| Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #17120 |
| Women and More Affluent KY Voters Take Another Look at Democrat Conway, Who Catches Rand Paul in Race for Bunning's Open Senate Seat:
In an election for United States Senator from Kentucky today, 09/24/10, Republican Rand Paul and Democrat Jack Conway finish effectively even, according to SurveyUSA polling conducted exclusively for the Louisville Courier-Journal and WHAS-TV. Today, it's Paul 49%, Conway 47%, within the survey's theoretical margin of sampling error.
* Conway is up 7 points, Paul is down 6, compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll 3 weeks ago.
|
| Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 900 KY adults 09/21/10 through 09/23/10. Of them, 828 were registered to vote. Of the registered voters, 611 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote in the November election for US Senate. Incumbent Republican US Senator Jim Bunning is not seeking re-election. |
 | (candidate names rotated) If the election for United States Senate were today, who would you vote for? Republican Rand Paul? or Democrat Jack Conway? |
| 611 Likely Voters | All | Gender | Age | <50 / 50+ | Race | Party Affiliation | Ideology | Tea Party Movement | College Grad | Attend Religious Service | Abortion | Own a Gun? | Income | Region | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4% | Male | Female | 18-34 | 35-49 | 50-64 | 65+ | 18-49 | 50+ | White | Black | Hispanic | Other | Republic | Democrat | Independ | Conserva | Moderate | Liberal | Favorabl | Unfavora | Neutral | No Opini | Yes | No | Regularl | Occasion | Almost N | Pro-life | Pro-choi | Yes | No | < $50K | > $50K | Western | Louisvil | North Ce | Eastern | |
| Paul (R) | 49% | 59% | 39% | 46% | 50% | 48% | 50% | 48% | 49% | 50% | ** | ** | ** | 83% | 25% | 50% | 82% | 31% | 12% | 87% | 8% | 49% | 21% | 54% | 45% | 51% | 44% | 48% | 64% | 25% | 51% | 44% | 45% | 51% | 48% | 47% | 49% | 53% |
| Conway (D) | 47% | 38% | 55% | 44% | 47% | 50% | 45% | 46% | 47% | 46% | ** | ** | ** | 12% | 72% | 45% | 15% | 64% | 87% | 10% | 90% | 46% | 64% | 44% | 49% | 44% | 54% | 48% | 31% | 72% | 45% | 53% | 50% | 46% | 45% | 49% | 49% | 40% |
| Undecided | 4% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | ** | ** | ** | 5% | 4% | 5% | 3% | 6% | 1% | 3% | 1% | 5% | 14% | 2% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 4% | 3% | 5% | 3% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 8% |
| Total | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Composition of Likely Voters | 100% | 49% | 51% | 13% | 32% | 31% | 23% | 45% | 55% | 93% | 5% | 1% | 1% | 36% | 51% | 12% | 44% | 36% | 17% | 41% | 31% | 19% | 9% | 48% | 52% | 61% | 22% | 16% | 59% | 38% | 66% | 32% | 46% | 54% | 24% | 25% | 35% | 16% |