| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17016 |
| No Purchase for Perriello in VA-05, Another Democratic Incumbent Congressman in Trouble: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District today, 09/02/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 61% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.
Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Hurt is up a nominal 3 points; Perriello is flat. Hurt has increased his lead among men, younger voters, independents, and lower-income voters, and now is at or above 62% among each of those groups. Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today is above 50% only among blacks, Democrats, moderates, liberals, those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, and pro-choice voters -- none of which are majority groups among likely voters in Virginia's 5th district. |
| Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 5th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/01/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 581 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Robert Hurt? Democrat Tom Perriello? Or Independent Jeffrey Clark? |
| 581 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Robert Hurt (R) | 61% | 62% | 60% | 60% | 71% | 54% | 62% | 67% | 57% | 66% | 21% | ** | ** | 89% | 15% | 66% | 85% | 40% | 18% | 90% | 17% | 72% | 51% | 53% | 68% | 61% | 63% | 58% | 77% | 42% | 66% | 51% | 64% | 59% |
| Tom Perriello (D) | 35% | 33% | 36% | 40% | 27% | 38% | 34% | 31% | 36% | 30% | 76% | ** | ** | 7% | 83% | 27% | 10% | 57% | 80% | 5% | 82% | 22% | 44% | 43% | 27% | 35% | 32% | 39% | 19% | 54% | 29% | 47% | 33% | 37% |
| Jeffrey Clark (I) | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 2% |
| Undecided | 2% | 3% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | ** | ** | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 4% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 13% | 24% | 37% | 26% | 37% | 63% | 86% | 11% | 1% | 2% | 40% | 28% | 30% | 52% | 32% | 10% | 39% | 29% | 22% | 9% | 47% | 53% | 63% | 20% | 17% | 54% | 41% | 69% | 27% | 44% | 56% |