Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13811
In North Carolina, Clinton Closes To Within 5 Of Obama: In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina today, 04/29/08, one week till votes are counted, the 10-point lead that Barack Obama has had for two months is halved, to now 5 points, Obama 49%, Clinton 44%, according to SurveyUSA's 7th tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. In SurveyUSA last four polls, over the past two months, Obama has led by 10, 8, 10, and 9 points. Today: 5. White voters are key. Since January, Clinton had led among Carolina whites by 14, 19, 17, 22 and 23 points. But today, suddenly: 31. In the Research Triangle, Clinton is up 9 points, week-on-week; Obama is down 3; a net swing of 12 points to Clinton. Among unaffiliated voters, Clinton has overtaken Obama for the first time in 2008, though the difference is small and within the sub-group's margin of sampling error. The two tie among Moderates. Obama leads slightly among Liberals. Clinton leads slightly among Conservatives. There is enough cross-current in the political waters that SurveyUSA's final pre-Primary poll, next week, may show more movement -- though in which direction it is impossible to know.
Filtering: 2,100 NC adults were interviewed 04/26/08 through 04/28/08. Of them, 1,796 were registered to vote. Of them, 727 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 05/06/08 Primary. Unaffiliated voters are allowed to vote in the NC Democratic Primary. One-stop early voting began on 04/17/08 and continues through 05/03/08. At this hour, 2% of likely voters tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. The primary is on 05/06/08. 115 delegates will be awarded, proportionately, to the Democratic National Convention.
If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat?
727 Actual & Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceAlready Voted?Party AffiliationIdeologyRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 3.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackAlready Likely VRepublicDemocratUnaffiliConservaModerateLiberalCharlottRaleigh South &
Composition of Actual & Likely Voters100%45%55%21%32%26%21%53%47%45%13%42%61%33%2%98%0%86%14%18%44%20%32%53%15%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.