| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #16929 |
| KS-01: Huelskamp Has Big Lead in Big First: In an election for US House of Representatives in Kansas' 1st Congressional District today, 08/09/10, Republican Tim Huelskamp defeats Democrat Alan Jilka 65% to 23%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KWCH-TV Wichita.
Jilka, the former mayor of Salinas, leads only among Democrats, liberals, and those with unfavorable opinions of the Tea Party movement, all minorities in the 1st District. Huelskamp, a state senator, gets 6 of 10 votes among men and women, young and old alike. 1 in 10 Republicans cross over to vote for the Democrat; 1 in 4 Democrats cross over to vote for the Republican. Independents favor Huelskamp by 14 points. The 1st District, created in 1874, has been represented by a Democrat only for one term, from 1953-1955. Incumbent Republican Jerry Moran is running for US Senate. |
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 adults from Kansas' 1st Congressional District 08/05/10 through 08/08/10. Of them, 767 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 542 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. |
 | If the election for U.S. House of Representatives were today, who would you vote for? (candidate names rotated) Republican Tim Huelskamp? Democrat Alan Jilka? Or Libertarian Jack Warner? |
| 542 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | |||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | |
| Tim Huelskamp (R) | 65% | 68% | 62% | 50% | 73% | 62% | 64% | 68% | 63% | 65% | ** | 70% | ** | 83% | 23% | 45% | 88% | 50% | 19% | 84% | 21% | 64% | 78% | 59% | 69% | 67% | 66% | 50% | 79% | 47% | 69% | 52% | 62% | 67% |
| Alan Jilka (D) | 23% | 21% | 26% | 28% | 12% | 27% | 29% | 16% | 28% | 22% | ** | 30% | ** | 9% | 64% | 31% | 5% | 37% | 65% | 5% | 66% | 22% | 11% | 30% | 18% | 22% | 24% | 30% | 12% | 41% | 20% | 33% | 26% | 22% |
| Jack Warner (L) | 7% | 9% | 4% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 9% | 5% | 6% | ** | 0% | ** | 4% | 6% | 18% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 9% | 3% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 13% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 6% | 7% | 7% |
| Undecided | 5% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 5% | 5% | 4% | 7% | 5% | 6% | ** | 0% | ** | 3% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 6% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 9% | 6% | 4% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 51% | 49% | 9% | 30% | 37% | 23% | 39% | 61% | 88% | 2% | 7% | 4% | 64% | 20% | 14% | 49% | 36% | 10% | 43% | 21% | 25% | 11% | 45% | 55% | 64% | 22% | 14% | 59% | 37% | 67% | 29% | 37% | 63% |