Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #20615
 
4 Candidates in Race for Seattle Mayor Have Credible Storyline To Advance Beyond 08/06/13 Primary; Murray & McGinn on Top:

19 days until votes are counted in the Primary for Seattle Mayor, 4 candidates are in double digits, each with a possible path to being one of the "Top Two" finishers, enabling them to advance to a 11/05/13 General Election, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KING-TV. As it stands at this hour, based on interviews with 501 likely primary voters:

* Ed Murray is at 22%, with strong support from females, middle-aged voters, liberals and the most affluent.
* Incumbent Mike McGinn is at 21%, with disproportionate support from young voters, Hispanics, and the city's least affluent voters.
* Peter Steinbrueck is at 14%, backed by Independents, Moderates, and older voters.
* Bruce Harrell is at 11%, backed by seniors and Asian Americans.

Among the larger group of registered voters: 32% today approve of the job that McGinn is doing as Mayor. 39% today say the city is headed in the right direction. 32% approve of the job the Seattle City Council is doing.

An extraordinary 68% of registered voters are "very concerned" about Seattle's traffic and transportation. Another 27% are "somewhat concerned," bringing the aggregated concerned percentage to 95%.

* 58% are very concerned about the city's public schools.
* 51% are very concerned about the their safety.
* 47% are very concerned about the availability of housing in Seattle.
* 45% are very concerned about the quality of Seattle's leadership.

Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research. SurveyUSA interviewed 840 city of Seattle adults 07/15/13 through 07/18/13. Of the adults, 730 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 501 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 08/06/13 Primary. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (88% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephone in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Early voting begins today, 07/18/13.

 
1If the primary election for Seattle mayor were today, who would you vote for? Mike McGinn? Bruce Harrell? Ed Murray? Peter Steinbrueck? Kate Martin? Charlie Staadecker? Mary Martin? Doug McQuaid Or Joey Gray
501 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Mike McGinn21%22%19%27%19%16%18%24%17%22%8%32%15%25%20%16%22%21%16%25%18%19%24%20%31%22%14%
Bruce Harrell11%10%12%0%11%18%19%5%18%7%25%16%20%2%12%9%13%8%6%9%14%8%13%11%13%12%10%
Ed Murray22%20%26%21%24%26%17%23%22%25%22%0%20%29%22%10%30%13%15%20%29%19%13%28%10%22%32%
Peter Steinbrueck14%11%18%9%12%17%21%10%18%15%5%7%15%1%16%10%13%18%8%18%14%4%11%17%9%20%14%
Kate Martin1%2%1%0%4%1%1%2%1%1%8%1%0%1%2%1%1%3%4%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%1%
Charlie Staadecker3%4%1%2%4%3%1%3%3%2%9%12%0%0%3%5%1%5%8%3%1%2%2%3%4%0%4%
Mary Martin2%2%1%3%0%1%3%2%2%1%6%1%1%0%1%0%1%1%4%0%0%1%1%1%3%1%0%
McQuaid1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%0%1%3%0%0%3%0%0%1%0%1%0%1%0%
Gray1%1%0%0%1%0%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%2%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%
Undecided25%27%21%37%23%17%17%31%17%24%17%30%28%40%23%45%18%31%35%23%21%42%33%19%29%21%24%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%56%44%31%25%27%18%56%44%73%7%6%14%12%88%13%59%28%15%39%41%8%29%63%26%29%45%
 
 
Is the city of Seattle headed in the right direction? Or is it off on the wrong track?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Right Direction39%43%35%48%45%27%30%47%28%39%35%**43%58%36%24%46%35%17%42%45%38%36%42%40%37%43%
Wrong Track41%40%42%32%35%54%51%33%53%41%55%**37%19%46%73%34%42%70%40%33%36%45%40%33%47%42%
Not Sure20%17%23%19%20%20%19%20%19%21%10%**21%23%19%2%20%24%13%18%22%25%19%18%26%15%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike McGinn is doing as Mayor of Seattle?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Approve32%32%32%37%33%27%25%35%26%33%25%**26%32%31%18%38%27%21%33%34%29%31%31%33%34%29%
Disapprove50%54%44%37%50%61%59%43%60%49%56%**48%31%54%67%46%49%66%48%46%50%49%51%43%50%54%
Not Sure19%14%24%26%17%12%16%22%14%18%19%**26%37%15%15%16%23%13%19%20%21%20%18%24%16%17%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
Do you approve? Or disapprove? of the job the Seattle City Council is doing?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Approve32%33%32%30%40%27%31%35%29%32%30%**31%39%31%15%39%26%10%34%37%37%25%36%28%35%33%
Disapprove43%49%38%40%38%52%49%39%51%45%46%**38%24%48%78%37%44%67%46%34%35%48%43%41%46%44%
Not Sure24%18%31%30%22%21%21%26%21%23%24%**31%37%22%7%24%29%22%20%28%28%28%22%32%19%23%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
How concerned are you about Seattle's traffic and transportation issues? Very concerned? Somewhat concerned? Not very concerned? Or not at all concerned?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.5%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Very68%70%65%64%69%71%68%66%70%74%67%**42%50%72%70%67%71%63%68%70%65%63%71%63%67%73%
Somewhat27%26%29%33%25%23%24%29%24%23%21%**49%49%22%21%28%27%30%28%26%28%29%25%28%31%23%
Not Very4%4%5%4%4%5%6%4%5%2%10%**7%1%5%9%5%1%5%5%3%6%7%3%8%2%4%
Not At All1%0%1%0%1%0%3%1%1%0%0%**3%0%1%0%0%1%2%0%0%0%1%1%1%0%0%
Not Sure0%0%0%0%1%0%0%0%0%0%2%**0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
How concerned are you about the quality of the public schools?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Very58%55%61%57%63%53%60%60%55%59%75%**50%52%60%52%64%52%60%54%61%63%56%59%58%60%58%
Somewhat26%27%25%25%22%31%27%24%30%26%19%**32%32%24%17%24%33%23%30%23%25%27%25%21%27%28%
Not Very11%12%11%13%12%10%10%12%10%12%3%**9%14%11%25%10%10%9%12%13%3%12%12%9%12%13%
Not At All2%3%2%2%0%5%2%1%4%2%3%**3%3%2%4%2%2%4%1%3%5%4%1%6%1%1%
Not Sure2%4%0%3%2%0%2%3%1%1%0%**6%0%2%2%0%4%4%2%0%4%0%3%6%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
How concerned are you about public safety and the police department?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Very51%46%55%46%49%56%55%47%56%50%62%**50%38%53%49%50%54%40%50%53%61%55%46%55%58%43%
Somewhat31%30%33%29%36%28%34%32%30%35%19%**24%40%29%33%33%26%35%29%34%25%21%38%20%35%35%
Not Very15%18%11%21%15%10%8%18%9%12%18%**19%18%14%18%15%14%20%18%10%13%18%13%19%6%18%
Not At All2%3%1%2%1%4%2%1%3%1%0%**6%4%2%1%2%3%3%1%3%1%4%1%2%1%3%
Not Sure1%2%0%2%0%2%1%1%2%1%1%**2%0%1%0%0%3%2%2%0%1%1%1%4%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
How concerned are you about the quality of Seattle's leadership?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Very45%45%44%40%42%50%51%41%51%45%57%**40%33%47%61%41%44%66%42%38%56%47%42%44%53%39%
Somewhat35%37%33%34%39%33%34%36%34%38%37%**28%42%34%23%40%32%20%38%40%29%33%37%31%37%38%
Not Very17%15%20%23%17%13%11%21%12%15%4%**27%23%16%16%17%19%12%16%21%7%17%18%17%9%22%
Not At All1%1%1%0%0%2%2%0%2%1%1%**1%0%1%0%0%1%0%1%0%3%1%1%1%1%0%
Not Sure2%2%3%3%2%2%2%2%2%2%1%**5%2%2%0%1%4%1%3%1%5%2%2%6%1%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
How concerned are you about the cost or availability of housing in Seattle?
730 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceCell Phone / LanParty AffiliationIdeologyEducationIncome
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian / Cell PhoLandlineRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80K
Very47%43%51%51%48%45%40%49%43%49%56%**38%46%47%31%48%51%30%47%51%45%52%43%57%58%31%
Somewhat29%31%27%25%32%28%33%28%30%26%28%**38%30%29%27%30%29%42%28%26%38%25%30%27%23%36%
Not Very21%22%20%24%17%21%22%21%21%22%14%**20%24%20%35%20%17%22%21%21%13%19%23%15%16%28%
Not At All3%4%2%0%4%6%5%2%5%2%2%**4%0%4%7%2%3%5%4%1%3%3%3%1%3%4%
Not Sure0%0%0%0%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%**0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%52%48%33%28%25%14%61%39%71%7%4%18%17%83%12%55%31%14%41%40%8%32%60%27%31%42%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.