Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17016
No Purchase for Perriello in VA-05, Another Democratic Incumbent Congressman in Trouble: In an election for US House of Representatives in Virginia's 5th Congressional District today, 09/02/10, Republican State Senator Robert Hurt defeats incumbent Democrat Tom Perriello 61% to 35%, according to this latest exclusive WDBJ-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 6 weeks ago, little has changed; Hurt is up a nominal 3 points; Perriello is flat. Hurt has increased his lead among men, younger voters, independents, and lower-income voters, and now is at or above 62% among each of those groups.

Perriello, who defeated 6-term Republican Virgil Goode by 727 votes in 2008, today is above 50% only among blacks, Democrats, moderates, liberals, those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, and pro-choice voters -- none of which are majority groups among likely voters in Virginia's 5th district.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Virginia's 5th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 08/31/10 through 09/01/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 581 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election for US House of Representatives.
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? Republican Robert Hurt? Democrat Tom Perriello? Or Independent Jeffrey Clark?
581 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Robert Hurt (R)61%62%60%60%71%54%62%67%57%66%21%****89%15%66%85%40%18%90%17%72%51%53%68%61%63%58%77%42%66%51%64%59%
Tom Perriello (D)35%33%36%40%27%38%34%31%36%30%76%****7%83%27%10%57%80%5%82%22%44%43%27%35%32%39%19%54%29%47%33%37%
Jeffrey Clark (I)2%2%2%0%1%4%2%1%3%2%1%****2%1%3%2%2%1%3%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%3%2%1%2%0%1%2%
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%13%24%37%26%37%63%86%11%1%2%40%28%30%52%32%10%39%29%22%9%47%53%63%20%17%54%41%69%27%44%56%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.