Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23518
 
Ebb Tide Sinks All Boats: During Singularly Bad Week for President Trump, GOP Congressional Hopeful Karen Handel
Finds Herself Trailing Democratic Upstart Jon Ossoff in GA Runoff Election Triggered By Trump Cabinet Pick for HHS:


The pounding President Donald Trump is taking over loose lips may be taking a toll on Republican candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in Georgia's 6th Congressional District, Karen Handel, according to a SurveyUSA poll commissioned by WXIA-TV, the Tegna station in Atlanta.

Handel trails Democratic upstart Jon Ossoff 51% to 44% at this hour, close enough in a low-turnout, stand-alone runoff to be anyone's call, though clearly Ossoff is in a better position than is Handel.

The district is Republican leaning but not Republican invincible: Trump carried the district in 2016, but only by 1.5 percentage points, compared to, say, the neighboring 9th Congressional District, which Trump carried by 58 percentage points.

Ossoff does not live in the 6th Congressional District, but voters shrug. 84% of Democrats and 21% of Republicans say the residency doesn't bother them. Karen Handel does not have a college degree, but voters shrug. 45% of Democrats and 76% of Republicans say it is not an issue for them at all.

The vacancy in the seat for the 6th Congressional District was created when President Trump selected incumbent Republican congressman Tom Price to be a cabinet member, in charge of Health and Human Services. A special election with 18 candidates was held 04/18/2017. The Democrat, Ossoff, ran away with the contest, but fell short of reaching 50% of the vote, which would have handed him the seat and eliminated the need for a runoff.

The 06/20/17 runoff has national implications and will be seen as a referendum the Republican President.

SurveyUSA interviewed 700 registered voters 5/16/17 through 5/20/17 using Registration-Based Sampling (aka: Voter List sample) purchased from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the 700 registered voters, 549 were judged by SurveyUSA to have already voted in the runoff or to be certain to so before the 06/12/17 deadline. Both cell phone respondents and landline respondents were interviewed.
 
If you were filling out your ballot in the runoff election for US House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? (rotated) Republican Karen Handel? Or Democrat Jon Ossoff?
549 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Runoff VoteParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 Rep VoteAttend ChurchEvangelicalLived in GAEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHandelOssoffStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibTrumpClintonPriceStooksbuNeverOccasionRegularlYesNo<20 Yrs20-30 Yr>30 YearHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Handel (R)44%43%44%31%36%45%62%34%52%49%12%**30%42%44%100%0%91%86%76%27%2%4%0%90%37%2%87%80%22%8%10%91%2%77%9%31%36%56%58%37%41%34%54%38%46%44%30%44%46%34%52%
Ossoff (D)51%52%50%59%60%49%35%59%43%46%79%**63%54%50%0%100%3%12%21%58%95%92%95%6%57%93%9%15%69%90%87%4%94%20%89%66%55%41%36%58%52%60%41%49%51%51%63%49%49%57%46%
Undecided6%5%6%10%4%6%3%7%5%5%9%**7%4%6%0%0%6%2%3%14%4%5%5%5%7%5%3%5%9%2%3%5%4%2%2%3%10%4%6%5%6%6%5%13%3%5%7%7%5%9%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%19%27%31%22%47%53%78%13%4%6%17%83%44%51%21%11%15%14%13%13%14%31%41%27%19%23%26%19%11%44%48%49%17%23%35%42%32%64%24%34%42%11%24%66%13%22%65%44%56%
 
 
2Is Jon Ossoff's current residence outside of the 6th District borders a major issue in your vote? A minor issue? Or not an issue at all?
549 Likely And Actual Voters.AllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Runoff VoteParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 Rep VoteAttend ChurchEvangelicalLived in GAEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHandelOssoffStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibTrumpClintonPriceStooksbuNeverOccasionRegularlYesNo<20 Yrs20-30 Yr>30 YearHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Major Issue27%24%29%14%18%31%41%17%35%30%9%**16%30%26%53%3%60%53%36%21%4%1%0%57%21%0%58%46%17%3%0%53%3%48%3%18%21%36%41%20%14%21%38%31%24%26%22%33%26%18%33%
Minor Issue21%25%17%30%21%19%15%25%17%20%25%**14%22%21%26%17%18%22%35%20%23%20%11%19%26%15%20%26%20%18%19%24%17%20%19%13%32%17%20%23%24%20%20%36%26%17%33%15%19%27%16%
Not An Issue51%49%53%55%58%48%43%57%46%49%66%**59%47%52%19%80%19%24%29%56%72%78%89%21%51%84%21%25%61%78%81%20%79%31%77%66%45%46%38%56%62%56%41%29%49%56%40%52%53%53%50%
Not Sure2%1%2%0%2%2%1%1%2%1%0%**10%1%2%2%1%3%1%0%4%1%1%0%3%1%0%1%3%1%1%0%3%1%2%2%3%1%1%2%1%1%3%1%3%1%1%5%1%1%2%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters.100%48%52%19%27%31%22%47%53%78%13%4%6%17%83%44%51%21%11%15%14%13%13%14%31%41%27%19%23%26%19%11%44%48%49%17%23%35%42%32%64%24%34%42%11%24%66%13%22%65%44%56%
 
 
3Is Karen Handel's not having a college degree a major issue in your vote? A minor issue? Or not an issue at all?
549 Likely And Actual VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceAlready Voted?Runoff VoteParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeology2016 Vote2016 Rep VoteAttend ChurchEvangelicalLived in GAEducationIncomeCell Phone / Lan
Credibility Interval: ± 4.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / YesNoHandelOssoffStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibTrumpClintonPriceStooksbuNeverOccasionRegularlYesNo<20 Yrs20-30 Yr>30 YearHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KCell PhoLandline
Major Issue19%18%20%23%26%16%12%25%14%15%29%**35%24%18%6%31%5%3%12%22%34%21%42%4%22%32%5%5%27%20%47%6%32%5%32%24%20%16%14%21%25%24%11%27%14%19%23%17%16%14%23%
Minor Issue21%20%22%28%19%19%22%23%20%24%17%**6%19%22%17%24%14%30%20%22%31%18%22%20%24%20%12%23%27%29%13%17%25%21%16%18%30%17%23%21%21%24%19%27%20%21%26%20%21%26%17%
Not An Issue58%62%55%49%52%65%65%51%65%60%52%**59%57%59%77%43%81%67%67%54%35%56%36%76%52%45%83%71%45%48%40%75%42%74%52%56%50%66%63%56%53%50%69%42%66%59%49%61%61%57%59%
Not Sure1%0%2%0%3%1%1%2%1%1%2%**0%0%1%1%1%0%0%2%3%0%5%0%0%1%2%1%1%1%3%0%1%2%1%1%2%1%1%0%2%2%2%0%4%0%1%1%1%1%2%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely And Actual Voters100%48%52%19%27%31%22%47%53%78%13%4%6%17%83%44%51%21%11%15%14%13%13%14%31%41%27%19%23%26%19%11%44%48%49%17%23%35%42%32%64%24%34%42%11%24%66%13%22%65%44%56%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.