| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17357 |
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Minnesota Men, Moderates Drift Ever-So-Slightly to DFL Dayton, Solidifying His Advantage Over Republican Emmer in Statehouse Bid:
In an election today 10/14/10 in the open Minnesota Governor contest, DFL candidate Mark Dayton edges Republican Tom Emmer, 42% to 37%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis-St. Paul and KAAL-TV in Rochester MN. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll one month ago, Dayton is up 4 points, Emmer is up 1, Independence Party candidate Tom Horner is down 4. Among men, Emmer had led Dayton by 9, now by 4. Among Moderates, Dayton had led Emmer 5:3, now 2:1. Regions are stable: effectively even in the Twin Cities, a single-digit DFL advantage in Southern and Western MN and a double-digit DFL advantage in Northeastern MN. Horner's support is down materially among Independents and among voters age 50+.
By 9:1, voters say the way to balance Minnesota's budget is to cut spending, not raise taxes. Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 Minnesota adults 10/11/10 through 10/13/10. Of them, 943 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 712 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election, 18 days from today. Incumbent Governor Republican Tim Pawlenty is not seeking a 3rd term. |
 | [Candidate names rotated] If the election for Minnesota Governor were today, who would you vote for? Republican Tom Emmer? DFL candidate Mark Dayton? Independence Party candidate Tom Horner? Or some other candidate? |
| 712 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Emmer (R) | 37% | 42% | 32% | 28% | 47% | 36% | 31% | 40% | 33% | 38% | ** | ** | ** | 72% | 6% | 37% | 67% | 25% | 10% | 75% | 6% | 37% | 30% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 59% | 15% | 17% | 62% | 56% | 26% | 37% | 38% | 39% | 40% | 36% | 41% | 20% | 50% | 35% | 34% | 40% | 38% | 34% | 39% | 33% |
| Dayton (DFL) | 42% | 38% | 46% | 47% | 32% | 46% | 50% | 37% | 48% | 42% | ** | ** | ** | 11% | 76% | 35% | 15% | 51% | 73% | 10% | 80% | 33% | 38% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 93% | 21% | 61% | 65% | 21% | 19% | 41% | 43% | 40% | 38% | 44% | 47% | 39% | 61% | 28% | 44% | 45% | 39% | 40% | 43% | 44% | 48% |
| Horner (IP) | 14% | 15% | 14% | 20% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 17% | 12% | 15% | ** | ** | ** | 14% | 12% | 19% | 11% | 17% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 20% | 15% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 1% | 12% | 19% | 12% | 12% | 22% | 16% | 18% | 14% | 17% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 16% | 12% | 17% | 11% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 13% | 12% |
| Other | 3% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 3% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Undecided | 4% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 4% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 2% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 18% | 34% | 26% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 37% | 42% | 14% | 6% | 53% | 38% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 13% | 15% | 14% |
| 2 | What do you think is the best way to balance the state budget? Raise taxes? Cut spending? Or both? |
| 684 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Raise Taxes | 6% | 7% | 6% | 13% | 4% | 6% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 14% | 4% | 2% | 6% | 16% | 2% | 15% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 15% | 1% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 6% | 19% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 4% | 6% |
| Cut Spending | 53% | 55% | 50% | 49% | 60% | 48% | 50% | 56% | 49% | 52% | ** | ** | ** | 76% | 28% | 58% | 80% | 38% | 31% | 85% | 18% | 59% | 49% | 83% | 26% | 45% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 36% | 76% | 66% | 47% | 45% | 57% | 61% | 46% | 52% | 54% | 30% | 67% | 47% | 55% | 51% | 50% | 47% | 65% | 56% |
| Both | 38% | 36% | 39% | 30% | 33% | 44% | 42% | 32% | 43% | 38% | ** | ** | ** | 20% | 56% | 35% | 17% | 51% | 48% | 13% | 64% | 35% | 35% | 14% | 56% | 51% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 49% | 19% | 32% | 40% | 47% | 33% | 33% | 43% | 37% | 37% | 49% | 28% | 43% | 32% | 41% | 40% | 42% | 29% | 34% |
| Not Sure | 3% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 3% | ** | ** | ** | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 5% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 12% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 18% | 34% | 27% | 22% | 52% | 48% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 32% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 41% | 14% | 6% | 53% | 38% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 13% | 16% | 14% |
| 3 | If taxes were to be raised, which do you think would be the most fair? Income taxes for upper income Minnesotans ? Income taxes for all Minnesotans? The sales tax? Or corporate taxes? |
| 670 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Taxes For Upper Income | 43% | 39% | 48% | 46% | 36% | 42% | 54% | 39% | 48% | 44% | ** | ** | ** | 30% | 63% | 35% | 29% | 46% | 66% | 20% | 65% | 42% | 50% | 20% | 68% | 37% | 72% | 29% | 57% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 35% | 48% | 41% | 50% | 40% | 46% | 53% | 39% | 45% | 53% | 40% | 42% | 40% | 45% | 51% |
| Taxes For All | 19% | 22% | 16% | 31% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 22% | 16% | 18% | ** | ** | ** | 28% | 9% | 22% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 33% | 8% | 18% | 13% | 31% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 27% | 10% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 18% | 19% | 17% | 22% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 18% | 12% | 20% | 21% | 13% | 17% | 17% |
| Sales Tax | 21% | 25% | 17% | 15% | 22% | 24% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 22% | ** | ** | ** | 27% | 13% | 27% | 30% | 18% | 13% | 32% | 14% | 24% | 8% | 31% | 10% | 32% | 5% | 26% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 39% | 13% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 20% | 19% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 24% | 19% | 28% | 27% | 17% |
| Corporate Taxes | 9% | 8% | 11% | 7% | 14% | 8% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 9% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 12% | 7% | 5% | 11% | 10% | 17% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 7% | 11% | 11% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 6% | 9% |
| Not Sure | 7% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 11% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 7% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 11% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 11% | 3% | 5% | 0% | 9% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 5% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 4% | 6% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 21% | 52% | 48% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 44% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 42% | 15% | 7% | 53% | 37% | 43% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| 4 | If the state sales tax rate is lowered, should the sales tax be expanded to also include clothing? |
| 665 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Yes | 28% | 32% | 25% | 26% | 28% | 36% | 21% | 27% | 30% | 28% | ** | ** | ** | 26% | 33% | 25% | 24% | 32% | 27% | 27% | 35% | 25% | 21% | 28% | 29% | 34% | 32% | 24% | 35% | 22% | 26% | 52% | 20% | 100% | 0% | 31% | 28% | 38% | 25% | 26% | 26% | 32% | 19% | 34% | 28% | 31% | 30% | 26% |
| No | 62% | 61% | 64% | 65% | 63% | 54% | 67% | 64% | 60% | 62% | ** | ** | ** | 66% | 58% | 62% | 68% | 60% | 57% | 61% | 57% | 66% | 68% | 63% | 60% | 61% | 60% | 66% | 55% | 69% | 61% | 37% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 63% | 61% | 53% | 66% | 65% | 66% | 60% | 70% | 59% | 62% | 64% | 56% | 66% |
| Not Sure | 10% | 8% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | ** | ** | ** | 8% | 9% | 13% | 9% | 8% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 12% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 15% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 21% | 51% | 49% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 31% | 34% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 41% | 15% | 7% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 13% | 15% | 14% |
| 5 | Do you support? Or oppose? Explanding legal gambling in Minnesota? |
| 661 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Support | 55% | 64% | 46% | 58% | 57% | 54% | 51% | 57% | 52% | 55% | ** | ** | ** | 61% | 54% | 52% | 60% | 55% | 43% | 61% | 46% | 57% | 60% | 57% | 50% | 65% | 42% | 63% | 48% | 51% | 55% | 59% | 64% | 60% | 56% | 100% | 0% | 71% | 47% | 47% | 54% | 59% | 50% | 59% | 56% | 51% | 56% | 54% |
| Oppose | 33% | 29% | 37% | 17% | 34% | 36% | 41% | 28% | 38% | 32% | ** | ** | ** | 32% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 30% | 39% | 31% | 29% | 35% | 35% | 22% | 41% | 29% | 38% | 38% | 30% | 31% | 31% | 32% | 32% | 0% | 100% | 18% | 42% | 35% | 37% | 31% | 35% | 32% | 31% | 41% | 26% | 39% |
| Not Sure | 12% | 7% | 18% | 24% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 15% | 9% | 12% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 13% | 13% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 9% | 15% | 12% | 12% | 8% | 15% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 11% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 11% | 18% | 9% | 10% | 15% | 9% | 13% | 8% | 18% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 31% | 35% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 41% | 15% | 7% | 53% | 37% | 44% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| 6 | Do you support? Or oppose? Using state money to help finance a new stadium for the Minnesota Vikings? |
| 660 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Support | 32% | 43% | 21% | 42% | 33% | 30% | 23% | 36% | 27% | 31% | ** | ** | ** | 35% | 32% | 31% | 29% | 35% | 32% | 35% | 31% | 31% | 27% | 30% | 36% | 30% | 44% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 38% | 32% | 34% | 43% | 27% | 41% | 18% | 100% | 0% | 45% | 23% | 34% | 22% | 37% | 29% | 33% | 35% | 38% |
| Oppose | 62% | 54% | 71% | 49% | 62% | 64% | 72% | 58% | 67% | 63% | ** | ** | ** | 60% | 63% | 63% | 67% | 59% | 60% | 64% | 63% | 58% | 65% | 67% | 59% | 58% | 52% | 63% | 62% | 66% | 60% | 58% | 60% | 54% | 67% | 53% | 78% | 0% | 100% | 52% | 74% | 58% | 70% | 58% | 65% | 63% | 56% | 56% |
| Not Sure | 6% | 4% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 6% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 5% | 6% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 3% | 5% | 12% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 8% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 8% | 5% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 18% | 33% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 31% | 35% | 29% | 36% | 43% | 17% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 41% | 15% | 7% | 53% | 37% | 44% | 19% | 21% | 9% | 28% | 62% | 55% | 33% | 32% | 62% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 14% | 15% | 14% |
| 7 | Is the state economy getting better? Getting worse? Or staying about the same? |
| 653 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | Vote For Governor | Balance Budget | Most Fair | Sales Tax On Clo | Expand Gambling? | Vikings Stadium? | Economy Next Year | Income | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 3.9 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Emmer (R | Dayton ( | Horner ( | Raise Ta | Cut Spen | Both | Taxes Fo | Taxes Fo | Sales Ta | Corporat | Yes | No | Support | Oppose | Support | Oppose | Getting | Getting | Same | < $50K | > $50K | Twin Cit | South MN | West MN | Northeas | |
| Getting Better | 13% | 14% | 11% | 16% | 11% | 13% | 10% | 13% | 12% | 13% | ** | ** | ** | 9% | 19% | 10% | 6% | 14% | 24% | 7% | 20% | 13% | 7% | 6% | 19% | 14% | 36% | 7% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 18% | 10% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 7% | 16% | 14% | 10% | 12% | 12% |
| Getting Worse | 36% | 32% | 41% | 22% | 38% | 42% | 36% | 33% | 40% | 37% | ** | ** | ** | 44% | 28% | 36% | 48% | 29% | 26% | 51% | 25% | 33% | 37% | 47% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 47% | 27% | 32% | 37% | 36% | 44% | 33% | 38% | 35% | 40% | 27% | 43% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 41% | 34% | 36% | 35% | 40% | 33% |
| Same | 50% | 53% | 47% | 62% | 50% | 43% | 50% | 54% | 46% | 49% | ** | ** | ** | 46% | 51% | 54% | 46% | 56% | 48% | 42% | 54% | 52% | 55% | 45% | 54% | 56% | 45% | 45% | 56% | 51% | 50% | 52% | 47% | 55% | 48% | 53% | 46% | 55% | 46% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 51% | 50% | 48% | 54% | 47% | 55% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 17% | 34% | 27% | 22% | 51% | 49% | 93% | 2% | 1% | 4% | 32% | 35% | 28% | 36% | 44% | 16% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 12% | 38% | 41% | 15% | 7% | 52% | 38% | 44% | 18% | 22% | 9% | 29% | 63% | 56% | 33% | 31% | 63% | 13% | 36% | 50% | 36% | 64% | 57% | 14% | 14% | 14% |