Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17132
 
New York State: Cuomo Atop Paladino for Govenor; Gillibrand and DioGuardi Even for US Senate; Schumer Re-Elected: In an election for New York Governor today, 09/22/10, 1 week after the Primary and 6 weeks until the General Election, Democrat Andrew Cuomo defeats Republican Carl Paladino 49% to 40%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for Gannett, including WGRZ-TV in Buffalo, The Rochester Democrat & Chronicle, and the Journal News in White Plains.

Lower-income voters account for all of Cuomo's lead. The contest is effectively even among middle-income and upper-income voters. Cuomo leads 2:1 in New York City. Paladino leads 5:3 in Western NY. The candidates are effectively even in the NYC suburbs and Upstate. Consistent with SurveyUSA polling in other statewide races: men in 2010 are voting Republican, women in 2010 are voting Democrat; there is a 34-point gender gap for Governor.

New York voters will, unusually, elect 2 United States Senators in 2010. In the Special Election to fill the final 2 years of Hillary Rodham Clinton's term, incumbent Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand and former Congressman Republican Joe DioGuardi today finish effectively even, Gillibrand's nominal 1-point lead being within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error. Gillibrand leads in the 5 boroughs of NYC, trails elsewhere. Men vote Republican, women vote Democrat and, in this contest, cancel each other out. Lower-income voters break significantly Democrat. Middle-income and upper-income voters break slightly Republican.

In New York's general election for US Senate, incumbent Democrat Chuck Schumer is reelected, defeating Republican Jay Townsend 54% to 33%. Schumer leads among both men and women, among both young and old, among both whites and minorities. 1 in 4 Republicans cross over to vote for Schumer; Independents favor Schumer by 17 points. Schumer wins in NYC and its suburbs, leads in WNY, trails upstate.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 1,000 New York adults 09/20/10 through 09/21/10. Of them, 867 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 572 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election.
 
[Candidate names rotated]
If the election for New York Governor were today, who would you vote for? Republican Carl Paladino? Democrat Andrew Cuomo? Or another candidate?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Paladino (R)40%49%32%56%40%38%33%45%36%46%7%33%42%72%16%39%69%32%15%76%8%33%24%54%14%66%32%41%39%54%31%66%30%28%44%46%28%45%42%58%
Cuomo (D)49%40%57%33%49%49%58%43%53%42%86%55%41%18%77%41%17%58%78%12%84%54%68%33%75%21%46%48%50%36%57%23%59%60%46%44%61%44%43%36%
Other8%9%8%11%10%9%5%10%7%8%4%11%16%8%5%16%10%7%7%11%7%9%7%8%10%11%20%10%7%6%10%8%9%10%8%8%9%8%11%5%
Undecided3%2%4%0%2%3%4%1%4%3%4%0%1%3%2%4%4%2%0%2%1%4%2%5%1%2%2%2%4%4%1%2%3%2%2%2%2%4%4%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
New York will also elect two United States Senators. In the first US Senate election, for a 2-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Joe DioGuardi? Democrat Kirsten Gillibrand? Or another candidate?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
DioGuardi (R)44%52%36%65%43%42%32%51%38%50%13%40%34%74%19%45%72%39%14%78%9%42%35%55%14%60%31%45%42%59%34%60%36%30%49%47%35%51%49%47%
Gillibrand (D)45%39%50%28%44%46%56%38%50%38%77%53%51%15%72%38%17%50%77%12%81%43%56%32%72%25%55%45%45%32%53%30%52%56%42%44%54%39%37%43%
Other8%5%10%2%11%8%8%7%8%8%7%0%14%4%7%14%7%9%7%8%7%9%5%9%12%12%11%8%7%5%9%8%7%9%6%7%7%6%11%8%
Undecided4%3%4%6%3%4%4%4%4%4%3%7%1%6%2%4%5%2%1%1%3%6%3%4%2%4%3%2%6%4%4%3%4%5%3%2%4%4%3%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%
 
 
[Candidate names rotated]
In the second US Senate election, for a full 6-year term ... If the election were today, who would you vote for? Republican Jay Townsend? Democrat Chuck Schumer? Or another candidate?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Townsend (R)33%39%27%39%33%33%28%35%31%39%7%25%23%59%11%35%59%26%9%61%9%28%23%49%11%45%30%33%33%51%22%44%28%26%31%40%22%36%46%38%
Schumer (D)54%48%60%41%55%56%60%50%58%47%85%64%65%24%79%52%26%62%84%24%84%59%67%40%76%46%51%56%53%37%65%36%63%60%54%53%68%49%41%47%
Other10%11%9%16%9%9%8%12%9%12%5%11%1%12%8%13%14%8%6%15%5%11%6%8%13%7%16%10%11%10%11%17%8%12%12%6%7%13%12%12%
Undecided3%2%4%4%3%2%3%3%3%2%2%0%11%4%2%1%1%4%1%0%2%3%4%3%0%2%3%1%3%2%2%3%1%2%3%1%3%3%2%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%
 
 
Is your opinion of Carl Paladino ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Carl Paladino?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable35%43%27%56%35%27%29%43%28%38%14%44%25%55%19%35%61%23%20%64%11%28%25%41%20%53%22%37%33%51%25%53%29%31%41%35%28%35%32%53%
Unfavorable31%31%31%26%28%35%34%27%34%28%51%35%26%15%45%28%12%39%50%10%60%26%40%23%38%16%48%34%28%22%38%18%37%30%32%33%36%30%28%25%
Neutral21%17%25%11%20%24%26%17%25%24%13%8%23%20%18%30%19%22%18%20%15%32%20%24%26%20%20%20%23%22%21%19%21%25%19%21%20%23%26%14%
No Opinion13%9%18%7%17%14%12%13%13%10%22%13%25%10%18%7%8%15%12%6%15%14%14%11%16%11%9%9%16%5%16%10%13%15%9%11%16%12%14%8%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%
 
 
Is your opinion of Andrew Cuomo ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion of Andrew Cuomo?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Favorable47%42%51%41%43%44%57%42%50%40%76%64%48%20%71%41%21%55%71%17%78%47%61%34%74%28%46%48%45%33%56%29%54%51%47%42%58%41%42%35%
Unfavorable27%35%20%29%31%28%22%30%25%32%10%16%18%41%12%36%49%21%10%53%7%20%17%36%15%41%34%28%28%40%20%43%22%22%29%32%17%31%31%41%
Neutral23%20%25%28%23%23%19%25%21%24%12%20%34%33%15%22%27%21%18%26%13%29%19%26%9%27%17%22%21%23%21%24%22%24%20%22%23%26%19%19%
No Opinion4%2%5%3%4%5%2%3%4%4%2%0%1%7%2%2%4%3%2%4%1%4%3%4%1%4%3%2%5%4%2%5%3%3%4%3%2%2%8%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%
 
 
Which of these issues is currently the most important one facing New York State?
572 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyOpinion Of Tea PartyTop IssueCollege GradAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralJobsTaxesHealth CGovernmePublic CYesNoPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $40K$40K - $> $80KNYCNYC SubuUpstateWNY
Jobs38%33%42%42%34%40%38%37%39%32%71%39%42%28%49%28%29%37%56%24%54%37%100%0%0%0%0%38%36%33%41%24%42%46%34%35%51%32%30%28%
Taxes27%27%27%21%31%29%23%27%26%31%15%16%13%34%18%35%34%25%16%30%19%35%0%100%0%0%0%26%29%34%22%30%25%20%27%33%15%33%30%40%
Health Care8%6%10%5%5%8%12%5%10%7%10%13%5%4%11%8%5%9%11%5%9%9%0%0%100%0%0%7%9%8%8%4%10%14%9%3%11%5%6%7%
Government Spending13%15%11%12%16%13%10%15%12%14%0%24%18%17%10%14%17%15%4%22%7%7%0%0%0%100%0%14%12%11%14%20%11%8%14%15%12%11%16%15%
Public Corruption7%8%5%6%7%4%10%7%7%7%1%1%15%6%7%9%6%8%6%7%8%4%0%0%0%0%100%5%9%9%5%8%6%7%6%8%6%6%11%5%
Business Friendly5%8%2%13%3%4%2%6%3%5%2%5%4%10%2%3%9%3%2%10%0%3%0%0%0%0%0%7%2%3%6%11%2%2%7%4%3%9%4%2%
Other2%3%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%2%3%1%3%3%0%0%0%0%0%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%2%2%3%2%2%
Not Sure1%1%1%0%1%0%2%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%2%0%1%1%1%2%1%0%0%1%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%17%29%29%25%46%54%73%12%8%7%35%44%20%35%36%20%38%35%22%38%27%8%13%7%59%41%39%59%27%71%26%41%33%38%26%20%16%