Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #25541

Days Till Early Voting in CA Begins, Propositions 15, 16, 17, 19, 20, 21, 22 & 23 All Have Tailwind; Last-Minute Opposition Could De-Rail: 5 weeks till ballots are counted in the 2020 Presidential Election, 8 California statewide ballot measures all at this hour are positioned to pass, with 2 caveats: opposition to all ballot measures increases as Election Day approaches in a typical election year; 2020 is not a typical election year. These findings are the latest in research conducted exclusively for KABC-TV in Los Angeles, KGTV-TV in San Diego and the Union Tribune newspaper. At the top of the ticket, there is the expected lack of drama: California's 55 electoral votes are certain to stay Blue. Democratic challenger Joe Biden leads incumbent Republican President Donald J Trump 59% to 32%. A majority of Californian plan to vote early, by mail, and among this group, Biden leads by 56 points, 73% to 17%. Among voters who plan to vote in person, on Election Day, Trump leads Biden by 17 points, 55% to 38%. Among CA voters who backed Trump in 2016, 11% defect to Biden in 2020. By contrast, just 4% of those who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 defect to Trump in 2020. On Proposition 15, which would re-value commercial and industrial properties to raise money for public schools and community colleges, Yes leads No by more than 2:1. On Proposition 16, which would allow diversity to be considered as a factor in public employment and contracting decisions, Yes leads No by 14 points, 40% to 26%, with another 34% of likely voters not sure on 16. Proposition 16 could provide Election Night suspense. On Proposition 17, which restores voting rights to former inmates, Yes leads No by nearly 3:1, 55% to 19%. On Proposition 19, which gives new rights to homeowners over age 55 or who are the victim of a natural disaster, Yes leads No by 46 points, 56% to 10%. Proposition 20, which would re-classify certain crimes and change parole on other crimes, is more of a coin-toss at this hour, with a plurality of voters, 43%, not certain how they will vote. Of voters certain on Prop 20, Yes leads No by 13 points, 35% to 22%. Any outcome is possible. On Proposition 21, which would take from the state and give to local authorities certain rent control authority, Yes leads No by 19 points, 46% to 27%. On Proposition 22, which would regulate whether drivers for ride-share services such as Uber and Lyft, and drivers for delivery services, such as Instacart and Door Dash, are considered employees or independent contractors, Yes leads No by 14 points, 45% to 31%. This measure, too, could finish closer than here shown. On Proposition 23, which would regulate how kidney dialysis in administered in CA, Yes leads No by more than 2:1. About: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 adults from the state of California 09/26/2020 through 09/28/2020. Of the adults, 662 are registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 588 are determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to return a ballot before the 11/03/2020 deadline. This research was conducted online among a representative cross-section of CA adults using sample provided by Lucid Holdings LLC of New Orleans. The pool of adult survey respondents was weighted to US Census targets for gender, age, race, education, and home-ownership in California. Hillary Clinton carried California by 30 points. Biden leads by 27 points at this hour.

1	Are you registered to vote in the state of California?

800 Adults	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Yes	83%	82%	84%	75%	86%	91%	82%	80%	87%	91%	85%	78%	73%	94%	93%	75%	87%	85%	81%	93%	91%	86%	81%	92%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	93%	97%	73%	84%	91%	74%	83%	91%	88%	76%	86%	82%	77%	74%	86%	83%	90%
No	15%	16%	14%	22%	12%	9%	17%	17%	13%	8%	14%	20%	23%	6%	7%	22%	12%	15%	18%	6%	8%	14%	18%	7%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	6%	2%	25%	13%	7%	23%	15%	8%	11%	20%	13%	17%	19%	24%	13%	15%	9%
Not Sure	2%	2%	2%	3%	3%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	1%	2%	4%	1%	0%	3%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	1%	1%	1%	3%	2%	3%	2%	1%	1%	3%	2%	1%	5%	3%	1%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Adults	100%	49%	51%	31%	26%	24%	19%	58%	42%	41%	6%	35%	18%	26%	41%	23%	9%	14%	46%	14%	9%	23%	46%	23%	17%	72%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	24%	36%	34%	33%	34%	31%	37%	32%	55%	45%	38%	50%	12%	25%	38%	22%	15%

2	On November 3, California voters will choose a President and also vote on several statewide ballot measures. Not everyone has a chance to vote in an election. Which best describes you?

662 Registered Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 4.5 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Not Interested	3%	5%	2%	6%	3%	3%	0%	4%	2%	3%	3%	6%	0%	2%	2%	7%	4%	2%	3%	2%	2%	3%	3%	2%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	3%	1%	3%	5%	2%	7%	2%	1%	2%	5%	4%	3%	1%	2%	3%	2%	6%
Not Sure If Time	7%	9%	5%	13%	4%	7%	0%	9%	4%	5%	9%	9%	5%	3%	5%	14%	0%	9%	8%	5%	0%	5%	8%	3%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	2%	4%	8%	9%	4%	9%	7%	4%	6%	8%	8%	6%	3%	5%	8%	4%	10%
Almost Certain	17%	19%	15%	20%	21%	14%	10%	21%	12%	12%	6%	25%	17%	10%	16%	23%	10%	16%	19%	13%	6%	14%	19%	11%	100%	0%	18%	28%	9%	14%	20%	10%	13%	30%	14%	9%	24%	19%	9%	12%	24%	18%	16%	17%	19%	15%	22%	11%
100% Certain	72%	68%	76%	59%	71%	74%	90%	65%	81%	79%	82%	59%	76%	83%	77%	53%	85%	72%	67%	80%	92%	78%	67%	85%	0%	100%	82%	72%	91%	86%	80%	84%	81%	57%	72%	84%	58%	70%	85%	79%	63%	68%	74%	76%	72%	73%	69%	73%
Not Sure	1%	0%	2%	1%	1%	3%	0%	1%	2%	1%	0%	1%	3%	2%	1%	4%	1%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	2%	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-	-	-	0%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%	1%	2%	1%	2%	1%	3%	1%	1%	3%	1%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Registered Voters	100%	48%	52%	28%	27%	26%	18%	56%	44%	45%	6%	33%	16%	29%	46%	20%	10%	14%	45%	16%	10%	24%	45%	26%	17%	72%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	27%	42%	30%	33%	37%	28%	37%	35%	59%	41%	39%	50%	11%	22%	39%	22%	17%

3	How will you cast your ballot this year? By mail? In person before election day? Or in person on election day?

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
By Mail	55%	53%	58%	47%	52%	60%	66%	50%	62%	53%	53%	53%	69%	34%	65%	63%	29%	44%	59%	67%	61%	38%	59%	65%	52%	56%	100%	0%	0%	30%	69%	33%	68%	54%	57%	56%	53%	60%	53%	57%	53%	46%	62%	60%	58%	52%	49%	71%
In Person Before Election Day	15%	19%	11%	20%	11%	13%	16%	15%	14%	15%	22%	18%	6%	21%	12%	13%	40%	12%	13%	8%	13%	24%	13%	10%	22%	13%	0%	100%	0%	24%	11%	25%	11%	16%	15%	13%	18%	14%	13%	13%	17%	16%	13%	19%	10%	18%	17%	11%
In Person On Election Day	22%	22%	23%	25%	27%	22%	12%	26%	18%	26%	9%	21%	17%	38%	15%	17%	26%	31%	22%	17%	21%	29%	22%	18%	11%	25%	0%	0%	100%	39%	14%	36%	14%	22%	19%	25%	18%	20%	27%	24%	20%	28%	19%	19%	25%	24%	22%	15%
Not Sure	8%	6%	9%	8%	10%	6%	6%	9%	6%	6%	15%	8%	9%	7%	8%	6%	5%	12%	6%	8%	5%	9%	6%	7%	15%	6%	0%	0%	0%	8%	7%	7%	7%	9%	9%	5%	11%	7%	6%	6%	10%	10%	7%	2%	7%	7%	12%	4%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

4	If the November election for President were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Joe Biden? Or some other candidate?

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Donald Trump (R)	32%	35%	28%	29%	34%	30%	34%	32%	32%	45%	2%	24%	18%	84%	3%	21%	88%	70%	21%	9%	9%	77%	21%	9%	23%	34%	17%	50%	55%	100%	0%	86%	4%	35%	29%	31%	26%	32%	35%	36%	25%	33%	30%	37%	35%	30%	41%	20%
Joe Biden (D)	59%	53%	64%	61%	58%	57%	60%	60%	58%	47%	85%	67%	68%	11%	93%	55%	12%	22%	65%	88%	90%	18%	65%	89%	61%	59%	73%	42%	38%	0%	100%	11%	91%	59%	61%	57%	60%	63%	55%	57%	63%	60%	60%	50%	56%	62%	50%	71%
Some Other Candidate	3%	4%	2%	4%	2%	4%	1%	3%	3%	2%	6%	1%	6%	1%	0%	12%	1%	3%	3%	2%	1%	2%	3%	2%	4%	3%	3%	1%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1%	2%	3%	4%	6%	1%	2%	2%	4%	1%	3%	6%	4%	1%	4%	3%
Undecided	6%	8%	5%	5%	6%	9%	5%	6%	7%	5%	7%	7%	9%	4%	4%	11%	0%	6%	11%	1%	0%	3%	11%	1%	12%	5%	7%	7%	4%	0%	0%	3%	4%	5%	7%	8%	8%	4%	8%	5%	8%	6%	7%	7%	6%	7%	5%	6%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

5

One measure on the statewide California ballot is Proposition 15, which would increase funding sources for public schools, community colleges, and local government services by taxing commercial and industrial properties based on their current market value instead of their purchase price. Are you ...? Certain to vote yes? Certain to vote no? Or not certain?

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	49%	54%	44%	61%	61%	36%	33%	61%	35%	43%	59%	57%	46%	40%	56%	43%	46%	33%	50%	51%	65%	39%	50%	57%	55%	47%	50%	56%	51%	39%	55%	45%	54%	53%	47%	48%	60%	50%	40%	45%	55%	55%	42%	59%	46%	48%	44%	62%
Certain To Vote No	21%	24%	19%	9%	15%	27%	36%	13%	31%	27%	9%	15%	20%	37%	8%	32%	36%	44%	19%	15%	3%	41%	19%	10%	16%	22%	20%	30%	23%	37%	13%	38%	12%	19%	19%	25%	13%	22%	26%	26%	14%	15%	26%	21%	25%	23%	24%	7%
Not Certain	30%	22%	37%	29%	24%	37%	30%	26%	34%	30%	32%	28%	34%	23%	36%	25%	18%	22%	32%	34%	32%	21%	32%	33%	29%	30%	31%	14%	27%	23%	32%	17%	33%	28%	34%	27%	28%	28%	34%	29%	32%	30%	32%	19%	30%	28%	32%	31%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

6	The next statewide ballot measure, Proposition 16, would allow diversity to be considered as a factor in public employment, education, and contracting decisions. Are you ...?

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	40%	47%	34%	52%	45%	31%	29%	49%	30%	39%	53%	42%	35%	33%	48%	29%	40%	16%	37%	51%	64%	27%	37%	56%	35%	41%	42%	48%	39%	30%	47%	39%	45%	38%	35%	46%	38%	42%	40%	41%	38%	46%	35%	43%	37%	44%	34%	43%
Certain To Vote No	26%	25%	27%	20%	21%	36%	29%	20%	33%	27%	17%	18%	42%	41%	13%	40%	41%	52%	24%	16%	11%	47%	24%	14%	19%	28%	23%	31%	38%	46%	15%	37%	16%	16%	33%	28%	21%	26%	31%	30%	21%	21%	30%	29%	25%	26%	27%	28%
Not Certain	34%	28%	39%	28%	34%	33%	42%	31%	37%	34%	30%	40%	23%	25%	39%	32%	19%	32%	39%	33%	25%	26%	39%	30%	46%	31%	35%	21%	23%	24%	37%	24%	39%	46%	32%	26%	42%	33%	29%	29%	41%	33%	35%	28%	38%	30%	39%	29%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

7	Next, state Proposition 17, which restores voting rights after a person disqualified from voting while in prison has completed their prison term.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	55%	60%	50%	56%	70%	43%	47%	63%	45%	51%	77%	60%	48%	42%	62%	56%	36%	42%	55%	67%	73%	40%	55%	69%	62%	53%	57%	51%	50%	42%	63%	43%	61%	61%	47%	56%	61%	58%	47%	49%	63%	65%	50%	43%	52%	55%	52%	61%
Certain To Vote No	19%	23%	16%	23%	11%	25%	20%	17%	23%	23%	8%	19%	14%	31%	14%	16%	38%	29%	19%	8%	11%	33%	19%	9%	17%	20%	17%	27%	24%	34%	13%	31%	11%	14%	24%	20%	10%	22%	24%	22%	16%	17%	20%	27%	24%	19%	17%	17%
Not Certain	26%	17%	34%	20%	20%	33%	33%	20%	33%	26%	15%	21%	38%	28%	24%	28%	26%	29%	26%	25%	16%	27%	26%	21%	21%	27%	26%	21%	26%	23%	24%	27%	28%	25%	30%	24%	29%	20%	29%	29%	21%	18%	31%	30%	23%	26%	31%	22%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

8

State Proposition 19 would change certain property tax rules to allow homeowners who over age 55, disabled, or victims of wildfires or other disasters to transfer their primary residence's tax base to a replacement residence, change the way family property transfers are taxed, and create a fire protection services fund.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.3 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	56%	62%	51%	66%	54%	45%	62%	59%	52%	57%	60%	51%	63%	52%	64%	52%	48%	50%	58%	66%	63%	49%	58%	65%	49%	58%	60%	59%	52%	49%	62%	54%	58%	51%	52%	63%	48%	57%	61%	56%	56%	61%	52%	57%	54%	57%	48%	68%
Certain To Vote No	10%	10%	11%	7%	15%	10%	10%	11%	10%	10%	4%	15%	4%	18%	5%	5%	20%	10%	11%	2%	4%	14%	11%	3%	10%	10%	8%	10%	16%	19%	7%	18%	5%	12%	12%	8%	8%	14%	8%	9%	13%	10%	10%	15%	12%	9%	16%	5%
Not Certain	34%	28%	39%	27%	32%	45%	29%	30%	38%	33%	35%	34%	33%	31%	31%	43%	32%	39%	31%	32%	32%	36%	31%	32%	41%	32%	32%	31%	32%	31%	32%	29%	37%	36%	36%	29%	44%	29%	31%	35%	31%	30%	38%	28%	34%	34%	36%	27%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

9	State Proposition 20 would restrict parole for certain offenses that are currently considered to be non-violent, and would authorize felony sentences for certain offenses currently considered to be misdemeanors.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	35%	41%	30%	41%	39%	26%	33%	40%	29%	39%	20%	35%	29%	43%	32%	26%	50%	30%	34%	34%	31%	39%	34%	32%	36%	35%	34%	37%	46%	44%	31%	42%	29%	38%	29%	38%	32%	34%	38%	35%	35%	39%	31%	39%	36%	29%	37%	46%
Certain To Vote No	22%	28%	16%	18%	25%	25%	19%	22%	22%	22%	36%	23%	17%	26%	18%	29%	24%	30%	19%	23%	23%	28%	19%	23%	22%	22%	18%	39%	17%	26%	21%	31%	20%	23%	26%	18%	22%	26%	18%	22%	22%	21%	23%	21%	23%	23%	23%	15%
Not Certain	43%	31%	54%	41%	36%	49%	48%	39%	48%	39%	44%	43%	54%	31%	50%	45%	26%	40%	47%	43%	46%	34%	47%	45%	43%	43%	48%	24%	36%	30%	48%	27%	51%	39%	45%	44%	46%	40%	44%	43%	43%	40%	46%	40%	41%	48%	40%	39%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

10	State Proposition 21 would allow local governments to create rent controls on residential properties over 15 years old and allow local limits on rent increases to be different than the statewide limit.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	46%	52%	40%	50%	53%	39%	38%	52%	39%	41%	69%	52%	39%	36%	55%	40%	37%	38%	43%	53%	64%	38%	43%	58%	45%	46%	49%	41%	51%	39%	53%	41%	53%	50%	44%	45%	40%	49%	46%	47%	45%	55%	38%	49%	41%	51%	37%	54%
Certain To Vote No	27%	28%	26%	18%	20%	37%	35%	19%	36%	30%	9%	25%	28%	44%	15%	27%	44%	35%	30%	19%	7%	39%	30%	14%	28%	27%	25%	40%	26%	40%	18%	42%	14%	30%	27%	25%	25%	26%	29%	31%	21%	19%	33%	26%	26%	23%	39%	19%
Not Certain	27%	20%	34%	32%	27%	24%	27%	29%	25%	29%	22%	23%	33%	19%	30%	33%	19%	28%	26%	28%	30%	24%	26%	29%	28%	27%	26%	19%	23%	22%	29%	17%	32%	20%	30%	30%	35%	25%	24%	23%	34%	25%	29%	25%	33%	26%	24%	27%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

11	State Proposition 22 would exempt app-based transportation and delivery companies from providing employee benefits to certain drivers.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	45%	48%	41%	46%	46%	44%	42%	46%	43%	51%	38%	40%	39%	56%	38%	43%	70%	48%	39%	42%	42%	58%	39%	42%	42%	45%	41%	56%	47%	53%	41%	60%	43%	37%	42%	52%	36%	49%	46%	45%	44%	42%	44%	54%	36%	49%	41%	52%
Certain To Vote No	31%	35%	26%	29%	30%	29%	35%	30%	32%	27%	20%	35%	35%	25%	33%	37%	12%	27%	37%	28%	35%	20%	37%	31%	31%	30%	33%	31%	31%	27%	34%	25%	31%	36%	33%	25%	39%	24%	31%	31%	30%	31%	31%	25%	34%	28%	33%	27%
Not Certain	25%	16%	32%	25%	24%	27%	23%	25%	25%	22%	42%	25%	26%	20%	29%	21%	18%	25%	24%	30%	22%	22%	24%	27%	26%	24%	26%	13%	22%	20%	26%	15%	26%	27%	25%	23%	24%	26%	24%	24%	26%	26%	24%	21%	30%	23%	26%	21%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%

12	State Proposition 23 would create state requirements for kidney dialysis clinics which would require medical professionals be on-site during treatments, ban clinics from reducing services without state approval, and ban clinics from refusing to treat patients based on their source of payment.

588 Likely November Voters	All	Gender		Age				<50 / 50+		Race				Party Affiliation			Ideology					Ideology Aggregated			Likely		Cast Ballot			2020 POTUS Vote		2016 POTUS Vote		Education			Income			Home		Urbanicity			Region
Credibility Interval: ± 5.4 pct points		Male	Female	18-34	35-49	50-64	65+	18-49	50+	White	Black	Hispanic	Asian /	Republic	Democrat	Independ	Very Con	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Very Lib	Conserva	Moderate	Liberal	Almost C	100% Cer	Mail	Early In	Election	Trump	Biden	Trump	Clinton	High Sch	Some Col	4-Year C	< $40K	$40K - $	> $80K	Own	Rent	Urban	Suburban	Rural	Central	Greater	Inland E	Bay Area
Certain To Vote Yes	49%	50%	48%	59%	54%	45%	35%	56%	40%	47%	49%	50%	52%	43%	50%	53%	47%	35%	50%	50%	58%	40%	50%	53%	54%	48%	49%	56%	52%	42%	53%	50%	48%	46%	50%	49%	49%	51%	46%	45%	54%	47%	47%	62%	41%	51%	48%	56%
Certain To Vote No	23%	30%	18%	18%	18%	26%	33%	18%	29%	27%	34%	23%	9%	30%	21%	20%	27%	37%	22%	24%	14%	33%	22%	20%	18%	24%	22%	22%	26%	30%	21%	27%	23%	29%	20%	22%	22%	21%	26%	25%	20%	29%	20%	19%	23%	24%	24%	20%
Not Certain	28%	21%	35%	24%	28%	29%	33%	26%	31%	26%	17%	27%	39%	27%	29%	27%	25%	28%	28%	26%	28%	27%	28%	27%	28%	28%	29%	21%	21%	28%	26%	24%	28%	25%	30%	29%	29%	28%	27%	30%	25%	24%	33%	19%	36%	25%	28%	24%
Total	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%
Composition of Likely November Voters	100%	47%	53%	25%	28%	26%	21%	54%	46%	46%	6%	32%	17%	31%	47%	17%	11%	14%	43%	16%	11%	25%	43%	28%	19%	81%	55%	15%	22%	32%	59%	28%	45%	29%	32%	39%	26%	37%	37%	60%	40%	38%	50%	11%	23%	39%	23%	16%