204964305844595912211089875411775632933566161167125311001511768651012251813210026104111167162225028321412
Not Sure107350415570200002162037053003733431543046805291461546371828371964273701055621110
Total38718620199138826923615118130121551811521631601052989266334213293761042824513221091146150182166328529532392273021616991282121172593214033781293583191911883534314323611126896280463141931946815566984631
Composition of Clinton Voters100%48%52%25%36%21%18%61%39%47%8%31%14%5%3%1%5%16%41%27%7%23%69%9%11%34%24%20%27%73%12%34%54%24%38%39%47%43%8%22%76%91%3%66%9%56%44%24%74%41%59%15%84%10%88%21%77%15%84%50%50%9%91%38%62%29%71%25%75%12%85%50%50%18%40%17%25%12%8%
 
Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
387 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Enthusiastically24010713351806247131109122216433124110339386164417929216955606417530771335488981189919531812172168131301075917473106372012620747184381941141202720678156791556416732193104136399936663018
With Reservations133716244521820953852854195739296216124078320583415359811497331544855641328103967531573602798446119109101193199161157160612459722810227103131088053235228301613
Not Sure147746311047133101316315911532594646549403121006212251045311411310410682127831151011396542310
Total38718620199138826923615118130121551811521631601052989266334213293761042824513221091146150182166328529532392273021616991282121172593214033781293583191911883534314323611126896280463141931946815566984631
Composition of Clinton Voters100%48%52%25%36%21%18%61%39%47%8%31%14%5%3%1%5%16%41%27%7%23%69%9%11%34%24%20%27%73%12%34%54%24%38%39%47%43%8%22%76%91%3%66%9%56%44%24%74%41%59%15%84%10%88%21%77%15%84%50%50%9%91%38%62%29%71%25%75%12%85%50%50%18%40%17%25%12%8%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
18 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 23.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Johnson9643141456021003411008102600280272343522751124535233508251735263517352646322300
Against Trump5142110313200011110013002110141221211301331112204131313130413232204140432031000
Against Clinton2200200201001001100002001100020020110111101011102110202202011021102020220200000
Not Sure2020002021010000101001102000110202010202110202021010202020202021102010102020000
Total18995454991124202662302143079114152511477411351393441085113851321561131451141379215411212810573300
Composition of Johnson Voters100%50%50%27%24%26%23%51%49%61%9%22%9%0%9%32%33%11%15%0%9%76%15%1%40%48%7%5%20%80%8%29%62%24%38%38%22%60%18%29%71%53%17%25%28%55%45%32%66%29%71%26%74%11%89%35%65%17%83%33%67%22%78%45%55%13%87%29%71%17%83%45%55%29%38%16%17%3%2%
 
Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
8 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 35.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
For Stein4131111222110000111102100112131121211202220201304130313130412031212030313020100
Against Clinton3030201211020000021002101201030133002000330102103030303030321032103030303120000
Against Trump0000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000000
Not Sure1010000001000000000000000000000010000000110100001000000000000000000000001000100
Total8261312534130000142105301313171254214312660403508171717170743074325160727150201
Composition of Stein Voters100%22%78%17%42%14%27%59%41%52%12%36%0%0%0%0%9%49%25%7%0%58%32%0%11%34%12%39%17%83%13%24%62%54%31%15%52%32%12%31%69%80%0%55%0%41%59%0%100%14%86%8%92%7%93%15%85%4%96%59%41%5%95%52%48%24%76%9%91%4%96%19%81%14%58%5%23%4%7%
 
In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
34 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 17 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Republican9455221634113113102035222311450451624414515057236242736364554271845361845111520
Democrat1174730010122340004150055023332914526382019500156371637292911037297438292982161410
Split15213328169128301750101121011301411010447341002108122103392885111310210671113108494310411931121
Not Sure0------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total3412221571122212861210131191704227351845102421814719816161724155382211923618131962782572514185271122151714186261618121031052
Composition of Protest Voters100%36%64%44%20%31%5%64%36%22%16%33%29%4%9%32%28%4%21%0%13%64%21%8%14%52%12%15%29%71%6%52%42%20%55%24%47%48%4%20%71%56%21%12%37%67%33%28%72%24%76%40%60%18%82%23%77%22%78%44%56%17%83%33%67%48%52%43%57%17%82%47%53%34%28%9%29%14%5%
 
In the election for United States Senator from California, if you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Democrat Kamala Harris? Or Democrat Loretta Sanchez?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Harris3131581556310080691631501502383573424171940106685876174394111064529921446871816411013913714627762322304417945184125882148813049255242808621144258144160272761081949021278220412491191945113546823623
Sanchez1921167671622831133598712761823281220195828515186343760302566125287293427971918316471391083769471108165119557040148251615513241147998929157731165213750135361431108340764333159
Undecided2068112557764825133731071055343841313120301279814246535921195614725791024576856610724361637674335812279541344310233166111855613433163851111917659137541425214115169106100536553353113
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
There are 18 propositions on the California ballot this year. We are going to ask about 4 of them. First ... On Proposition 56, will you vote YES, to increase the tax on cigarettes to $2 per pack? Or will you vote NO, to leave the tax on cigarettes unchanged?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 5642522120512514782712721531912414764484625355113476951122116768139756413229053135237881491881861973693321264701897924817013227411417142374443681043016734520520942370166247111302107301583382202067318476925128
No On 56234115119466771501131211282051353843323122442382856745596830247515836921075592877912027541751167973631359465153571066615814210781404417991132231995716478144661512718178156617353482415
Undecided49173217253441822116108333615811122364219613368113172320271831236337188301911371523143514613366413018103716336438417383415101812973
Will Not Vote3213000303000000001000201002212021202011220002203220303211222030312030330101000
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
On Proposition 62, will you vote YES, to replace the death penalty in California with life in prison? Or will you vote NO, to leave the death penalty in place?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 622541351197785454816293133236336271514183087594261146353479455075175317414947107101111114236518019221138301431107816775994720230218621824720113411427219701779215557187451891301254711034642918
No On 623721931798612296672081641781611859666844433974351341261097986117493112324861125186771281671401873880288167129112115231131109242971546429425329122226602951561994231213122290264105244423001562168212990714121
Undecided832558263115115726326321329281132131121464103220142260737392730263934713645363144042205714481271576136711693746774364713691763569473515361715117
Will Not Vote3212100301011010001010102001120031013000320001211020303120312032112120330011000
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Proposition 63 is known as the Firearms and Ammunition Sales Initiative. A YES vote would require persons who want to buy ammunition to pass a background check with the California Department of Justice. And Proposition 63 would make it against the law to possess large-capacity ammunition containers, known as magazines. Will you vote YES on 63, to require background checks on ammo purchases and to make large-capacity magazines illegal? Or will you vote NO on 63, which would leave the existing system in place?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 6344721723013015092752801672153212575384321386614090821252305066141967812631853144250971691811882104196336301522195723520411131013519067367503808334465365210220463791622671243051043196634523221587173781095234
No On 63203119844169494411093109106124474432241329139169426356551015791243567102337595701072552150749543811455575120408439158918710188441529110618178521445713967126191666713647695829218
Undecided581642181815636221842889587024413152849327313421025232020183319184635101911332419361127154205611448482532948253212458485473225103151183
Will Not Vote4222100401011110002020211011220121213012230012221110413222213130422131331030100
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Currently, medical marijuana is legal in California, but recreational marijuana is not. Proposition 64 would legalize and tax the recreational use of marijuana. Will you vote YES on Proposition 64, which would legalize the recreational use of marijuana by adults age 21 and older, and which would license, regulate and tax the marijuana industry? Or, will you vote NO on 64, which would keep state laws as they now are?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Yes On 64370200170112112866022414619225105473131364057101676213316844551237167118248501351859114912916216439802792554617753201166972557719176285373221002546129717019141319126233105254111245582831791917814372764023
No On 6428612915758101685915912712915885354582126167434113631087173802923911944491151509214310314926662141211048590177999217693903224322251831834822612215126244961758019259205292301221635511159613315
Undecided5524302026364692242091032461971312264325156114251139923232822312393861963618173717211441152144094336178441737944104444633221120111387
Will Not Vote2201001111010001001001101000110011001000100001110000102110102010211020111020000
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Barack Obama... extremely favorable? Favorable? Unfavorable? Or extremely unfavorable?
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable2551141416783654015010510825893419561538937625591692625805563651893294129609897125103225719222621482114111257187821134820129220511974220712712235214891607617377170342061261294010634742719
Favorable201109927173263114457961056394121124378221177210412218446285714018621213787779091184315214869414110904115158993815916177441493016592104181767612056141391552416111784457337461912
Unfavorable7843352223181545333852610132116939534281412332841255314273720273127437195622352226472732391428116266731411657363666725471954185496037412428198106
Extremely Unfavorable17086843056453986841005392658542622172112499685234747299315088304991469621371311311316881125572893261251419156728331132689416145431164511545111221295012035654822258
Not Sure8441430533050000003301610330353414406203441306261011708081743075308173553134001
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Donald Trump ...
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable9352411838191856375323083725116491622110402491163954222843182748443313187318489426130444224232268684394826634446881295923652759127130621740231296
Favorable134775738363327756076628244038241311337838163651434046882035792154594673122710337782657924152762754241081311951752610566651911234973892329618107657023463728165
Unfavorable1025844433613117824458331551310151435719404315214212113764123159224337514273167641438156238386029342576128732651980564315853366396020791679653725372218104
Extremely Unfavorable36816020888125906521415516329117591115133160132952710422725311348578932724413818688134146148180337628528913203291911706828210418648307303237028146308156198313191382169326199251432941691997614756884630
Not Sure158733357870621124051266441216805937547277634695782531101359211692125921211131069354301
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton...
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable137686928444025736572133616751210565612131121713392837351012048694044537744143499126195147462399345503010515116311032510762721511845884786359716110568120612433128
Favorable2351091256789384015678971874451512523468247287412920288856386516723731394195991031121645181193912515145874917578104341942820150174391891231063019885143621666016728188133102388739702716
Unfavorable1076443523113108323454401771113151638118433951946211130751436572353315048827775216291346592974245223826972479995525399346592481208421827037284017211411
Extremely Unfavorable219109110407261461121071228592966654026613213072157670518108313640711084367109591252949168341302510414271861173789351761120090112431658712120187561506214462139241727114855805825279
Not Sure14510325469814100132520671251086284563461498073864103711301331021259112680143103969373112
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Jerry Brown...
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable10553518263734347151731164825173533132468139312820416311375631304447421522839067610564825762256109479527741290386411924260277526741680228318422321105
Favorable250127123679647401638711319843419152112468350347813322379457396318629801414311196111113204919719222138231471026317582103462012322152190352101291172621989157741726318032205137113528638742418
Unfavorable1427666534127209448797322526251418437145136512239501015409915359227456959711045906741305110042518937533410514126498934107825916120439648913310519113796324682525187
Extremely Unfavorable131716023493425725967543164135162011417737155534276654762945572639664072153097217818627844526624452398711354622989477291093087318632821893458632433818184
Not Sure842757392712666183382518397151225101233356132613162361144030234120363881368439214344917612145107287216621072334912693646156626557705331193717111110
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Dianne Feinstein ...
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable10055457313429376353921186213113642715789729252735651134541934474449624758827466336296830411187128321741087405811873860316725721578217813421530125
Favorable268139129721024945174941111995432615142547855141861363236965645761903386149561061061261072964199210241562914012761197821224921522240651944721513512736226991637618671187372151451234710645702419
Unfavorable14379644645272591527574417212619131142847435026365312104695174383285362617193410366453048104385286365237102101274687361017267912643964593409719112717236582920136
Extremely Unfavorable123606322384023606371826183538201411217436134641274246772145572638592970202694157611647739506317481798910648621598466671052289327925831888398430363720194
Not Sure78225645237367113432813712615921519292661224161319591628342335213439310643591043245175321398677701760106735421264383912651957467582017351791311
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Is your opinion of Barbara Boxer ...
712 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Favorable10155466273533336857918184313838447128210923282935661333552530464146122477902826614027702646108911882473108944559903465326725741677188316401630136
Favorable232116115749532311696297148338161232248794729731261929835440631672975128431038511296206216418481341712410656166799348178192064417737187121103341898913660165581623318414785389041622118
Unfavorable1247350413820247944617381816262113830542423523295467368521376623475452639249467313128843538783843358413104477131865662121043583437538801699626139392322105
Extremely Unfavorable1608773265151337783928392052412718513393501560523394619720518931468446872137119201041095111447180226120134814569782912271808142321164510434111191204711332604522215
Not Sure962472442719571243763715710814103491732447123517172670164138294027424461279531123436601673215998498414781284366012834947168026697806135204716131611
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Here are 6 issues important to some voters but not to others. In deciding who to support for President, please tell me if a particular issue is ... extremely important, important, unimportant, or extremely unimportant. First, immigration. In deciding who you support for President, is immigration ...
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important289149140689470571621271452085395442302819664596771116358932342971914596148739811813111834612201408910186178107103169651155023319260811904723114013929248921856920867206362311121775311764552915
Important314147167831096359192122159168356284220303810050708815043609569409621439981775912013411916623682371955613452179129902078113546259282738221854250138167332681071969221180219452401661485812360744623
Unimportant784039302221652262683311288101723119353451230151216626403315382531379176161438113542968293917608692055106637401067314625512750106545332526121557
Extremely Unimportant19136682314580921110014111156262191061112314891712116611624151049841598611108215711611512114811682410
Not Sure1275351193614101123211731045139128264461558130752928011210662948111210291901048234300
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Next, terrorism. In deciding who you support for President, if terrorism is ...
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important450218233101150107912521992182613967667432394212464140113188949313864491542926916321810215219718720349101337237127174115264177155270106177713662640512729481350198234343931542751103201163056434718326797174101804831
Important202103985970462713072102135234181225212956392976941728704437521492358121338781731131443154136248828108933915464973316621177521443116797102271716013872127531452216611884347734562913
Unimportant33171516104326713311533265847131255131772521120111110181047251841161814526101652462592242717156261616102262642519147162721
Extremely Unimportant1210274011217230340104061536012483454269203991511117514844857396629652105721084552200
Not Sure15697404114408250023315541093141111131131671591414014121358592123110141135931221201401277243520
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Next, Supreme Court appointments. In deciding who you support for President, if Supreme Court appointments are...
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important361183178521001159415220820020934762502724388868112881568564856058132226471181968010417713218238832682011031669721114010922885154473012731711022853289143200293131032381092328624840283992617013077833820
Important2341211138310324241864810220714117282129347230458410222449938295917537761214410883100111205717314039903712910668160739346186152145217339191119112232078314858173601683618315975508850473015
Unimportant7639383725114611523534155811125245142929715291572251730391537254524714595442211512423481934205211633044235345301658393619562451145856211739101065
Extremely Unimportant147638211137051331121355416400591585185610135422112212572113931031067212762125801358262330
Not Sure27522163631981101158404092124113313233248712815311122521145221413719614719423322125141162071871852122415125123755
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
The environment. If the environment is...
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important32615816977101816817814815921974918241123541127441881873037104746595227431211638412112114014135762422442318135175149782338116353268292866924344271152163312801261887523989221432591291986112961753824
Important2701351358098524117892131187744464225322370308981995063963521831864379149491051171091342456206129797769161104831728893482151624573184512101251372923380182831796319535212155115579553652917
Unimportant87483927272211543338532132121209111342301429222637305792949143143354652068333920356125364913371867977443918683947117529563056226312694344214419494
Extremely Unimportant229124113316610173942412014629811210113612461271146154133101551185341541489414118315415514512314616458550
Not Sure7423202425110011200124122200251240332402432015215050514331515050533150634230100
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Treatment of racial minorities. If the treatment of racial minorities is... ?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important28613814868966755164122130279634241811223710365437016936348660578719637123126818911613910930512292092815239155129851837112544236252505721346229128148312441131636121580192322311191674612051702920
Important2831381446610064531661171441177513748242638723585881074857994530851973774172411141281031512670206150781056717410579195801204023718258931784523113713925249881878419162211472131451376210261593717
Unimportant95544136302096630464291619151814416734372424312677346119265016433530587266836351631573524642839226810813060187435571082296235563059681474822392312114
Extremely Unimportant321813138552110163768965020171128710231120411171081315123921101181018121415213920326141472120822610191018720622131910127443
Not Sure16610940313380527213011942328004113311310375331094021246955793104123138867115411114214106541511
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
Treatment of gays, lesbians, and transgender persons. If the treatment of the GLBT community is ... ?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Extremely Important229109119617847431399010715773021154153580533654133242560515783145299110956759711291204517916321119301201076015456109381862319750170361861011222619581141501727414829185106122379536612513
Important268127141639067481531151331672482536302236823660881183652103442871196348315153103113107135226020316553114461689973190711224222418246721873922113113226236881748617661198382111311375510255563620
Unimportant12370533841252078456843616211821227211339503326344313735871037761956494762123089534631476754387840421998811143731910057619110417735832690169660643046291898
Extremely Unimportant69412822221310452428821122120590634113103017152228381920301820302038102046183192243193032122017438522930194226357522139223918406512643182818593
Not Sure238158744158828474021631139438414196711512781034181548318571488617220417618131061681532012141713115631021
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%
 
In the community where you live, do the police treat everyone the same? Or, are the police tougher on some groups than others?
712 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityUnion2012 Vote2010 VoteMarried?EvangelicalCatholicSmoke?Vegetarian?Own a Gun?Own MotorcycleKids Under 18Live in CA1st Generation2nd GenerationTattooParental ViolencCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanSingle M
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Strong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralYesNoObamaRomneyBoxerFiorinaYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNo<10 Yrs10 + YrsYesNoYesNoYesNoYesNoCell PhoLandlineCentral Greater Inland EBay AreaYesYes
Treat Everyone The Same387215172120126707124614119317122557462354031924913610614188931144441128256611092166714417517116942862921941191311162441391442291021368130037341126243822951921855232212824611126491280583051951927615182784324
Tougher On Some Groups2169512153755929128888925703213181415277944315612318248637426814626959558827685110164716315318110171129945159591053717016189491552418293115121938012754153611432516998118488433512515
Not Sure10945651838282556536242221812111422231520473913152934142584123265263944375710267967194017594719802661510079622791391436110943173317328731086426720412721146
Total7123553571912391571264302823444521410995936070791951081882093021191322291149622148699237376151265295293336681595344141562811494152852084671873021225706062619847711956832836075609239447195491180496925613353771452761421508145
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%27%34%22%18%60%40%48%6%30%15%13%13%8%10%11%27%15%26%29%42%17%19%32%16%14%31%68%14%33%53%21%37%41%41%47%10%22%75%64%24%46%24%59%41%30%67%38%62%18%82%9%90%29%69%17%82%48%52%11%89%35%65%28%72%27%73%14%84%47%53%20%39%20%21%11%6%