| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #12192 |
| Beshear Breaks From The Gate Ahead of Fletcher; Democrats Positioned for KY Statehouse Takeaway: In a general election for Governor of Kentucky today, 5/25/07, three days after the Primary and 5-and-1/2 months to the general, the Democratic challengers Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo jump to a commanding lead over the incumbent Republican team of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph, according to a SurveyUSA poll of 609 likely voters conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville and WCPO-TV Cincinnati. Beshear is at 62% in this first look at a General Election match-up. Fletcher is at 34%. 36% of Kentucky Republicans cross-over and vote Democratic in this contest. Beshear leads 7:1 among Democrats and 5:4 among Independents. Beshear leads in all 4 regions of the state. He leads by 15 points among men and by 42 points among women. |
![]() | If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for the Republican ticket of Ernie Fletcher and Robbie Rudolph? Or the Democratic ticket of Steve Beshear and Dan Mongiardo? |
| 609 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Generation | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Vote in Primary | Gambliing | Region | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | Gen Y | Gen X | Jones | Boomers | Mature | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Fletcher | Beshear | Northup | Lunsford | Henry | Harper | Other | Did Not | Should B | Should N | Western | Louisvil | North Ce | Eastern | |
| Fletcher / Rudolph (R) | 34% | 41% | 27% | 29% | 35% | 35% | 40% | 32% | 37% | 29% | 31% | 36% | 35% | 40% | 35% | 20% | ** | ** | 60% | 12% | 41% | 60% | 23% | 10% | 80% | 2% | 36% | ** | ** | ** | 29% | 40% | 32% | 43% | 32% | 29% | 41% | 29% |
| Beshear / Mongiardo (D) | 62% | 56% | 69% | 65% | 63% | 61% | 57% | 64% | 60% | 63% | 66% | 61% | 63% | 57% | 62% | 77% | ** | ** | 36% | 86% | 52% | 35% | 76% | 88% | 20% | 98% | 51% | ** | ** | ** | 68% | 52% | 64% | 54% | 65% | 66% | 55% | 69% |
| Undecided | 4% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 2% | 3% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 3% | ** | ** | 4% | 2% | 7% | 6% | 1% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 13% | ** | ** | ** | 3% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 50% | 50% | 28% | 33% | 24% | 14% | 62% | 38% | 15% | 25% | 28% | 18% | 14% | 92% | 6% | 0% | 2% | 42% | 50% | 8% | 35% | 33% | 13% | 21% | 28% | 10% | 5% | 5% | 2% | 6% | 23% | 81% | 16% | 22% | 27% | 36% | 15% |