| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #19736 |
|
In newly drawn CA-44, Incumbent Democrat Janice Hahn Atop Incumbent Democrat Laura Richardson:
In an election for U.S. House of Representatives from California's newly drawn 44th Congressional District, Congresswoman Janice Hahn runs ahead of Congresswoman Laura Richardson, 43% to 33%, according to a KABC-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA. The district is heterogeneous. Richardson, a member of the Congressional black caucus, leads among African American voters. Hahn leads among whites, Hispanics and Asians. Hahn leads in union households and in non-union households. Hahn leads among men and women. Hahn leads among conservatives, moderates and liberals. Hahn leads among those with a high-school education and among those with a 4-year college degree. Richardson leads among voters earning less than $40,000 a year. Hahn leads among those earning more than $40,000 a year. Richardson's support is younger. Hahn's support is older.
* Hahn has a Plus 27 Net Favorability Rating: 39% of voters view her favorably, compared to 12% who view her unfavorably. Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 800 registered voters from California's 44th Congressional District 09/20/12 through 09/22/12, using Registration Based Sample (voter list sample) from Aristotle of Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 613 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/06/12 election. This research was conducted entirely by telephone. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (82% of likely voters), were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (18% of likely voters), were called on their cell phones by live operators, who hand-dialed the phone, secured respondent cooperation, verified respondent eligibility, asked the questions, logged the answers, and remained on the line until the call was completed. Both candidates are sitting members of Congress. Both are Democrats, who finished first and second in California's "top 2" primary system. Because of redistricting, the 2 candidates are fighting for one newly-drawn House seat. |
 | In the election for U.S. House of Representatives from California's 44th Congressional District, the only two candidates on the ballot are both Democrats. If the election were today, would you vote for ... ... (candidate names rotated) Laura Richardson? Or Janice Hahn? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | 2012 Vote | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Union | Education | Income | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Laura Richardson | 33% | 30% | 36% | 41% | 31% | 29% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 16% | 48% | 35% | 25% | 22% | 36% | 23% | 38% | 22% | 37% | 33% | 32% | 35% | 34% | 37% | 33% | 32% | 41% | 28% | 43% | 33% | 28% |
| Janice Hahn | 43% | 46% | 41% | 25% | 41% | 52% | 53% | 34% | 52% | 56% | 39% | 39% | 41% | 19% | 49% | 43% | 45% | 44% | 46% | 35% | 41% | 48% | 37% | 48% | 41% | 46% | 38% | 47% | 37% | 44% | 48% |
| Undecided | 24% | 24% | 23% | 34% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 31% | 16% | 28% | 13% | 26% | 33% | 60% | 15% | 34% | 17% | 34% | 17% | 32% | 27% | 16% | 28% | 15% | 26% | 22% | 21% | 25% | 20% | 24% | 23% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 18% | 82% | 19% | 71% | 17% | 66% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 66% | 15% | 36% | 49% | 29% | 36% | 35% |
 | Is your opinion of Laura Richardson ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | 2012 Vote | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Union | Education | Income | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Favorable | 23% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 21% | 24% | 29% | 20% | 26% | 14% | 39% | 17% | 18% | 12% | 26% | 9% | 29% | 12% | 28% | 17% | 21% | 23% | 27% | 25% | 23% | 22% | 28% | 21% | 31% | 22% | 20% |
| Unfavorable | 19% | 22% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 29% | 22% | 12% | 26% | 28% | 13% | 18% | 20% | 5% | 22% | 33% | 15% | 27% | 15% | 31% | 20% | 26% | 13% | 23% | 18% | 17% | 18% | 22% | 14% | 19% | 24% |
| Neutral | 33% | 34% | 33% | 35% | 33% | 31% | 35% | 34% | 32% | 32% | 31% | 35% | 35% | 31% | 34% | 33% | 33% | 33% | 35% | 25% | 32% | 32% | 37% | 34% | 32% | 37% | 35% | 30% | 28% | 39% | 32% |
| No Opinion | 24% | 22% | 26% | 33% | 34% | 16% | 13% | 34% | 15% | 26% | 16% | 30% | 27% | 52% | 18% | 26% | 23% | 28% | 22% | 26% | 27% | 20% | 24% | 18% | 27% | 24% | 19% | 28% | 27% | 20% | 24% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 18% | 82% | 19% | 71% | 17% | 66% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 66% | 15% | 36% | 49% | 29% | 36% | 35% |
 | Is your opinion of Janice Hahn ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or, do you have no opinion one way or the other? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | 2012 Vote | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Union | Education | Income | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Favorable | 39% | 40% | 39% | 22% | 33% | 49% | 53% | 28% | 51% | 46% | 40% | 35% | 38% | 20% | 44% | 34% | 43% | 39% | 43% | 29% | 34% | 44% | 39% | 44% | 38% | 47% | 36% | 40% | 38% | 41% | 39% |
| Unfavorable | 12% | 15% | 9% | 12% | 11% | 14% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 15% | 8% | 15% | 7% | 5% | 13% | 23% | 8% | 17% | 9% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 12% | 14% | 11% | 5% | 13% | 13% | 17% | 8% | 13% |
| Neutral | 29% | 29% | 29% | 31% | 33% | 24% | 27% | 32% | 25% | 25% | 37% | 23% | 31% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 24% | 30% | 29% | 25% | 28% | 33% | 28% | 29% | 31% | 31% | 28% | 25% | 30% | 32% |
| No Opinion | 20% | 16% | 23% | 34% | 23% | 13% | 11% | 28% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 28% | 24% | 44% | 14% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 18% | 21% | 25% | 16% | 17% | 14% | 22% | 17% | 21% | 19% | 20% | 21% | 16% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 18% | 82% | 19% | 71% | 17% | 66% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 66% | 15% | 36% | 49% | 29% | 36% | 35% |
 | Who is more ethical? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | 2012 Vote | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Union | Education | Income | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Laura Richardson | 22% | 20% | 23% | 26% | 25% | 17% | 21% | 25% | 19% | 13% | 30% | 24% | 17% | 18% | 23% | 15% | 25% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 24% | 22% | 25% | 23% | 20% | 28% | 21% | 18% |
| Janice Hahn | 34% | 36% | 32% | 23% | 24% | 44% | 42% | 24% | 43% | 40% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 17% | 37% | 35% | 34% | 38% | 34% | 27% | 34% | 41% | 26% | 36% | 32% | 39% | 35% | 31% | 32% | 31% | 36% |
| Not Sure | 45% | 44% | 45% | 51% | 51% | 39% | 37% | 51% | 38% | 47% | 38% | 46% | 51% | 65% | 40% | 50% | 41% | 46% | 40% | 55% | 41% | 37% | 54% | 40% | 46% | 36% | 42% | 49% | 39% | 47% | 46% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 18% | 82% | 19% | 71% | 17% | 66% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 66% | 15% | 36% | 49% | 29% | 36% | 35% |
 | If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican Mitt Romney? Democrat Barack Obama? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Or one of the other candidates? |
| 613 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Cell Phone / Lan | 2012 Vote | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Union | Education | Income | |||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Cell Pho | Landline | Mitt Rom | Barack O | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | High Sch | Some Col | 4-year C | < $40K | $40K - $ | > $80K | |
| Mitt Romney (R) | 19% | 24% | 15% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 18% | 18% | 21% | 34% | 3% | 22% | 24% | 16% | 20% | 100% | 0% | 71% | 5% | 23% | 43% | 16% | 8% | 19% | 20% | 16% | 17% | 23% | 14% | 19% | 27% |
| Barack Obama (D) | 71% | 65% | 76% | 73% | 69% | 71% | 72% | 71% | 71% | 54% | 93% | 67% | 61% | 65% | 73% | 0% | 100% | 21% | 91% | 47% | 49% | 73% | 83% | 75% | 69% | 76% | 77% | 66% | 80% | 73% | 61% |
| Gary Johnson (L) | 3% | 5% | 1% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 4% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% | 12% | 3% | 5% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% | 4% | 2% | 2% | 5% |
| Other | 2% | 3% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Undecided | 5% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 16% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 2% | 12% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 46% | 54% | 23% | 27% | 30% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 24% | 31% | 32% | 13% | 18% | 82% | 19% | 71% | 17% | 66% | 15% | 22% | 40% | 23% | 31% | 66% | 15% | 36% | 49% | 29% | 36% | 35% |