Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16657
 
8 Weeks To MN DFL Primary for Governor, Dayton Out in Front, But Kelliher, Entenza Have Support in Some Quarters: In a DFL Primary for Governor of Minnesota today, 06/17/10, former US Senator Mark Dayton defeats State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher and former State House Minority Leader Matt Entenza, according to a KSTP-TV news poll conducted by SurveyUSA. Dayton leads 3:1 in Western Minnesota and 2:1 among seniors. Kelliher ties Dayton in the greater Twin Cities. Entenza ties Dayton among Independents: Minnesota voters do not declare party affiliations, and any voter can vote in the DFL primary.
 
In General Election Matchups, Republican Emmer Loses Some Ground: In three hypothetical, look-ahead general election match-ups for Minnesota Governor today, 06/17/10, Republican Tom Emmer is in a tight fight no matter his DFL opponent.

Against Democrat Mark Dayton today, it's Emmer 35%, Dayton 38%.
Against Democrat Margaret Anderson Kelliher today, it's Emmer 35%, Kelliher 33%.
Against Democrat Matt Entenza today, it's Emmer 37%, Entenza 33%.

Compared to identical SurveyUSA tracking polls released 6 weeks ago ...
Dayton is up 4 points; Emmer is down 7.
Kelliher is flat; Emmer is down 6 points;
Entenza is up 2 points; Emmer is down 5.

 
Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 2,250 Minnesota adults 06/14/10 through 06/16/10; of them, 2,079 were registered to vote; of the registered voters, 500 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the August 10 DFL primary. SurveyUSA then determined that, of the registered voters, 1,617 were likely to vote in the November 2010 general election. Incumbent governor Republican Tim Pawlenty, a potential 2012 Presidential candidate, is not seeking reelection.
 
If the DFL primary for governor were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Margaret Anderson Kelliher? Mark Dayton? Matt Entenza? Or Peter Idusogie?
500 Likely DFL Primary VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentiCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSuportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Kelliher26%22%30%31%25%27%21%28%24%25%47%****16%31%19%15%29%29%18%29%23%25%29%28%29%23%21%26%34%23%28%24%29%24%28%29%22%19%25%
Dayton39%42%35%42%29%37%48%35%42%39%11%****34%42%33%38%37%43%35%39%40%46%30%41%39%40%42%41%36%38%41%45%35%40%41%33%37%56%46%
Entenza22%24%19%17%22%24%22%20%23%21%37%****18%20%30%17%25%19%18%25%22%10%19%25%20%23%22%20%22%20%21%18%24%21%20%24%23%17%16%
Idusogie3%4%2%5%4%2%0%4%1%3%3%****3%1%8%7%0%3%11%1%0%0%8%1%4%0%3%3%1%5%1%3%2%3%2%4%1%1%1%
Undecided11%8%14%4%21%9%8%14%9%11%3%****29%6%10%23%9%6%19%5%15%19%14%6%7%14%12%10%8%15%8%10%10%12%9%10%17%6%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely DFL Primary Voters100%52%48%19%25%28%27%44%56%89%5%2%3%14%64%20%18%42%34%16%52%21%11%22%57%51%49%45%22%33%32%65%48%51%41%59%56%13%17%15%
 
 
If the election for Minnesota Governor were today, and the only candidates on the ballot were Republican Tom Emmer, DFL candidate Margaret Anderson Kelliher, and Independence Party candidate Tom Horner, who would you vote for?
1617 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentiCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSuportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Emmer (R)35%41%29%40%40%30%27%40%29%35%******72%7%30%69%22%4%72%6%33%28%67%10%33%36%41%33%22%55%17%42%26%29%38%38%33%29%28%
Kelliher (DFL)33%29%36%33%27%37%36%29%36%33%******6%64%25%7%40%64%4%66%24%28%8%62%36%30%27%37%43%17%50%30%40%34%34%30%32%34%41%
Horner (IP)12%14%10%13%13%13%10%13%11%11%******8%9%22%8%14%17%12%12%15%8%13%13%13%11%11%12%15%9%12%10%12%11%11%11%11%18%10%
Undecided21%16%25%14%21%21%28%18%24%21%******14%21%23%17%23%15%12%16%29%36%12%15%18%23%21%18%20%18%21%18%23%26%17%20%23%20%20%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%19%34%26%21%53%47%92%2%1%4%33%37%27%34%44%18%29%33%24%14%37%37%52%48%52%24%25%47%49%54%44%33%67%58%13%14%14%
 
 
What if the only candidates on the ballot for Governor were Republican Tom Emmer, DFL candidate Mark Dayton, and Independence Party candidate Tom Horner?
1617 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentiCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSuportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Emmer (R)35%42%29%39%42%31%27%41%29%35%******73%7%30%71%21%7%70%7%36%29%66%11%35%36%43%33%23%57%17%43%27%30%38%39%33%30%28%
Dayton (DFL)38%34%41%38%30%40%46%33%43%38%******9%69%29%11%45%70%9%69%30%37%13%64%38%38%31%42%48%22%55%34%45%42%38%35%37%40%49%
Horner (IP)12%14%10%14%11%14%9%12%11%11%******7%10%21%6%15%16%11%13%15%6%11%14%13%10%10%11%17%8%13%11%11%11%11%12%13%13%10%
Undecided15%10%20%10%16%15%18%14%17%16%******10%14%19%12%18%7%10%11%19%28%9%11%13%16%16%15%12%13%15%12%18%17%13%15%17%17%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%19%34%26%21%53%47%92%2%1%4%33%37%27%34%44%18%29%33%24%14%37%37%52%48%52%24%25%47%49%54%44%33%67%58%13%14%14%
 
 
What if the candidates were Republican Tom Emmer, DFL candidate Matt Entenza, and Independence Party candidate Tom Horner?
1617 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementTea Party IdentiCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?IncomeRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniSuportOpposeYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50KTwin CitSouth MNWest MNNortheas
Emmer (R)37%44%30%43%43%32%29%43%31%37%******78%8%31%73%24%6%74%7%38%31%69%11%37%37%45%34%23%60%18%45%28%31%41%40%38%31%29%
Entenza (DFL)33%31%35%34%26%37%37%29%37%33%******7%61%25%7%40%66%7%63%25%27%10%59%36%31%28%35%43%19%49%31%38%33%34%30%31%36%42%
Horner (IP)12%12%11%11%12%13%10%12%12%11%******5%12%21%7%14%16%10%13%14%10%11%13%12%12%9%13%17%8%13%10%12%14%10%11%11%13%12%
Undecided18%13%24%13%18%18%24%16%21%19%******10%19%23%13%22%12%9%17%23%32%9%16%16%20%18%18%16%13%20%14%22%22%15%18%20%19%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%50%50%19%34%26%21%53%47%92%2%1%4%33%37%27%34%44%18%29%33%24%14%37%37%52%48%52%24%25%47%49%54%44%33%67%58%13%14%14%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.