| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16015 |
| 1 | If the election for Seattle Mayor were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Joe Mallahan? Or, Mike McGinn? |
| 586 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Vote For Mayor | Primary Vote | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Mallahan | McGinn | Undecide | Mallahan | McGinn | Nickels | Another | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Mallahan | 45% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 81% | 12% | 49% | 35% | 46% | 44% | 33% | 48% | 51% | 52% | 41% | 51% | 48% | 40% | ** | 39% | 48% | 42% | 59% | 43% | 44% | 45% | 55% | 36% | 46% | 43% | 37% | 50% |
| McGinn | 43% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 15% | 84% | 40% | 39% | 45% | 40% | 49% | 43% | 40% | 39% | 46% | 39% | 43% | 41% | ** | 41% | 46% | 38% | 31% | 45% | 44% | 39% | 36% | 51% | 43% | 43% | 50% | 40% |
| Undecided | 12% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 4% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 9% | 15% | 19% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 14% | 10% | 10% | 19% | ** | 20% | 6% | 20% | 10% | 12% | 11% | 16% | 9% | 13% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 45% | 43% | 12% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 51% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 24% | 20% | 57% | 43% | 78% | 6% | 3% | 13% | 57% | 43% | 12% | 65% | 23% | 12% | 42% | 44% | 73% | 27% | 29% | 71% |
| 2 | How important is the issue of replacing the viaduct with a bored tunnel in your voting decision? Very important? Somewhat important? Not very important? Or not at all important? |
| 548 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Vote For Mayor | Primary Vote | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Mallahan | McGinn | Undecide | Mallahan | McGinn | Nickels | Another | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Very | 36% | 42% | 30% | 36% | 38% | 35% | 39% | 40% | 38% | 34% | 25% | 39% | 37% | 44% | 33% | 40% | 35% | 42% | ** | 37% | 38% | 34% | 42% | 37% | 32% | 44% | 35% | 35% | 35% | 38% | 39% | 35% |
| Somewhat | 32% | 33% | 32% | 28% | 38% | 24% | 31% | 20% | 30% | 34% | 32% | 33% | 35% | 27% | 32% | 31% | 34% | 28% | ** | 26% | 30% | 34% | 26% | 33% | 30% | 19% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 30% | 27% | 34% |
| Not Very | 24% | 18% | 27% | 31% | 16% | 30% | 25% | 32% | 22% | 26% | 32% | 24% | 20% | 17% | 27% | 19% | 23% | 17% | ** | 29% | 23% | 25% | 20% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 21% | 26% | 25% | 21% | 22% | 24% |
| Not At All | 7% | 7% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 4% | 7% | 9% | 6% | 9% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 7% | 14% | ** | 6% | 8% | 6% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 6% | 10% | 10% | 6% |
| Not Sure | 1% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 0% | ** | 2% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 46% | 43% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 51% | 49% | 25% | 31% | 24% | 19% | 56% | 44% | 79% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 56% | 44% | 11% | 65% | 23% | 11% | 42% | 44% | 74% | 26% | 29% | 71% |
| 3 | When Mike McGinn said he would no longer try to stop construction of the tunnel, did that make you more likely to vote for him? Less likely? Or did it make no difference? |
| 536 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Vote For Mayor | Primary Vote | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3% | Mallahan | McGinn | Undecide | Mallahan | McGinn | Nickels | Another | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| More Likely | 22% | 13% | 33% | 17% | 14% | 29% | 26% | 17% | 22% | 23% | 28% | 24% | 17% | 18% | 26% | 18% | 22% | 26% | ** | 22% | 20% | 26% | 17% | 26% | 13% | 13% | 18% | 28% | 22% | 23% | 21% | 23% |
| Less Likely | 22% | 25% | 16% | 28% | 24% | 23% | 20% | 27% | 22% | 21% | 20% | 23% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 21% | 21% | 20% | ** | 25% | 21% | 23% | 36% | 19% | 23% | 28% | 25% | 17% | 20% | 25% | 22% | 21% |
| No Difference | 54% | 61% | 49% | 50% | 59% | 47% | 53% | 55% | 53% | 55% | 49% | 51% | 61% | 57% | 50% | 59% | 55% | 50% | ** | 49% | 58% | 49% | 45% | 54% | 61% | 55% | 56% | 53% | 56% | 49% | 53% | 55% |
| Not Sure | 2% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 4% | ** | 4% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 4% | 1% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 46% | 43% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 51% | 49% | 24% | 32% | 25% | 20% | 56% | 44% | 79% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 57% | 43% | 11% | 66% | 22% | 11% | 41% | 45% | 73% | 27% | 29% | 71% |
| 4 | In the primary, if you voted for... |
| 526 Likely & Actual Voters | All | Vote For Mayor | Primary Vote | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Already Voted? | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Income | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4% | Mallahan | McGinn | Undecide | Mallahan | McGinn | Nickels | Another | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Asian/Ot | Yes | No | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Mallahan | 29% | 51% | 10% | 11% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 28% | 19% | 26% | 34% | 41% | 23% | 37% | 30% | 31% | ** | 25% | 32% | 25% | 41% | 28% | 25% | 40% | 31% | 25% | 28% | 31% | 29% | 29% |
| McGinn | 25% | 7% | 49% | 8% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 24% | 27% | 23% | 22% | 32% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 38% | ** | 21% | 30% | 18% | 14% | 27% | 25% | 15% | 25% | 28% | 22% | 33% | 32% | 22% |
| Nickels | 18% | 19% | 16% | 18% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | 17% | 19% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 17% | 17% | ** | 21% | 18% | 17% | 10% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 18% | 21% | 21% | 8% | 12% | 20% |
| Another Candidate | 11% | 8% | 10% | 26% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 12% | 8% | 12% | 10% | 11% | 2% | ** | 15% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 7% | 16% | 27% | 10% | 8% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 10% |
| Did Not Vote | 17% | 15% | 14% | 36% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 18% | 24% | 21% | 14% | 6% | 22% | 10% | 17% | 13% | ** | 18% | 10% | 26% | 13% | 16% | 21% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 19% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely & Actual Voters | 100% | 46% | 43% | 11% | 29% | 25% | 18% | 11% | 51% | 49% | 24% | 32% | 25% | 20% | 56% | 44% | 80% | 6% | 3% | 12% | 57% | 43% | 10% | 66% | 23% | 11% | 41% | 45% | 74% | 26% | 29% | 71% |