Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #5687
On the eve of the 5/17/05 Los Angeles Mayor runoff, a rematch of the runoff election from 4 years ago, Antonio Villaraigosa defeats incumbent James Hahn 60% to 36%, according to a final SurveyUSA tracking poll conducted for KABC TV. In the past 2 weeks, Villaraigosa has lost 2 points and Hahn has gained 3 points. 11% of those who voted for Hahn in the 3/8/05 Primary now switch to Villaraigosa. Hahn leads among Republicans and Conservatives, and ties Villaraigosa among voters age 65 and over. *** Filtering: 1,800 City of Los Angeles adults were interviewed 5/13 - 5/15. 1365 of them were registered to vote. Of them, 528 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect "likely" voters. Interviews were conducted in both English and Spanish. *** A competing opinion poll conducted by the Los Angeles Times newspaper, released 5/9/05, based on interviews with 742 likely voters conducted May 2 to May 8, shows Villaraigosa with a smaller, 11-point lead over Hahn. In the primary, SurveyUSA overstated the size of Villaraigosa margin of victory; the Los Angeles Times understated the size of Villaraigosa margin of victory. Today, SurveyUSA shows Villaraigosa leading by 14 points in the San Fernando valley. The Los Angeles Times shows Villaraigosa leading by 1 point in the San Fernando Valley. Composition of the electorate and size of the Latino vote will determine Villaraigosa's ultimate margin of victory.
1Voters in Los Angeles will elect a Mayor in a runoff on Tuesday. If the runoff for Los Angeles Mayor were today, and you were standing in the voting booth right now, who would you vote for? James Hahn? Or Antonio Villaraigosa?
528 Likely VotersAllGenderAgeRaceEducationPartyIdeologyVoted For Los Angeles Mayor in PrimaryRegion
Credibility Interval: ± 4.3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtGrad SchCollege Some ColNo ColleRepublicDemocratIndependNot SureConservaModerateLiberalNot SureDid Not HahnVillaraiHertzberParksOtherNot SureValleyRest of
Composition of Likely Voters100%48%52%25%29%28%19%51%19%24%6%30%29%24%18%20%63%15%2%19%42%34%5%20%17%32%15%10%5%1%38%62%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.