| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13281 |
| New Jersey Republican Primary: Moderates Propel McCain Past Romney -- 4 days to the NJ Republican Primary, it's John McCain 48%, Mitt Romney 25% and other in single digits, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WABC-TV New York and WCAU-TV Philadelphia. The contest is tied among Conservatives, but McCain leads by 39 points among Moderates. 1 in 3 voters say they may change their mind. |
| Filtering / Timing: 2,000 state of NJ adults were interviewed 01/30/08 and 01/31/08. All interviews completed after results of the Florida Primary were known. Half of the interviews were completed before the Republican Debate on 01/30/08, half were completed after. Of the adults, 1,772 were registered to vote. Of them, 456 were identified by SurveyUSA as likely to vote in the 02/05/08 Republican Primary. |
 | If the Republican Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for ...(names rotated) Mike Huckabee? John McCain? Mitt Romney? Ron Paul? Or some other Republican? |
| 456 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party | Ideology | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.7 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | Northern | Central | Southern | |
| Huckabee | 9% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | ** | 5% | ** | 9% | ** | 4% | 11% | 9% | 1% | 13% | 6% | 5% | 12% | 7% | 13% | 7% | 8% | ** | 7% | 6% | 8% | ** | ** | 14% | 4% | 9% | 15% |
| McCain | 48% | 49% | 46% | 29% | 51% | 56% | 52% | 42% | 54% | 51% | ** | 15% | ** | 49% | ** | 36% | 38% | 53% | 66% | 47% | 51% | 45% | 41% | 52% | 40% | 51% | 45% | ** | 60% | 58% | 49% | ** | ** | 33% | 49% | 47% | 46% |
| Romney | 25% | 21% | 30% | 18% | 24% | 26% | 31% | 21% | 28% | 25% | ** | 24% | ** | 24% | ** | 37% | 40% | 14% | 13% | 26% | 18% | 30% | 36% | 17% | 23% | 26% | 24% | ** | 10% | 25% | 38% | ** | ** | 37% | 24% | 28% | 22% |
| Paul | 7% | 10% | 4% | 19% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 11% | 3% | 7% | ** | 12% | ** | 7% | ** | 10% | 4% | 13% | 0% | 6% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 10% | 5% | 9% | 10% | ** | 4% | 8% | 0% | ** | ** | 7% | 12% | 3% | 6% |
| Other | 7% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 3% | 10% | 3% | 6% | ** | 21% | ** | 6% | ** | 13% | 3% | 8% | 17% | 3% | 9% | 11% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 4% | 9% | ** | 9% | 1% | 5% | ** | ** | 5% | 9% | 4% | 8% |
| Undecided | 5% | 5% | 4% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 3% | ** | 23% | ** | 5% | ** | 0% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 10% | 2% | 4% | ** | 10% | 2% | 0% | ** | ** | 4% | 3% | 9% | 3% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 56% | 44% | 21% | 32% | 25% | 22% | 53% | 47% | 84% | 2% | 10% | 5% | 93% | 0% | 7% | 42% | 40% | 8% | 45% | 32% | 23% | 44% | 54% | 34% | 65% | 37% | 1% | 10% | 14% | 13% | 3% | 2% | 15% | 38% | 31% | 30% |