| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #13185 |
| Tracking Poll #2 / NC Democratic Presidential Primary -- Obama Doubles Support to Overtake Clinton: In a Democratic Presidential Primary in North Carolina today, 01/15/08, 16 weeks to the vote, Barack Obama edges Hillary Clinton 36% to 32%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WTVD-TV Raleigh. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA tracking poll 10 weeks ago, Obama is up 17 points, Clinton is down 11 points. Clinton had led 2nd place John Edwards by 18 points, now trails Obama by 4 points, with Edwards falling to 3rd place. Obama leads by 9 among men. The two are tied among women. Among black voters, Obama leads 3:1. Among white voters, Clinton leads Edwards by 6. Clinton runs strong in Charlotte, where she is up 12. Obama has a double-digit advantage in Raleigh, Southern NC and on the Coast. |
| Filtering: 2,100 North Carolina adults were interviewed 01/12/08 through 01/14/08. Of them, 1,815 were registered to vote. Of them, 609 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the Democratic Primary on 05/06/08. Many presidential primaries and caucuses will occur between today and 05/06/08. Some candidates will drop out, others will gain traction. These results should be expected to change as the campaign for President continues to unfold. |
 | If the Democratic Primary for President of the United States were today, would you vote for...(names rotated) Hillary Clinton? John Edwards? Barack Obama? Or some other Democrat? |
| 609 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Region | Age | <50 / 50+ | ||||||||||||||
| Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct points | Male | Female | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Unaffili | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Charlott | Raleigh | South & | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | |
| Clinton | 32% | 27% | 35% | 35% | 20% | ** | ** | ** | 32% | 27% | 24% | 36% | 31% | 41% | 28% | 25% | 31% | 30% | 30% | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Edwards | 21% | 21% | 20% | 29% | 5% | ** | ** | ** | 21% | 16% | 16% | 23% | 25% | 24% | 20% | 16% | 15% | 19% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 24% |
| Obama | 36% | 36% | 35% | 21% | 66% | ** | ** | ** | 35% | 48% | 30% | 34% | 39% | 29% | 39% | 38% | 48% | 42% | 33% | 21% | 44% | 28% |
| Other | 5% | 8% | 3% | 8% | 1% | ** | ** | ** | 6% | 2% | 16% | 3% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 3% | 7% |
| Undecided | 7% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | 7% | 8% | 13% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 42% | 58% | 63% | 30% | 3% | 4% | 0% | 93% | 7% | 16% | 40% | 22% | 32% | 53% | 15% | 17% | 32% | 28% | 23% | 49% | 51% |