Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #24920
 
1st Look at CA-50 Primary After Issa Enters Race: Indicted Incumbent Republican Hunter Starts in 4th Place, Behind Democrat Campa-Najjar;
DeMaio Runs 2nd Ahead of Issa, Ahead of Hunter; Just 13% of Likely Voters in District Say Hunter Embezzlement Charges Are 'Witch Hunt':

Democrat Ammar Campa-Najjar, who narrowly lost to Incumbent Republican Duncan Hunter in 2018 in California's 50th US Congressional District, today leads Hunter 3:1, with Republican Carl DeMaio and Republican Darrell Issa finishing today in 2nd and 3rd place ahead of Hunter. The research was conducted exclusively for KGTV-TV in San Diego and the Union Tribune. The district extends East and North from San Diego.

Issa just announced his candidacy when SurveyUSA began polling. It's 5 months to the primary, held in 2020 on Super Tuesday. At this hour, in early going, it's:

* Campa-Najjar 31%.
* DeMaio 20%.
* Issa 16%.
* Hunter 11%.
* 3 other candidates further back.
* Undecided 15%.

Among the subset of likely voters who tell SurveyUSA they are "certain" to vote in the primary, Campa-Najjar's support increases slightly to 34%, DeMaio's support increases nominally, to 22%, Hunter falls to 9%.

Among Republicans, who outnumber Democrats in the district, DeMaio leads, followed closely by Issa. Among Democrats, Campa-Najjar has 69% support. Among independent voters, Campa-Najjar leads DeMaio narrowly, with Hunter still in 4th place, narrowly ahead of Brian Jones. In California's "Top 2" primary system, it is possible for 2 Republicans to advance to the general election, 2 Democrats, or one of each.

Issa leads among self-described "very conservative" voters, 33% to 30% over DeMaio. Campa-Najjar leads 3:1 among moderates and 9:1 among liberals.

Of voters who say that "holding the president accountable" is the most important issue in choosing a candidate, Campa-Najjar gets 76% of the vote, 15 times more than his nearest competitor. Among voters who say "border security" is the most important issue, DeMaio and Issa split the vote. Among voters who say "the character of the candidate" is most important, Campa-Najjar gets half the vote, 31 points ahead of DeMaio. Among voters who say that "climate change" is the most important issue, Campa-Najjar gets half the vote, 41 points ahead of Hunter. Only among voters focused on "government spending" is Hunter at the top of the list, where he ties with DeMaio at 24% each.

About: SurveyUSA interviewed 770 voting-age individuals in CA-50, 09/27/19 through 10/02/19. Of the voting-age individuals surveyed, 671 are registered to vote in California. Of the registered, SurveyUSA determined that 592 were likely to vote in the 2020 California primary. Of the likely voters, approximately 1/3 told SurveyUSA they were "almost certain" to vote and 2/3 said they were "100% certain" to vote. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (57% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (43% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. 10 weeks before the 2018 congressional mid-term elections, Hunter was charged with misusing $250,000 in campaign funds. He remained on the ballot in 2018 and defeated Campa-Najjar 52% to 48%. Hunter remains in office as of this poll release, continuing to seek re-election. Hunter is scheduled to go on trial in January 2020, before the Super Tuesday primary. It is possible that the trial, which has been delayed before, will be delayed again. Events surrounding the trial, including a possible verdict before the primary, will color future polling in this district.
 
1Are you registered to vote in the state of California?
770 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 2.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Yes87%88%86%76%81%93%99%78%96%87%87%100%100%96%91%83%92%96%87%90%**100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%74%88%92%81%87%91%90%86%90%85%91%77%99%
No11%11%12%22%16%6%1%19%4%12%10%--4%8%14%8%3%12%10%**----------------24%11%7%17%12%8%9%12%8%14%7%21%0%
Not Sure2%1%2%2%2%1%0%2%1%1%3%--0%1%2%0%2%1%0%**----------------2%1%1%2%1%1%0%2%2%1%2%2%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%25%24%26%24%49%51%77%19%29%59%38%29%26%12%23%35%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%17%41%41%25%38%38%31%68%15%61%24%54%46%
 
2Is your impression of Helen Horvath ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive2%3%2%6%1%2%1%3%1%2%3%1%2%1%5%1%2%1%3%0%**1%2%7%1%0%1%1%3%2%1%3%1%2%2%0%3%1%3%2%0%4%2%4%1%5%2%0%4%1%
Negative8%10%7%12%7%6%8%10%7%9%4%12%8%9%5%11%18%11%5%8%**7%20%6%22%2%16%3%16%8%13%6%17%5%6%16%14%11%9%7%6%9%9%8%8%10%5%14%7%9%
Neutral21%27%14%18%23%14%28%21%21%19%25%30%18%24%16%22%27%16%26%18%**24%22%26%18%21%22%18%26%21%21%21%21%22%23%22%16%13%21%23%20%18%23%21%20%20%19%26%15%26%
Unfamiliar69%60%77%64%69%78%63%66%71%70%68%57%72%65%74%67%53%72%66%74%**67%56%61%58%76%61%78%55%70%65%71%61%70%69%62%67%75%68%67%74%68%66%67%70%66%74%60%74%64%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
3Is your impression of David Edick, Jr. ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive2%2%2%6%2%2%0%4%1%2%1%1%3%2%5%0%3%0%2%3%**4%0%3%1%0%6%0%3%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%6%2%2%3%2%2%3%3%2%7%2%0%5%0%
Negative7%10%4%8%9%5%7%8%6%7%6%11%6%9%3%9%12%10%7%2%**5%14%12%23%2%8%4%11%7%11%4%14%5%7%15%4%7%8%6%5%11%4%6%8%8%5%11%5%9%
Neutral17%19%16%17%14%11%27%15%19%15%28%29%13%19%13%19%26%14%18%18%**20%18%15%18%22%11%16%23%18%17%19%17%18%19%13%23%11%15%22%14%16%21%24%14%11%18%19%12%23%
Unfamiliar73%68%78%69%76%82%65%73%74%76%64%59%78%70%79%71%60%77%72%77%**72%68%70%59%76%74%81%63%73%70%75%67%75%73%70%66%80%74%70%78%71%72%67%77%74%74%70%79%69%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
4Is your impression of Brian Jones ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive12%13%10%9%8%12%16%9%14%12%10%11%14%18%6%9%22%19%7%7%**20%13%15%21%4%20%7%17%10%18%7%21%9%14%17%7%11%11%12%6%14%12%15%9%7%12%12%10%13%
Negative9%11%7%11%8%6%10%10%8%8%10%11%8%8%9%9%11%7%11%8%**3%19%5%16%9%13%8%20%10%9%9%11%9%8%12%12%5%8%10%7%9%10%7%10%12%8%10%6%11%
Neutral28%27%29%30%23%26%32%27%29%29%24%34%26%33%24%26%30%23%31%27%**31%30%30%23%32%17%30%23%29%29%28%29%29%30%25%28%20%31%28%23%31%28%31%27%31%26%30%22%34%
Unfamiliar52%49%55%49%61%56%42%55%49%51%57%44%52%41%61%55%37%50%51%58%**46%38%50%40%55%49%54%40%51%44%56%40%54%49%47%53%64%50%49%64%46%50%46%54%50%54%49%62%43%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
5Is your impression of Carl DeMaio ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive34%37%32%14%29%44%45%22%45%33%32%29%41%53%15%29%69%54%26%9%**57%49%8%75%17%30%30%57%29%61%12%66%20%35%65%14%35%34%33%26%33%38%40%30%26%32%41%23%45%
Negative20%20%19%19%16%21%21%18%21%21%14%19%21%10%32%22%12%6%25%29%**8%9%32%10%35%22%28%11%28%8%35%7%30%23%6%32%10%19%23%12%22%21%19%20%17%21%20%16%23%
Neutral25%25%24%23%28%20%29%25%24%23%35%31%22%23%26%27%17%20%31%26%**25%27%20%11%29%33%29%20%27%23%26%21%27%23%19%35%27%22%27%28%24%25%26%25%24%25%24%25%25%
Unfamiliar21%17%25%43%28%15%5%35%10%23%19%21%16%13%28%22%2%21%18%36%**10%14%41%5%19%14%14%12%16%8%27%6%24%19%10%19%28%24%17%34%20%16%15%25%33%22%16%37%7%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
6Is your impression of Darrell Issa ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive30%34%25%14%26%33%42%20%37%29%27%31%34%48%9%26%66%45%22%3%**60%35%13%68%8%28%23%53%24%55%9%62%15%33%56%5%28%30%29%19%30%34%36%25%20%28%38%20%38%
Negative31%30%33%19%27%38%39%23%38%32%31%29%38%16%56%30%16%13%40%51%**9%29%42%21%68%25%50%11%52%16%57%15%50%36%14%60%15%27%41%22%33%36%28%34%22%34%33%19%43%
Neutral19%23%16%25%21%14%17%23%16%19%19%19%16%19%14%25%12%22%20%20%**22%25%8%6%16%25%14%19%14%16%17%15%17%16%21%18%24%21%15%30%15%17%22%18%23%19%17%25%14%
Unfamiliar20%13%27%42%26%15%2%34%8%19%23%22%12%17%22%19%5%19%17%25%**9%11%37%5%8%23%13%17%10%12%17%7%18%15%10%17%33%21%14%29%23%12%14%23%35%20%11%36%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
7Is your impression of Ammar Campa-Najjar ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive26%27%25%22%21%25%33%22%29%27%25%24%31%7%54%25%8%1%37%50%**4%14%50%2%61%15%49%5%46%4%56%2%48%32%4%53%16%19%36%21%28%27%19%30%9%31%25%16%34%
Negative28%31%26%15%26%30%39%21%35%29%24%28%33%47%5%28%65%49%18%3%**54%53%7%72%4%20%21%58%21%56%6%65%10%27%66%8%25%31%27%21%29%31%33%26%18%26%40%19%37%
Neutral13%13%14%15%9%17%12%12%15%11%24%20%12%16%12%12%8%19%10%16%**12%9%23%10%10%20%10%19%11%15%11%10%17%14%10%15%20%11%14%11%17%12%16%12%21%12%12%16%11%
Unfamiliar32%29%36%48%44%27%16%46%22%33%27%28%25%30%29%36%20%31%35%31%**31%25%19%16%24%45%20%19%21%24%26%24%25%28%21%24%40%39%24%46%26%30%32%32%53%30%23%49%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
8Is your impression of Duncan Hunter ... ?
671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Positive22%26%19%20%22%26%21%21%23%24%15%23%24%35%8%19%46%32%13%11%**36%29%18%45%5%27%11%77%9%38%8%44%12%21%42%9%32%23%18%19%22%24%31%18%21%21%25%23%22%
Negative43%44%42%24%33%47%61%29%54%44%42%43%47%27%66%45%21%30%53%60%**24%38%57%26%86%28%54%4%72%26%67%22%62%47%27%70%30%35%55%35%47%44%43%44%25%48%43%25%59%
Neutral23%19%26%21%28%26%17%25%21%21%28%20%25%29%12%24%31%25%21%16%**33%23%18%27%4%36%27%15%15%32%14%31%17%24%26%13%29%25%19%22%23%21%18%25%31%20%21%28%18%
Unfamiliar12%11%13%35%17%1%1%26%1%11%14%13%4%9%14%13%1%13%12%13%**7%11%6%2%5%9%8%4%4%3%11%3%9%8%4%7%9%18%8%23%7%11%8%14%23%11%10%24%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
9The state of California will hold a primary election on Tuesday, March 3, a date which some call "Super Tuesday." Not everyone has a chance to vote in a primary election. Which best describes you?

I am not interested in politics; I will not vote.
I'm not sure whether I will or won't have time to vote.
I am almost certain I'll find time to vote.
I am absolutely 100% certain I will vote.

671 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Not Interested3%4%2%11%1%0%1%6%0%3%2%0%0%1%2%7%0%4%2%3%**----------------6%2%3%6%2%2%2%3%4%3%1%5%1%
Not Sure If Time6%5%7%11%12%2%2%11%2%6%8%0%0%4%8%6%0%5%4%11%**----------------9%7%4%8%6%5%5%7%18%4%4%10%2%
Almost Certain29%31%28%34%27%20%36%31%28%28%35%100%0%31%25%32%21%30%38%23%**27%40%35%20%34%50%31%33%32%30%34%26%36%36%24%37%30%28%30%31%31%27%32%28%27%28%33%28%30%
100% Certain59%58%60%40%55%76%60%48%68%60%55%0%100%61%65%52%77%58%53%63%**73%60%65%80%66%50%69%67%68%70%66%74%64%64%76%63%52%58%63%46%60%65%58%60%44%63%57%52%65%
Not Sure3%2%4%5%4%2%1%5%1%4%0%0%0%3%0%4%2%2%2%1%**----------------3%5%1%8%1%2%3%3%6%1%5%5%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%49%51%22%22%28%28%44%56%77%19%29%59%42%30%25%12%26%35%17%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%15%42%43%23%38%39%32%67%15%59%25%48%52%
 
10One of the contests on the California Super Tuesday primary ballot is an election for US House of Representatives from California's 50th Congressional District. Under California law, voters in a primary may choose a candidate from any political party. If the election for Congress were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you for vote for? (Candidate names rotated)
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Duncan Hunter (R)11%13%9%11%8%14%10%9%12%12%8%15%9%18%4%7%20%18%7%4%**12%19%9%15%5%24%5%39%3%17%5%16%8%11%17%3%16%11%10%12%11%11%11%12%15%9%14%15%9%
Ammar Campa-Najjar (D)31%31%31%27%29%30%37%28%33%31%32%26%34%7%69%29%7%2%41%65%**3%18%50%2%76%12%48%1%50%2%64%2%51%32%4%66%24%23%41%34%32%30%23%36%22%34%30%20%39%
Darrell Issa (R)16%17%15%9%13%14%24%11%19%16%11%14%16%25%2%15%33%22%12%2%**30%18%5%35%4%7%12%21%12%27%3%29%6%15%30%2%15%16%15%12%17%16%18%14%10%16%18%12%18%
Carl DeMaio (R)20%23%17%7%23%24%20%16%22%19%20%16%22%30%4%22%30%39%13%3%**33%29%1%39%3%24%17%28%14%36%3%37%10%20%32%2%20%22%17%13%17%24%24%18%20%18%23%15%23%
Brian Jones (R)4%3%5%13%4%2%2%8%2%5%3%8%2%6%1%5%2%2%6%7%**2%4%6%3%1%14%3%3%4%4%4%5%4%5%3%4%2%7%3%2%6%4%7%3%1%6%2%7%2%
David Edick Jr (I)1%2%1%5%2%1%0%3%0%2%0%2%1%0%3%2%0%1%2%0%**2%0%0%0%0%5%2%2%1%2%1%1%2%1%0%3%0%1%3%0%2%1%3%1%6%1%0%3%0%
Helen Horvath (I)2%1%3%3%3%1%1%3%1%1%5%1%2%0%2%4%0%0%3%0%**0%2%5%1%0%5%1%2%2%0%3%0%2%1%0%5%2%2%1%3%1%1%1%2%1%2%2%3%1%
Undecided15%11%20%25%19%15%7%22%11%14%21%18%14%14%15%15%8%16%16%19%**18%10%24%5%12%8%12%4%13%13%17%10%17%15%14%16%21%18%10%23%14%12%15%15%25%14%11%25%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
11In choosing a candidate for Congress, which issue is most important to you? (Issues rotated)
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Border Security17%15%20%11%10%23%20%10%22%18%14%14%19%29%4%13%25%30%12%2%**100%0%0%0%0%0%0%19%10%32%2%33%8%16%34%3%21%21%13%16%16%19%19%16%14%15%20%14%19%
Gun Rights7%11%4%15%10%3%6%12%4%8%7%9%7%8%5%10%13%7%7%5%**0%100%0%0%0%0%0%12%6%10%5%14%2%7%11%8%9%7%7%8%7%7%10%6%8%7%8%8%7%
Climate Change11%11%12%18%14%9%7%16%8%11%16%12%11%5%21%11%3%7%10%27%**0%0%100%0%0%0%0%2%14%2%20%1%19%12%1%18%9%10%13%15%12%9%9%13%16%11%11%13%10%
Rallying Around The President13%14%12%4%10%14%18%7%16%12%11%8%15%25%2%5%40%19%3%5%**0%0%0%100%0%0%0%34%7%24%1%31%2%8%36%1%18%14%10%9%15%12%15%11%11%11%17%7%17%
Holding The President Accountable17%17%17%8%15%21%19%12%20%17%18%17%17%5%33%19%2%2%26%30%**0%0%0%0%100%0%0%1%27%1%34%1%28%16%1%42%5%16%21%14%19%17%17%18%13%19%14%10%22%
Reproductive Rights2%2%3%5%3%1%2%4%1%3%1%2%2%3%2%1%2%2%2%1%**0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%2%3%2%1%3%3%1%1%3%0%3%1%3%2%3%2%6%2%0%3%2%
Government Spending9%8%11%14%17%6%5%16%5%9%10%14%7%9%6%15%5%13%11%7%**0%0%0%0%0%100%0%16%8%10%9%7%10%10%6%9%9%9%10%8%9%11%8%10%15%9%7%17%4%
Foreign Policy1%3%0%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%2%1%0%2%2%0%3%1%1%**0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%1%1%1%1%2%1%1%2%0%2%0%0%3%3%0%3%1%1%1%1%
Character Of The Candidate17%16%19%10%19%17%20%15%19%18%17%16%18%13%23%19%10%13%23%19%**0%0%0%0%0%0%100%6%21%13%21%9%23%22%6%13%14%18%18%21%16%16%12%20%12%19%16%19%16%
Other / Not Sure4%5%3%13%2%2%2%7%2%3%5%5%3%3%2%4%0%5%3%3%**0%0%0%0%0%0%0%5%2%3%4%2%3%4%3%4%10%4%2%6%4%3%4%3%2%4%5%7%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
12Incumbent Congressman Duncan Hunter has been indicted for allegedly misusing $250,000 in campaign funds. Hunter denies the charges and remains in office. Which best describes you?
The charges are a partisan witch-hunt; Hunter has done nothing wrong? Or the evidence suggests that an elected official may have broken the law?
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Partisan Witch-hunt13%18%9%15%9%18%10%12%14%14%12%13%13%21%4%12%33%17%8%3%**15%22%2%36%1%22%5%100%0%23%3%30%4%12%31%0%19%9%15%13%13%14%18%11%14%13%13%14%13%
May Have Broken The Law59%54%63%50%58%55%68%55%62%60%58%57%60%41%81%65%31%41%73%76%**34%48%74%33%95%53%73%0%100%38%82%33%76%62%37%82%46%56%65%55%62%59%53%64%48%64%56%49%66%
Do Not Know Enough To Say28%28%28%35%32%27%22%34%24%27%29%30%27%38%15%23%35%43%19%21%**51%30%24%32%4%25%23%0%0%38%15%37%20%27%32%18%35%35%19%32%25%27%30%25%38%23%31%37%21%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
13On immigration, do you want your member of Congress to ... ? Support Donald Trump's approach to limiting immigration into the United States? Or fight for compassionate immigration reform that deals realistically with those who are in the USA illegally?
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.9 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Support Donald Trump's Approach50%52%48%36%53%54%51%45%53%52%36%46%52%81%8%47%89%84%34%8%**92%66%10%94%3%50%38%87%32%100%0%93%22%48%93%1%55%57%42%34%53%52%55%46%46%47%55%49%50%
Fight For Compassionate Immigration Reform47%45%48%58%45%43%46%51%44%45%57%48%46%15%90%50%8%13%62%90%**6%34%83%4%95%44%58%11%66%0%100%4%75%48%5%97%39%41%55%62%43%45%41%52%46%50%42%47%47%
Don't Know Enough To Say3%3%4%6%2%3%3%4%3%3%7%6%2%4%2%4%3%3%4%2%**2%0%6%2%2%6%3%2%2%0%0%2%3%4%1%2%7%3%3%4%4%2%4%3%8%3%3%4%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
14On the environment, do you want your member of Congress to ... ? Support President Trump's attempts to ease environmental regulations? Or protect the earth, air, and ocean, and fight for policies that do not endanger the planet?
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Support Donald Trump's Attempts36%42%31%25%32%41%42%28%41%38%25%29%40%61%4%33%82%58%21%5%**70%66%2%89%3%27%19%81%20%68%3%100%0%30%84%2%43%41%29%29%38%36%43%32%38%33%41%32%40%
Protect Environment58%54%63%65%62%56%54%63%55%57%68%63%56%32%95%60%16%37%72%93%**26%19%97%8%95%64%79%17%76%26%93%0%100%64%12%96%50%52%67%61%58%60%50%64%57%61%55%60%57%
Don't Know Enough To Say5%4%7%11%6%3%4%8%4%5%7%8%4%7%0%6%2%6%7%2%**4%14%2%4%2%9%2%2%4%5%4%0%0%6%4%2%7%7%4%10%4%4%6%4%4%6%4%8%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
15On the US House of Representative's attempt to impeach President Trump, do you want your member of Congress to ... ? Approach the evidence with an open mind and make a fair determination whether President Trump violated his oath of office or not? Defend President Trump no matter what? Or fight to remove President Trump no matter what?
592 Likely Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceLikelyParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueHunter ChargesImmigrationEnvironmentImpeachmentEducationIncomeMilitary HHUrbanicityCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicAlmost C100% CerRepublicDemocratIndependVery ConConservaModerateLiberalVery LibBorder SGun RighClimate RallyingHolding GovernmeCharacteWitch-huBroken LSupport CompassiSupport Protect Fair DetDefend TRemove THigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KYesNoUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandline
Open Mind / Fair Determination61%65%58%65%68%61%55%66%58%64%52%66%59%62%57%63%39%65%69%63%**57%53%67%41%58%67%77%53%64%59%63%51%67%100%0%0%49%61%66%48%60%69%66%59%52%66%56%63%60%
Defend President Trump No Matter What20%20%21%12%19%24%23%16%23%22%13%15%23%35%3%17%58%29%9%4%**40%30%2%58%1%12%8%47%13%38%2%47%4%0%100%0%29%22%16%23%22%17%18%20%25%17%24%18%22%
Fight To Remove President Trump No Matter What16%14%18%22%8%12%22%14%17%13%28%18%15%2%38%14%3%3%20%28%**2%16%26%1%40%15%12%0%22%0%33%1%26%0%0%100%19%14%17%27%16%12%15%17%14%15%18%14%17%
Don't Know Enough To Say2%1%3%1%6%3%0%3%2%1%7%2%3%1%2%5%1%3%2%6%**0%0%5%0%1%7%3%0%1%2%2%1%3%0%0%0%3%3%1%3%3%2%2%3%8%2%2%5%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Primary Voters100%49%51%18%21%31%30%39%61%77%19%33%67%44%30%24%14%26%36%16%4%17%7%11%13%17%9%17%13%59%50%47%36%58%61%20%16%14%41%46%20%39%41%33%66%12%61%25%43%57%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.