Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #4942
23 days to the 5/7/05 San Antonio Mayoral election, Julian Castro comfortably defeats Phil Hardberger and Carroll Schubert, but falls short of the 50%+ 1 needed to avoid a runoff. Compared to identical SurveyUSA WOAI-TV tracking poll released 5 weeks ago on March 9, Castro is down a statistically insignificant 2 points, from 45% to now 43%. Hardberger is unchanged at 28%. Schubert is up 7 points from 15% to now 22%. Castro gets 62% of Hispanic vote. Hardberger and Schubert split the white vote. Though election is non-partisan, Castro gets 60% of Democrat vote, Hardberger and Schubert split the Republican vote. *** Filtering: 1800 City of San Antonio adults were interviewed 4/11-13/2005. Of them, 1507 were registered to vote. Of them, 443 were judged to be "likely voters". Crosstabs reflect "likely voters." Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish.
1Voters in San Antonio will elect a Mayor on May 7th. If the San Antonio Mayoral election were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? Julian Castro? Phil Hardberger? Carroll Schubert? Or some other candidate?
443 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRacePartyEducationIdeology
Credibility Interval: ± 4.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+HispanicBlackWhiteAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependNot SureGrad SchCollege Some ColNo colleConservaModerateLiberalNot Sure
Composition of Likely Voters100%50%50%21%30%28%21%49%6%43%2%36%41%21%2%24%23%34%20%38%44%16%2%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.