Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17099
WA-09: Another Incumbent Congressional Democrat Faces a Tough Fight: In an election for US Representative from Washington State's 9th Congressional District today, 09/17/10, Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith has an ever-so-slight advantage over Republican challenger Dick Muri, according to this latest exclusive KING-TV poll conducted by SurveyUSA.

Today, it's Smith 49%, Muri 46%, a result with little breathing room for the Democrat, yet better news for Smith than the poll data being delivered to many other incumbent Democrats in Washington state and elsewhere. Among men, Muri leads by 4 points; among women, Smith leads by 9, a 13-point gender gap. Younger voters favor the Republican; older voters favor the Democrat. 86% of Republicans vote for the Republicans; 88% of Democrats vote for the Democrat; Independents split. Moderates break 7:4 Democrat. In the district, 32% of likely voters have a favorable impression of the Tea Party, and they vote 8:1 Republican. 36% have an unfavorable impression of the Tea Party and they break 10:1 Democrat. Smith, first elected to the House of Representatives in 1996, is seeking his 7th term. Muri is a Pierce County Councilman.

Filtering: 800 registered voters from Washington's 9th Congressional District were interviewed by SurveyUSA 09/14/10 through 09/16/10, using Registration Based Sample (RBS) from Aristotle in Washington DC. Of the registered voters, 586 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the 11/02/10 general election. 38 of Washington's 39 counties vote solely by mail; ballots will be mailed to voters on 10/15/10.
[Candidate names rotated]
If you were filling out your ballot in the election for U.S. House of Representatives today, who would you vote for? Republican Dick Muri? or Democrat Adam Smith?
586 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationIdeologyTea Party MovementCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionOwn a Gun?Income
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteBlackHispanicAsian/OtRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalFavorablUnfavoraNeutralNo OpiniYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choiYesNo< $50K> $50K
Dick Muri (R)46%50%43%52%52%44%42%52%43%46%**55%50%86%10%47%81%33%17%86%9%54%36%43%49%57%41%39%69%34%53%38%44%49%
Adam Smith (D)49%46%52%33%46%53%55%41%54%50%**27%50%13%88%45%18%60%79%11%86%41%54%52%47%40%54%58%28%63%45%56%53%47%
Composition of Likely Voters100%49%51%14%25%36%24%39%61%81%5%5%9%29%33%36%34%43%19%32%36%22%10%48%52%39%25%36%36%61%50%46%41%59%
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.