Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #10616
VA5 House Race Ends as it Began; Republican Goode Up By Two Dozen: In an election for U.S. House of Representatives today, 11/2/06, in Virginia's 5th Congressional District, incumbent Republican Virgil Goode defeats Democrat challenger Al Weed, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 530 Likely Voters conducted exclusively for WDBJ-TV Roanoke. SurveyUSA has polled the contest 3 times. In our first WDBJ-TV poll, in July, Goode lead by 24. The contest tightened slightly in SurveyUSA's October poll, conducted during the middle of the Mark Foley publicity. In today's poll, almost every demographic sub-population has returned to its July levels. Overall, Goode is up by 26 points today, 61% to 35%. The tracking graphs almost all look like a bow-tie, with a slight convergence, or "pinch," in October, with voters returning in November to where they were in July. Republicans securely hold this House seat. The election is in 5 days, on 11/7/06.
Filtering: 900 adults from Virginia's 5th Congressional District were interviewed 10/30/06 through 11/1/06. Of them, 768 were registered to vote. Of them, 530 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Republican Virgil Goode? Democrat Al Weed? Or Independent Green candidate Joe Oddo?
530 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyIdeologyEducationIncomeBush Job ApprovaGeneration *
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo ColleSome ColCollege Grad Sch< $40K$40K - $> $80KApproveDisapproGen YGen XJonesBoomersMature
Goode (R)61%66%57%63%60%60%63%67%31%92%18%60%88%48%27%64%63%59%58%58%63%62%96%28%70%59%57%63%63%
Weed (D)35%30%39%34%37%35%33%29%62%6%77%33%10%47%66%31%32%40%38%37%34%34%3%66%26%39%37%35%33%
Oddo (IG)2%3%2%4%2%3%0%2%2%1%2%6%1%4%5%2%2%1%3%2%2%3%0%4%5%2%4%2%0%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%19%31%27%22%80%17%44%32%22%42%36%11%17%40%23%20%34%39%20%46%50%10%22%27%19%22%