Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14022
King of the Hill? Incumbent Has Early Lead in IN-9 Rematch: In an election for US House of Representatives in Indiana's 9th Congressional District today, 06/19/08, incumbent Democrat Baron Hill defeats Republican Mike Sodrel -- his opponent in 2002, 2004, and 2006 -- by 11 points. Libertarian Eric Schansberg, who also ran in 2006, takes 4% of the vote. Among men, Hill leads by 7 points; among women, Hill leads by 14. Among voters age 18 to 49, Hill leads by 4 points; among voters 50+, Hill leads by 18. 17% of Republicans cross over to vote for Hill; 14% of Democrats cross over to vote for Sodrel; independents favor Hill by 18 points. 14% of independents vote for Schansberg. Hill was first elected in 1998 and re-elected in 2000 and 2002. In 2004, Hill lost to Sodrel by a margin of 1,425 votes; Hill beat Sodrel 50% to 45% to re-take his seat in 2006.
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Indiana's 9th Congressional District 06/16/08 through 06/18/08; of the adults, 786 identified themselves as being registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 597 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November general election.
If the election for U.S. House of Representatives, were today, would you vote for ... (names rotated) Republican Mike Sodrel? Democrat Baron Hill? Or Libertarian Eric Schansberg?
597 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+Party AffiliationIdeologyAttend Religious ServiceAbortionChange Your Mind
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiCould ChMind Mad
Mike Sodrel (R)40%42%39%43%42%40%34%43%37%78%14%30%70%32%10%47%35%30%51%24%36%43%
Baron Hill (D)51%49%53%47%48%52%58%47%55%17%81%48%20%62%81%45%57%60%42%67%49%52%
Eric Schansberg (L)4%5%3%3%6%5%2%5%3%2%2%14%7%2%6%3%4%7%3%5%5%3%
Composition of Likely Voters100%52%48%23%31%27%19%54%46%37%44%14%32%38%14%54%26%20%61%36%27%71%