Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #18161
 
1st Reaction to White House Release of Long-Form Obama Birth Certificate: 28% Still Have Doubts, Including 10% Who Say It's a Forgery:

A SurveyUSA nationwide poll, including cell-phone and landline respondents, conducted after the White House 04/27/11 released a more detailed certificate showing the President's birth, shows that 71% of Americans who have seen the newly public "long-form" now are satisfied that the President was born in the United States. 18% of those who have seen the certificate still have doubts about where the President was born. Another 10% say the document released by the White House is a forgery.

Of those who have seen the newly public birth certificate:

* 63% say Obama was definitely born in the United States.
* 19% say Obama was probably born in the United States.
* 11% say Obama was probably born in another country.
* 6% say Obama was definitely born in another country.

* 57% say they knew all along that the President was born in the USA.
* 14% say they had doubts, but now are satisfied that the President was born in the USA.
* 18% say they still have doubts about where the President was born (including 40% of Tea Party, 33% of Republicans, 27% of Conservatives.)
* 10% say they are sure the document released 04/27/11 is a forgery (including 17% of Tea Party , 18% of Republicans, 16% of Conservatives).

* Both 27% who have seen the certificate and 27% who have not seen the certificate say the matter is still an open item for debate.
* 64% of those who have seen the certificate say the matter is now a closed incident.
* 49% of those who have not seen the certificate say the matter is now a closed incident.

* When all Americans are asked whether Obama will be re-elected in 2012, 33% say he will be re-elected, 49% say he won't be.
* When just responses from those who have seen the certificate are considered, 41% say he will be re-elected, 44% say he won't be.

* 26% of Americans say they will vote for Obama in 2012 no matter who else is on the ballot.
* 34% of Americans say they will vote against Obama in 2012 no matter who else is on the ballot.
* 35% say they need to know who else is on the ballot.

* 9% of Americans consider themselves to be part of the "Birther" movement.
* 34% of Americans are not following news stories about the birth certificate.

 
This survey includes Cell Phone Respondents and Landline Respondents: 1,500 USA adults were interviewed by SurveyUSA 04/27/11, including 28% who do not have a home phone or who make or receive almost all of their phone calls on a cell phone, and 72% who were interviewed using recorded voice on their landline home telephone. Cell phone respondents are crosstabbed against landline respondents, and in these results, fewer cell phone respondents are following the news stories, and fewer cell phone respondents have seen the newly public birth certificate. Of the 1,500 Americans interviewed, 631 had seen a copy of the certificate at the time of the SurveyUSA interview. Margin of sampling error on the universe of those who have seen the birth certificate is 4 percent, though margin of error is just one of many sources of error in any opinion research undertaking. See complete statement of methodology for additional perspective on error. Any survey conducted in response to breaking news can and should be regarded as first impressions. Public opinion can and will change on this issue as Americans have time to digest, reflect upon, and hear opposing points of view, and as those with an interest in crediting and dis-crediting the President weigh-in.
 
1Are you following the news stories about President Barack Obama's birth certificate?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Yes64%69%59%52%61%76%78%56%77%66%65%55%56%100%0%83%50%83%62%56%72%62%60%71%62%62%**61%62%71%49%70%68%59%62%67%
No34%29%39%47%38%23%18%43%20%33%33%43%39%0%100%16%48%15%37%38%26%36%38%27%37%37%**37%38%27%51%28%30%39%36%31%
Not Sure2%2%2%1%1%1%4%1%3%1%2%2%5%0%0%1%2%2%1%6%1%2%1%2%1%1%**2%1%1%0%2%2%1%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
2Based on what you know now, was Barack Obama ... definitely born in the United States? Probably born in the United States? Probably born in another country? Or definitely born in another country?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Definitely born USA50%49%51%50%45%52%55%48%53%47%62%55%52%53%45%63%40%22%56%39%28%73%46%34%52%70%**46%49%54%45%52%49%51%46%56%
Probably born USA27%27%26%26%33%25%19%29%22%29%13%26%26%22%34%19%32%34%25%31%37%15%29%34%28%15%**27%28%25%33%24%32%29%24%23%
Probably born elsewhere15%15%16%16%13%16%17%15%17%16%15%13%17%17%12%11%19%29%13%16%21%8%17%21%15%9%**18%15%13%15%15%13%12%20%13%
Definitely born elsewhere6%7%6%8%7%5%5%7%5%7%8%6%3%7%6%6%7%13%5%8%12%3%6%10%4%6%**7%7%6%8%6%4%7%8%6%
Not Sure2%1%2%1%2%2%3%1%2%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%2%1%5%2%1%2%2%1%0%**3%1%1%0%2%1%1%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
3Have you had a chance to see the President's birth certificate, which was newly released by the White House today, April 27? Or have you not yet had a chance to see the newly released birth certificate?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Have Seen42%45%39%34%39%48%56%36%52%42%48%39%38%54%20%100%0%47%42%35%37%49%41%40%44%46%**36%46%45%33%46%43%42%40%45%
Not Yet57%54%61%66%61%51%43%63%47%57%52%61%62%45%79%0%100%52%57%63%62%51%59%59%56%54%**63%54%54%67%53%56%57%60%54%
Not Sure1%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%1%2%1%0%1%1%0%0%**1%0%1%0%1%1%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
4Which describes you: One: I always knew the President was born in America. Two: I had my doubts, but now I am satisfied that the President was born in America. Three: I still have doubts about where the President was born. Four: I am sure the birth certificate newly released by the White House is a forgery.
631 Who Have Seen Birth CertificateAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Always Knew U.S.57%55%59%55%58%58%56%56%57%56%63%55%57%52%81%57%**19%65%39%24%79%54%34%64%74%**52%57%59%56%57%55%59%56%57%
Had Doubts/now Satisfied14%16%11%11%18%11%16%14%14%16%6%14%4%15%7%14%**24%13%11%24%7%15%23%13%6%**16%16%12%13%14%15%16%12%15%
Still Have Doubts18%15%22%23%14%20%18%18%19%18%17%20%25%20%10%18%**40%13%32%33%10%18%27%17%10%**17%16%20%16%19%23%18%19%14%
Sure Of Forgery10%13%7%12%11%10%9%11%9%10%13%11%14%12%3%10%**17%9%14%18%3%13%16%7%10%**15%10%8%15%9%6%7%13%14%
Not Sure0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%1%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%**0%0%4%0%1%0%0%0%1%**2%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Who Have Seen Birth Certificate100%52%48%26%27%23%24%53%47%72%13%10%5%83%16%100%0%14%79%7%23%39%38%31%42%24%3%20%35%42%22%78%20%23%34%24%
 
 
5As it stands now, is Obama's birthplace still an open item to be debated? Or is it now a closed incident?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Open Item27%30%23%23%24%31%33%24%32%29%24%20%23%32%17%27%27%47%22%39%42%14%27%42%22%17%**31%26%24%21%29%24%26%30%26%
Closed Incident56%54%57%52%55%61%56%53%59%54%60%57%58%57%53%64%49%33%61%43%38%74%53%42%59%71%**48%57%62%47%59%57%59%51%58%
Not Sure18%16%19%25%20%7%11%23%9%17%16%23%19%11%30%8%24%19%17%18%21%12%20%17%20%12%**21%17%14%32%12%18%16%19%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
6Do you today, or did you before today, consider yourself to be part of the birther movement?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Yes9%12%6%8%8%10%11%8%10%9%12%4%7%12%4%11%7%22%7%10%16%8%5%14%7%6%**12%9%6%7%10%7%10%10%8%
No59%62%57%51%59%70%64%55%67%60%61%56%53%65%49%66%55%46%64%38%53%62%62%56%60%65%**50%56%70%48%64%56%58%58%65%
Not Sure32%27%36%40%34%20%25%37%23%30%27%40%40%23%46%23%38%32%29%52%32%30%33%30%33%29%**38%35%23%45%26%36%32%32%27%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
7Based on what you now, will Barack Obama be re-elected president in 2012? Or will someone else be elected president?
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Obama Re-elected33%35%30%27%29%40%41%28%40%31%47%30%33%34%30%41%26%11%36%28%11%55%28%17%34%52%**29%31%36%22%37%29%37%31%34%
Someone Else49%51%47%46%54%48%45%50%47%52%31%48%44%52%42%44%52%81%44%52%77%25%50%71%42%30%**50%48%49%47%50%48%47%50%49%
Not Sure19%14%23%26%18%12%14%22%13%17%22%22%23%14%28%14%22%9%20%20%11%20%22%12%23%18%**21%21%14%31%14%23%16%19%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
8If there were an election for president of the United States today, which describes you: I would vote FOR Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would vote AGAINST Barack Obama no matter who runs against him. I would need to see who is on the ballot before I know how I would vote
1500 AdultsAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceFollowing StorieBirth CertificatMember Of Tea Party?Party AffiliationIdeologyEducationCell Phone / LanRegion
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 2.6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHave SeeNot YetYesNoNot SureRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalNo HSHS GradSome ColCollege Cell PhoLandlineNortheasMidwestSouthWest
Vote For26%22%29%24%23%29%31%23%30%23%41%28%29%27%24%32%21%6%30%19%4%53%18%11%24%50%**27%22%28%22%27%27%28%23%27%
Vote Against34%38%31%27%37%37%38%32%38%38%22%24%25%39%25%31%36%71%28%38%68%13%29%62%26%12%**37%35%33%29%36%32%31%39%32%
Need To See Ballot35%36%35%39%35%34%30%37%32%36%28%36%41%32%41%34%36%21%37%41%27%30%45%26%44%31%**31%37%37%37%35%35%37%33%38%
Not Sure5%4%5%10%5%1%1%8%1%3%9%11%5%2%10%2%7%2%6%2%1%4%8%1%6%7%**5%6%3%12%2%6%4%6%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%48%52%32%30%20%18%62%38%72%11%11%6%64%34%42%57%12%79%9%26%34%39%33%40%22%4%24%32%40%28%72%19%23%36%22%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.