Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #5761
Two weeks to the 6/7/05 San Antonio Mayoral runoff, the contest between Phil Hardberger and Julian Castro is a fierce fight, according to SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WOAI-TV. In a vote today, Hardberger gets 50%, Castro 47% -- within the poll's Margin of Error. Castro defeated Hardberger in the 5/6/05 Primary, 42% to 30%. But: those in the primary who voted for 3rd-place finisher Carroll Schubert now support Hardberger 8:1 over Castro. Hardberger wins among men, older voters, Republicans, Independents, conservatives, college graduates and Whites. Castro wins among women, younger voters, Democrats, moderates, liberals, voters who didn't go to college, and non-whites. The sharpest difference is between Whites, who go 3:1 for Hardberger, and Hispanics, who go 2:1 for Castro. Election will be decided by which candidate does better at getting his group to the polls. *** Filtering: 1,800 City of San Antonio adults were interviewed 5/21/05 - 5/23/05. Of them, 1,515 were registered to vote. Of them, 447 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect "likely voters." Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish.
1On June 7th, voters in San Antonio will elect a Mayor in a runoff election. If the runoff for Mayor of San Antonio were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Julian Castro? Or Phil Hardberger?
447 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyEducationIdeologyVoted in 5/6/05 Mayor Primary
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+HispanicBlackWhiteAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependNot SureGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleConservaModerateLiberalNot SureCastroHardbergSchubertOtherDid Not
Composition of Likely Voters100%46%54%15%30%31%23%48%6%44%2%34%45%20%1%24%23%29%24%37%44%17%2%35%22%19%2%22%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.