| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13811 |
| In North Carolina, Clinton Closes To Within 5 Of Obama: In a Democratic Primary in North Carolina today, 04/29/08, one week till votes are counted, the 10-point lead that Barack Obama has had for two months is halved, to now 5 points, Obama 49%, Clinton 44%, according to SurveyUSA's 7th tracking poll, conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. In SurveyUSA last four polls, over the past two months, Obama has led by 10, 8, 10, and 9 points. Today: 5. White voters are key. Since January, Clinton had led among Carolina whites by 14, 19, 17, 22 and 23 points. But today, suddenly: 31. In the Research Triangle, Clinton is up 9 points, week-on-week; Obama is down 3; a net swing of 12 points to Clinton. Among unaffiliated voters, Clinton has overtaken Obama for the first time in 2008, though the difference is small and within the sub-group's margin of sampling error. The two tie among Moderates. Obama leads slightly among Liberals. Clinton leads slightly among Conservatives. There is enough cross-current in the political waters that SurveyUSA's final pre-Primary poll, next week, may show more movement -- though in which direction it is impossible to know. |
| Filtering: 2,100 NC adults were interviewed 04/26/08 through 04/28/08. Of them, 1,796 were registered to vote. Of them, 727 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before the 05/06/08 Primary. Unaffiliated voters are allowed to vote in the NC Democratic Primary. One-stop early voting began on 04/17/08 and continues through 05/03/08. At this hour, 2% of likely voters tell SurveyUSA they have already voted. The primary is on 05/06/08. 115 delegates will be awarded, proportionately, to the Democratic National Convention. |
 | If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
| 727 Actual & Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | |||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Already | Likely V | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | |
| Clinton | 44% | 43% | 45% | 37% | 40% | 47% | 56% | 38% | 51% | 38% | 60% | 46% | 61% | 11% | ** | 44% | ** | 43% | 51% | 46% | 48% | 41% | 48% | 43% | 41% |
| Obama | 49% | 51% | 48% | 62% | 57% | 44% | 33% | 59% | 39% | 59% | 28% | 46% | 30% | 87% | ** | 49% | ** | 50% | 47% | 41% | 48% | 56% | 47% | 51% | 47% |
| Other | 4% | 4% | 4% | 0% | 1% | 6% | 8% | 1% | 7% | 1% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 1% | ** | 4% | ** | 4% | 1% | 10% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Undecided | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | ** | 3% | ** | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Actual & Likely Voters | 100% | 45% | 55% | 21% | 32% | 26% | 21% | 53% | 47% | 45% | 13% | 42% | 61% | 33% | 2% | 98% | 0% | 86% | 14% | 18% | 44% | 20% | 32% | 53% | 15% |