| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14204 |
| Kentucky's McConnell Now Has Some Breathing Room in US Senate Re-Election Bid: In an election for United States Senator from Kentucky held today, 08/12/08, incumbent Republican Mitch McConnell defeats Democrat Bruce Lunsford 52% to 40%, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll released eight weeks ago, McConnell is up 2 points; Lunsford is down 6. Among men, McConnell had led by 8, now leads by 11. Among women, McConnell had led by 2, now leads by 11. Among voters age 18 to 49, McConnell had led by 5, now leads by 6; among voters 50+, McConnell had led by 5, now leads by 11. McConnell holds 83% of Republican voters; Lunsford holds 63% of Democrats, little changed from eight weeks ago. Then, McConnell led by 10 among Independents; today, Independents evenly split between McConnell and Lunsfotd. Lunsford leads in the Louisville area by 6 points, down from 13 points eight weeks ago; McConnell continues to lead in the rest of the state. McConnell, the Senate Minority Leader, is running for his fifth term. Lunsford, a Louisville businessman, ran in the Democratic primaries for Kentucky Governor in 2003 and 2007. |
| Filtering: Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 950 Kentucky adults 08/09/08 through 08/11/08. Of the adults, 854 identified themselves as registered voters. Of them, 636 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the general election on 11/04/08. |
 | Kentucky voters will also elect a United States Senator. If the election for United States Senator were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Mitch McConnell? Or Democrat Bruce Lunsford? |
| 636 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Age | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Change Your Mind | Top Issue For Next President | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | < Obama | > McCain | > In Bet | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Could Ch | Mind Mad | Economy | Environm | Health C | Iraq | Terroris | Social S | Educatio | Immigrat | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Louisvil | North Ce | Eastern | |
| Mitch McConnell (R) | 52% | 51% | 52% | 43% | 51% | 57% | 53% | 48% | 55% | 47% | 51% | 56% | 53% | 38% | ** | ** | 83% | 30% | 39% | 82% | 42% | 19% | 55% | 49% | 57% | 51% | 38% | 65% | 35% | 41% | 56% | 50% | ** | 41% | 31% | 90% | 41% | ** | 70% | 46% | 55% | 53% | 44% | 53% | 60% |
| Bruce Lunsford (D) | 40% | 40% | 41% | 48% | 39% | 38% | 39% | 42% | 38% | 44% | 40% | 38% | 40% | 56% | ** | ** | 12% | 63% | 38% | 14% | 53% | 74% | 37% | 43% | 35% | 46% | 49% | 28% | 58% | 44% | 40% | 44% | ** | 57% | 55% | 7% | 43% | ** | 22% | 45% | 38% | 33% | 50% | 41% | 34% |
| Undecided | 8% | 10% | 6% | 8% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 8% | 6% | ** | ** | 5% | 7% | 23% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 8% | 4% | 13% | 7% | 7% | 15% | 4% | 6% | ** | 3% | 13% | 3% | 15% | ** | 9% | 8% | 7% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 48% | 52% | 20% | 32% | 29% | 20% | 51% | 49% | 45% | 11% | 44% | 91% | 7% | 1% | 2% | 39% | 50% | 9% | 32% | 36% | 12% | 43% | 57% | 57% | 26% | 17% | 54% | 42% | 26% | 72% | 50% | 5% | 9% | 7% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 42% | 58% | 23% | 27% | 34% | 15% |