| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12371 |
| Fletcher Makes No Significant Inroads Against Beshear; Democrat Still Poised for KY Statehouse Takeaway: In a general election for Governor of Kentucky today, 7/17/07, 7 weeks after the Primary and 3-and-1/2 months to the general, the Democratic challengers Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo maintain a material lead over the incumbent Republican team of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 560 likely KY voters conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Beshear is at 59% today, down slightly from 62% in SurveyUSA's 5/25/07 tracking poll. Fletcher is at 36% today, up slightly from 34% on 5/25/07. 24% of Kentucky Republicans today cross-over and vote Democratic in this contest, down from the 36% of Republicans who told SurveyUSA they would crossover in SurveyUSA's 5/25/07 release. Fletcher trails today by 12 among men, trails by 35 among women. Beshear leads by 16 or more points in every region of the state. |
| Filtering: 1,000 Kentucky adults were interviewed 7/14/07 through 7/16/07. Of them, 870 were registered to vote. Of them, 560 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the election for Kentucky Governor, and were included in this survey. |
 | If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for the .... Republican ticket of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph? Or, the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo? |
| 560 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Generation | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Vote in Primary | Gambliing | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.2% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Gen Y | Gen X | Jones | Boomers | Mature | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Fletcher | Beshear | Northup | Lunsford | Henry | Harper | Other | Did Not | Should B | Should N | Western | Louisvil | North Ce | Eastern | |
| Fletcher / Rudolph (R) | 36% | 42% | 30% | 31% | 41% | 34% | 37% | 37% | 35% | 37% | 37% | 36% | 32% | 37% | 37% | 23% | ** | ** | 70% | 13% | 30% | 64% | 23% | 18% | 84% | 4% | 35% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 37% | 32% | 53% | 35% | 32% | 41% | 34% |
| Beshear / Mongiardo (D) | 59% | 54% | 65% | 66% | 56% | 61% | 56% | 60% | 59% | 63% | 58% | 59% | 63% | 56% | 59% | 71% | ** | ** | 24% | 85% | 60% | 29% | 75% | 77% | 14% | 96% | 57% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 52% | 64% | 42% | 57% | 65% | 57% | 59% |
| Undecided | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 6% | 0% | 4% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 5% | 6% | ** | ** | 7% | 2% | 10% | 8% | 2% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 8% | ** | ** | ** | ** | 11% | 4% | 5% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 7% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 21% | 32% | 30% | 18% | 53% | 47% | 8% | 27% | 25% | 22% | 18% | 92% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 37% | 54% | 8% | 36% | 35% | 11% | 26% | 32% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 4% | 17% | 79% | 18% | 21% | 28% | 34% | 17% |