| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #18953 |
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In Minnesota, Obama Takes All Comers:
9 months to the general election, incumbent Democrat Barack Obama defeats possible Republican challenger Ron Paul by 11 points, Mitt Romney by 13 points, Rick Santorum by 19 points and Newt Gingrich by 26 points, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KSTP-TV in Minneapolis. The North Star State's 10 electoral votes are safely blue, for now. Cell-phone respondents and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 600 Minnesota adults 01/31/12 through 02/02/12. Of the adults, 542 were registered to vote. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (78% of registered voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents unreachable on a home telephone (22% of registered voters) were shown a visual questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device. In this research, cell-phone and home phone respondents differ. Among cell-phone respondents, Ron Paul and Barack Obama tie. Among home phone respondents, Obama leads by 14. When the two groups are proportionally blended, Obama leads by 11. |
 | In the November election for President of the United States, if the only candidates on the ballot were Democrat Barack Obama and Republican Mitt Romney, who would you vote for? |
| 542 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | College | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Obama (D) | 49% | 49% | 49% | 46% | 46% | 51% | 55% | 46% | 52% | 47% | 49% | 6% | 85% | 38% | 18% | 54% | 12% | 55% | 83% | 47% | 47% | 51% | 49% | 54% | 43% | 50% | 50% | 43% | 50% |
| Romney (R) | 36% | 33% | 39% | 36% | 37% | 38% | 32% | 37% | 36% | 35% | 37% | 86% | 7% | 36% | 72% | 32% | 78% | 27% | 9% | 38% | 34% | 37% | 32% | 32% | 46% | 35% | 38% | 41% | 33% |
| Undecided | 15% | 18% | 13% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 12% | 18% | 14% | 8% | 8% | 26% | 10% | 14% | 10% | 18% | 7% | 15% | 19% | 12% | 19% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 12% | 16% | 17% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 52% | 48% | 22% | 78% | 23% | 38% | 37% | 7% | 87% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 18% | 35% | 47% | 25% | 46% | 29% | 59% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| 2 | What if it the only candidates were Barack Obama and Republican Newt Gingrich? |
| 542 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | College | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Obama (D) | 55% | 54% | 56% | 50% | 51% | 59% | 61% | 51% | 59% | 52% | 56% | 12% | 86% | 48% | 18% | 60% | 14% | 65% | 86% | 52% | 56% | 55% | 52% | 59% | 52% | 57% | 54% | 49% | 52% |
| Gingrich (R) | 29% | 30% | 28% | 29% | 29% | 29% | 30% | 29% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 78% | 5% | 24% | 74% | 24% | 64% | 21% | 7% | 28% | 29% | 30% | 25% | 27% | 37% | 27% | 33% | 37% | 27% |
| Undecided | 16% | 16% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 12% | 9% | 20% | 11% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 8% | 28% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 20% | 15% | 15% | 24% | 15% | 11% | 15% | 14% | 14% | 21% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 52% | 48% | 22% | 78% | 23% | 38% | 37% | 7% | 87% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 18% | 35% | 47% | 25% | 46% | 29% | 59% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
 | What if it were Obama and Republican Ron Paul? |
| 542 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | College | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Obama (D) | 48% | 45% | 50% | 40% | 45% | 53% | 54% | 42% | 54% | 42% | 49% | 12% | 81% | 37% | 16% | 52% | 13% | 57% | 74% | 42% | 51% | 48% | 48% | 50% | 44% | 50% | 43% | 42% | 48% |
| Paul (R) | 37% | 42% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 36% | 30% | 40% | 33% | 41% | 35% | 74% | 11% | 40% | 81% | 32% | 66% | 29% | 20% | 41% | 31% | 39% | 30% | 37% | 42% | 35% | 40% | 42% | 34% |
| Undecided | 16% | 13% | 18% | 16% | 20% | 11% | 16% | 18% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 8% | 23% | 4% | 16% | 21% | 15% | 7% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 22% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 18% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 52% | 48% | 22% | 78% | 23% | 38% | 37% | 7% | 87% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 18% | 35% | 47% | 25% | 46% | 29% | 59% | 13% | 14% | 14% |
| 4 | What if it were Obama and Republican Rick Santorum? |
| 542 Registered Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Cell Phone / Lan | Party Affiliation | Tea Party Member | Ideology | Education | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct points | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Cell Pho | Landline | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Yes | No | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | High Sch | Some Col | College | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | Twin Cit | S MN | W MN | NE MN | |
| Obama (D) | 51% | 53% | 50% | 53% | 46% | 53% | 52% | 50% | 53% | 56% | 50% | 7% | 84% | 45% | 18% | 56% | 14% | 60% | 81% | 43% | 54% | 53% | 52% | 55% | 44% | 55% | 47% | 38% | 50% |
| Santorum (R) | 32% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 30% | 36% | 34% | 28% | 36% | 25% | 34% | 79% | 6% | 29% | 71% | 27% | 66% | 24% | 11% | 34% | 29% | 33% | 23% | 30% | 41% | 28% | 37% | 38% | 34% |
| Undecided | 17% | 17% | 18% | 21% | 24% | 11% | 14% | 22% | 12% | 19% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 26% | 11% | 16% | 21% | 16% | 8% | 23% | 18% | 14% | 24% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 23% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Registered Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 27% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 52% | 48% | 22% | 78% | 23% | 38% | 37% | 7% | 87% | 27% | 48% | 22% | 18% | 35% | 47% | 25% | 46% | 29% | 59% | 13% | 14% | 14% |