Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23181
 
New Mexico Whites Split, But Clinton Carries the State With Overwhelming Support from Latino Voters;
Democrat Toulouse Oliver Well Positioned To Defeat Republican Espinoza in Secretary of State Contest:


Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson captures 14% of the vote for President of the United States in an election in New Mexico today, 10/03/16, 19 days till early voting begins, but that is not enough to derail Democrat Hillary Clinton, who defeats Donald Trump at this hour 46% to 33%, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein finishing 4th behind Johnson at 2%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KOB-TV, the Hubbard Broadcasting station in Albuquerque.

Trump carries white voters by a nominal 2 percentage points, 42% to 40%, but Clinton buries Trump among New Mexico's Latino voters, 52% to 21%. Clinton holds 83% of the Democratic base, compared to just 76% of Republican who stand with Trump. Johnson siphons 24% of the Independent vote, where Clinton manages 35% to Trump's 29%. Clinton leads among college-educated whites by 22 points. She leads among suburban women by 21 points. She leads among the most affluent voters by 15 points.

Half of Trump supporters say they are voting "for" Trump, half say they are voting "against" Clinton. By contrast, 66% of Clinton supporters are voting "for" Clinton; just 33% are voting "against" Trump. Of those who are voting for Johnson, 21% say they are voting "against" Trump, 5% are voting "against" Clinton, and 70% are voting "for" Johnson. Voters who say the economy is the most important issue facing the country back Clinton 49% to 31%. Voters focused on terrorism or immigration back Trump. Voters focused on education or the environment back Clinton.

In the contest to fill the open seat for New Mexico Secretary of State, Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver is well positioned to defeat Republican Nora Espinoza, 54% to 34%. Toulouse Oliver, the Bernalillo County Clerk, is backed by 57% of Latinos, 59% of seniors and 60% of college-educated voters. She gets 90% of the vote among "very liberal" voters. Espinoza gets 68% of the vote among "very conservative" voters, but trails Toulouse Oliver in every region of the state and among voters of all ages.

Context and Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of NM adults 09/28/16 through 10/02/16. Of the adults, 682 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 594 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before 11/08/16 in the Presidential election; 524 were likely to vote in the Secretary of State contest. 5% of registered voters say they almost always vote in Presidential elections but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. An offsetting 7% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential election, but will vote in 2016 because they are uniquely drawn to one of the candidates. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (69% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Democrat Barack Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney by 10 points in 2012 and defeated Republican John McCain by 15 points in 2008. In 2004 and 2000, Democrats John Kerry and Al Gore carried New Mexico by less than 1 percentage point. New Mexico's last elected Secretary of State, Republican Dianna Duran, resigned after pleading guilty to felony embezzlement and money laundering. The seat is open. Gary Johnson was elected Governor of New Mexico in 1994 and 1998. He ran as a Republican.
 
1New Mexico will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Always Do / Will This Year81%78%82%68%75%86%90%71%87%87%78%64%84%85%85%65%71%83%91%85%74%86%88%80%76%84%84%86%84%91%89%90%94%76%78%89%87%79%83%79%68%80%87%70%86%89%79%80%82%72%85%82%80%78%83%81%82%79%73%75%65%90%
Always Do / Not This Year5%7%3%8%7%3%4%7%3%2%5%17%7%2%5%5%10%3%1%4%7%3%4%4%7%0%2%9%6%4%6%2%0%6%3%7%6%5%5%5%10%5%2%9%2%2%4%4%6%5%5%1%7%9%1%6%5%13%9%5%12%2%
Not Sure Yet 8%6%9%14%11%5%3%12%5%6%8%12%4%10%5%13%10%8%0%7%9%6%2%11%7%13%6%------9%12%2%4%8%6%9%11%9%5%13%6%3%9%6%8%12%6%8%8%5%7%4%11%4%7%11%8%4%
Rarely Do / Will This Year7%8%5%10%8%6%3%9%5%5%8%7%5%2%5%17%9%5%8%3%10%6%5%5%10%2%8%5%10%5%5%8%6%9%8%2%3%8%6%8%11%5%6%8%7%5%8%9%5%9%5%9%5%9%9%8%2%4%10%9%15%3%
Don't / Won't This Year0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%------0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
 
2If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or some other candidate?
594 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Donald Trump (R)33%34%31%25%22%41%36%23%38%42%21%28%86%69%56%24%5%9%2%76%29%6%69%54%21%2%7%66%46%31%42%9%4%27%32%40%61%23%35%31%39%35%26%34%32%32%30%31%37%24%36%26%36%33%28%33%40%85%32%25%41%30%
Hillary Clinton (D)46%42%49%37%47%42%56%42%48%40%52%55%5%13%6%37%63%77%94%9%35%83%14%28%51%72%85%22%34%49%42%59%72%47%46%44%27%53%47%45%45%39%53%41%48%47%47%45%44%43%47%48%45%40%49%46%43%5%31%40%39%52%
Gary Johnson (L)14%16%13%29%19%11%4%24%8%11%19%11%5%11%25%33%17%13%0%9%24%8%8%16%18%20%2%6%19%11%11%26%13%18%14%11%9%15%11%17%13%17%13%10%16%20%14%16%14%20%11%18%12%19%14%13%15%4%28%21%16%11%
Jill Stein (G)2%3%1%1%2%2%1%2%2%2%1%2%0%0%3%5%5%1%0%0%4%1%0%0%3%4%0%0%0%2%0%0%8%3%2%0%1%2%1%2%0%2%3%3%2%0%1%3%1%2%1%2%2%6%1%3%0%0%6%3%0%3%
Other2%3%1%3%1%3%2%2%2%1%3%3%3%2%2%0%5%0%4%2%2%2%4%2%2%1%4%3%0%2%4%1%1%2%2%3%2%3%3%1%3%1%3%4%2%0%2%2%3%3%2%1%3%2%2%5%1%6%1%4%5%2%
Undecided3%2%5%5%8%2%1%7%1%3%5%1%1%5%8%2%4%0%0%3%5%0%5%0%6%1%2%3%1%4%1%5%4%3%5%2%1%4%2%4%1%6%2%7%1%1%7%3%0%7%2%5%3%1%5%0%1%0%2%8%0%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely November Voters100%47%53%17%22%34%26%40%60%50%39%10%12%15%12%10%12%23%14%26%34%37%19%19%32%14%10%9%17%38%10%11%6%34%33%33%25%68%41%58%21%36%43%37%37%26%28%32%39%31%69%32%68%14%16%18%19%6%17%17%11%23%
 
 
3Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
193 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 7.2%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Trump50%48%51%46%58%43%58%52%49%45%63%47%45%46%54%62%**40%**46%56%46%52%47%48%****62%47%47%58%****51%53%45%50%50%58%42%47%47%52%51%48%44%51%47%48%38%53%53%49%48%47%40%54%43%49%65%47%50%
Against Clinton50%52%48%54%42%56%42%48%50%54%37%53%53%54%46%38%**60%**53%44%54%47%53%52%****38%50%53%42%****49%47%54%49%50%42%57%53%53%46%49%50%56%49%51%52%60%47%47%51%52%49%60%46%57%51%35%53%47%
Not Sure1%0%1%0%0%1%0%0%1%1%0%0%2%0%0%0%**0%**1%0%0%1%0%0%****0%2%0%0%****0%0%1%1%0%0%1%0%0%2%0%2%0%0%2%0%2%0%0%1%0%4%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Trump Voters100%49%51%13%15%42%29%29%71%65%26%9%30%31%21%7%2%6%1%62%30%7%41%31%20%1%2%18%25%36%13%3%1%28%32%40%47%49%44%55%26%39%35%38%36%26%25%30%44%23%77%25%75%14%14%18%23%15%17%13%14%21%
 
 
4Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
193 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 7.1%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically58%58%59%37%58%60%66%48%62%54%65%73%61%53%65%49%**47%**57%64%42%65%49%64%****69%50%57%77%****58%67%51%59%56%62%55%63%55%58%56%59%58%45%60%62%35%65%57%59%64%55%70%56%57%61%67%60%52%
With Reservations40%41%39%63%42%39%32%52%36%44%35%27%36%47%33%51%**53%**42%35%58%33%50%36%****29%46%43%23%****42%33%47%39%43%37%44%37%45%40%44%39%41%55%37%38%62%34%43%39%36%39%30%44%40%39%31%40%44%
Not Sure1%1%2%0%0%1%2%0%2%2%0%0%3%0%1%0%**0%**1%1%0%2%1%0%****2%3%0%0%****0%0%2%1%1%1%1%0%0%2%0%2%1%0%3%0%2%1%0%2%0%6%0%0%2%0%2%0%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Trump Voters100%49%51%13%15%42%29%29%71%65%26%9%30%31%21%7%2%6%1%62%30%7%41%31%20%1%2%18%25%36%13%3%1%28%32%40%47%49%44%55%26%39%35%38%36%26%25%30%44%23%77%25%75%14%14%18%23%15%17%13%14%21%
 
 
5Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
273 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 5.7%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Clinton66%69%63%53%63%65%74%59%70%70%62%66%******33%53%65%87%40%48%74%57%55%67%65%76%**69%61%74%63%69%64%73%62%68%66%63%69%72%72%61%65%64%69%67%66%65%70%64%62%68%73%61%64%65%**48%47%87%68%
Against Trump33%31%35%44%36%35%25%39%30%29%37%34%******67%47%34%13%56%52%25%43%42%33%35%21%**29%38%26%37%27%34%27%38%30%33%36%30%28%27%38%33%36%30%31%34%35%28%35%37%31%27%39%36%33%**52%52%13%30%
Not Sure1%0%2%3%1%0%1%2%0%1%1%0%******0%0%1%1%4%0%1%0%3%0%0%3%**2%1%0%0%4%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%1%1%2%0%1%2%0%1%1%1%1%1%0%0%0%1%**0%1%0%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Clinton Voters100%43%57%14%23%31%32%37%63%43%44%12%1%4%2%8%17%39%28%5%26%68%6%12%36%23%20%4%13%40%9%14%9%35%34%31%15%79%42%57%21%30%49%33%39%28%29%31%38%29%71%34%66%12%17%18%18%1%11%14%9%26%
 
 
6Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
273 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 6%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically59%55%61%44%44%68%66%44%67%64%57%46%******23%57%56%82%39%45%67%54%56%55%63%68%**68%57%49%58%69%58%64%57%58%60%59%60%64%63%56%59%58%63%56%62%58%49%62%59%58%63%62%50%66%**44%46%55%67%
With Reservations39%40%38%50%55%30%31%53%30%35%40%50%******77%42%42%18%49%54%32%42%38%40%37%32%**30%41%45%35%31%41%31%41%39%37%39%36%28%37%42%36%42%37%43%34%41%47%36%39%39%29%37%47%34%**56%52%34%32%
Not Sure3%4%1%6%1%2%3%3%2%1%4%4%******0%1%2%1%12%1%2%4%6%5%0%0%**2%2%6%6%0%2%5%2%3%3%1%3%7%0%2%5%0%1%0%4%2%4%2%2%3%7%1%3%0%**0%2%10%1%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Clinton Voters100%43%57%14%23%31%32%37%63%43%44%12%1%4%2%8%17%39%28%5%26%68%6%12%36%23%20%4%13%40%9%14%9%35%34%31%15%79%42%57%21%30%49%33%39%28%29%31%38%29%71%34%66%12%17%18%18%1%11%14%9%26%
 
 
7How would you describe your vote: A vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
84 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 10%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Johnson70%67%73%69%80%59%72%74%62%66%69%94%**73%79%67%66%67%**59%71%67%73%62%85%54%****78%65%73%73%37%61%79%74%61%71%81%65%76%74%63%74%54%85%56%87%66%70%70%63%75%91%81%66%65%**66%80%71%41%
Against Trump21%24%18%23%17%30%5%20%24%25%22%0%**23%19%16%34%23%**26%22%23%2%33%15%32%****9%31%0%19%63%31%14%15%18%24%5%28%9%20%29%15%33%13%21%12%29%25%18%24%20%9%15%34%24%**27%14%6%45%
Against Clinton5%5%6%5%3%4%23%4%8%8%3%6%**4%2%7%0%4%**15%4%4%25%5%0%8%****5%3%11%8%0%9%3%4%8%5%7%5%4%4%8%6%7%3%11%2%6%2%8%6%5%0%4%0%10%**2%7%7%14%
Not Sure3%4%3%3%0%8%0%2%6%0%6%0%**0%0%9%0%6%**0%3%6%0%0%0%6%****9%0%16%0%0%0%4%8%13%0%7%2%11%3%0%5%5%0%12%0%0%3%4%8%0%0%0%0%0%**6%0%16%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Johnson Voters100%53%47%36%31%25%8%66%34%39%52%8%4%12%22%22%15%21%0%16%59%21%11%22%40%20%2%4%23%30%8%20%5%42%32%26%15%71%30%70%19%42%39%26%39%35%26%35%36%44%56%42%58%19%17%17%20%2%34%25%12%17%
 
 
8Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
10 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 30.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Stein60%61%60%100%57%71%26%67%55%44%100%100%****28%53%67%100%****54%100%****34%92%******33%****100%64%59%**100%54%50%66%**28%77%81%36%**100%54%61%67%55%92%46%65%0%53%100%**51%60%**63%
Against Clinton27%36%0%0%43%0%62%33%22%37%0%0%****72%47%0%0%****31%0%****48%0%******48%****0%20%41%**0%31%42%19%**41%19%0%58%**0%24%39%33%22%0%39%29%0%47%0%**45%0%**31%
Against Trump13%3%40%0%0%29%12%0%23%18%0%0%****0%0%33%0%****15%0%****19%8%******19%****0%16%0%**0%15%7%16%**31%4%19%5%**0%22%0%0%23%8%15%5%100%0%0%**4%40%**6%
Not Sure0%-------------------------------------------------------------
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%0%0%100%100%0%0%100%100%0%0%0%100%0%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%0%100%
Composition of Stein Voters100%74%26%10%33%37%20%43%57%71%15%14%0%0%19%27%39%15%0%0%85%15%0%0%56%30%0%0%0%55%0%0%28%64%34%2%15%85%33%67%0%34%66%54%46%0%10%58%32%43%57%31%69%48%10%27%5%0%60%26%0%41%
 
 
9In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
34 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 16.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Republican24%30%14%8%27%41%28%18%34%39%28%15%80%94%10%0%0%19%**84%3%16%46%100%6%****18%25%7%82%****0%60%30%29%23%17%28%12%23%38%9%20%59%0%27%21%19%27%40%23%21%**40%0%80%4%0%8%52%
Democrat65%59%76%79%67%37%64%73%51%61%63%69%20%6%59%100%100%81%**16%89%84%43%0%86%****82%55%76%0%****100%10%56%71%69%58%69%80%66%35%79%52%41%92%59%65%66%64%41%67%64%**41%91%20%84%100%79%48%
Split4%6%0%0%0%22%0%0%11%0%10%0%0%0%31%0%0%0%**0%8%0%0%0%9%****0%20%0%0%****0%0%10%0%0%11%0%0%11%0%6%0%0%0%0%10%0%6%0%4%0%**19%0%0%12%0%0%0%
Not Sure7%6%10%12%6%0%8%9%4%0%0%17%0%0%0%0%0%0%**0%0%0%11%0%0%****0%0%18%18%****0%30%5%0%9%14%3%8%0%27%5%29%0%8%14%5%15%2%19%6%15%**0%9%0%0%0%12%0%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Protest Voters100%65%35%30%32%18%20%62%38%16%41%43%16%7%13%10%27%16%3%23%50%19%14%15%45%1%4%17%20%29%11%4%0%41%18%42%31%61%38%60%49%38%13%74%14%12%22%29%46%36%64%8%92%24%2%21%21%16%33%18%30%9%
 
 
10Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
628 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Immigration9%11%8%10%7%9%11%8%10%8%11%8%16%10%16%6%2%11%4%13%8%9%19%12%7%2%4%100%0%0%0%0%0%13%6%10%16%7%11%8%12%7%9%11%8%7%9%8%10%9%10%8%10%15%2%10%10%21%8%9%13%7%
Terrorism18%16%19%9%13%22%22%11%22%19%18%12%26%24%21%16%12%14%16%25%16%14%24%23%15%6%11%0%100%0%0%0%0%12%15%26%27%13%19%16%26%17%13%15%24%12%13%21%17%12%20%13%20%16%25%15%19%23%19%13%26%14%
Economy37%34%40%26%44%39%36%36%38%39%36%34%36%46%31%44%29%41%33%42%34%38%32%40%38%43%31%0%0%100%0%0%0%35%42%33%32%40%38%36%29%39%40%28%38%48%43%32%36%34%39%43%35%25%39%33%40%26%34%33%19%41%
National Security10%12%8%12%9%10%10%10%10%10%9%13%14%9%11%8%7%12%4%11%9%9%10%13%10%10%6%0%0%0%100%0%0%9%10%12%11%9%10%11%10%14%8%11%9%12%9%12%12%12%9%8%11%14%9%14%10%22%7%10%14%7%
Education11%10%11%21%12%7%7%16%7%8%13%12%3%3%12%11%21%10%17%3%15%12%6%4%13%17%19%0%0%0%0%100%0%8%15%9%7%12%9%12%7%9%14%8%12%12%11%12%9%14%9%11%10%13%12%8%9%3%13%16%6%9%
Environment6%7%5%5%5%6%7%5%6%8%4%3%0%4%1%11%13%2%12%2%9%6%0%1%5%18%15%0%0%0%0%0%100%12%3%2%1%7%5%6%2%5%8%7%5%5%5%4%8%6%6%5%6%6%3%10%5%1%9%8%4%12%
Other6%8%5%13%7%4%4%10%4%5%5%16%4%2%6%1%10%7%12%3%6%9%9%4%6%3%14%0%0%0%0%0%0%9%5%5%4%7%6%7%8%5%6%13%3%3%7%8%5%10%5%9%5%11%5%7%4%3%8%4%12%7%
Not Sure3%2%4%3%4%3%3%3%3%3%4%2%0%2%2%4%6%4%2%1%4%3%0%3%5%1%1%0%0%0%0%0%0%3%3%3%1%3%2%4%6%3%2%6%2%2%3%4%3%4%3%4%3%1%7%3%2%0%1%7%5%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%48%52%18%23%33%26%41%59%48%39%12%12%14%12%10%13%23%13%26%35%36%19%19%33%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%34%32%33%26%68%41%58%23%36%41%39%36%26%28%32%39%31%69%31%69%15%16%18%19%6%18%17%12%22%
 
 
11OK, let us turn our attention now to the special election for New Mexico Secretary of State. Do you plan to vote in the election for Secretary of State? Or, do you plan to leave that portion of your ballot blank?
628 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Plan To Vote84%85%82%77%80%90%83%79%87%86%82%77%79%83%88%85%80%87%86%81%84%87%88%83%78%91%93%88%81%83%88%86%85%80%83%88%85%83%85%83%79%79%90%77%90%88%84%85%85%81%85%84%83%87%83%83%87%80%85%83%75%89%
Plan To Leave Blank9%9%9%8%10%7%12%9%9%8%9%16%12%6%8%11%18%5%6%9%12%5%5%9%13%4%3%6%9%9%5%10%11%11%7%7%7%10%9%9%13%10%4%12%5%7%8%8%8%5%11%6%10%8%9%8%9%14%12%12%15%5%
Not Sure7%6%9%15%10%4%5%12%4%6%9%7%9%11%5%5%2%8%8%10%4%8%7%8%8%5%4%6%10%7%8%4%4%9%10%4%8%7%6%9%8%10%5%11%5%5%8%7%6%15%4%10%6%5%9%9%4%6%3%5%10%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%48%52%18%23%33%26%41%59%48%39%12%12%14%12%10%13%23%13%26%35%36%19%19%33%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%34%32%33%26%68%41%58%23%36%41%39%36%26%28%32%39%31%69%31%69%15%16%18%19%6%18%17%12%22%
 
 
12If the election for New Mexico Secretary of State were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Nora Espinoza? Or Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver?
524 Secretary Of State VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.4%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Nora Espinoza (R)34%34%33%25%33%35%38%29%36%39%26%35%82%69%63%17%6%10%5%75%30%8%68%59%22%7%3%62%46%33%35%9%9%33%28%40%58%25%35%33%36%38%28%33%30%38%30%36%36%24%38%29%36%33%38%32%39%76%28%33%40%29%
MaggieToulouse Oliver (D)54%53%55%53%46%55%59%49%57%52%57%54%10%14%23%55%86%80%92%12%54%84%21%32%58%87%90%30%41%58%50%74%80%57%56%48%33%62%55%53%46%53%60%52%57%53%57%55%50%48%56%60%51%57%52%51%49%18%56%52%36%62%
Undecided13%14%11%22%21%10%3%21%7%9%17%11%8%16%14%28%8%10%3%13%16%7%11%9%20%6%7%7%13%9%15%17%11%10%17%11%8%13%10%14%18%9%12%14%13%10%13%9%14%28%6%11%13%10%9%17%12%6%16%15%25%9%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Secretary Of State Voters100%49%51%17%22%36%26%39%61%50%39%11%11%14%13%10%12%24%14%25%35%37%20%19%31%15%11%10%17%37%11%11%6%33%32%35%26%67%42%58%21%34%45%35%38%27%27%32%39%30%70%31%69%15%15%18%20%6%18%17%11%24%
 
 
13Do you approve or disapprove of the job Susana Martinez is doing as Governor?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve36%35%37%26%31%39%44%29%42%39%32%39%63%52%49%28%26%25%18%57%35%22%59%50%31%18%15%43%55%36%51%24%4%32%33%46%53%31%39%35%47%39%28%35%34%41%35%38%37%29%40%38%35%36%41%34%39%72%29%41%43%30%
Disapprove49%52%47%54%52%48%45%53%47%48%55%37%21%32%34%60%56%63%78%27%50%68%31%34%49%73%76%50%37%52%35%66%85%54%52%40%28%56%47%50%35%44%62%47%50%49%54%44%49%50%49%49%50%44%43%56%43%23%55%44%37%57%
Not Sure14%13%16%20%16%13%11%18%12%13%13%24%16%16%17%12%18%13%4%16%16%10%10%16%20%9%9%8%9%12%14%10%11%14%16%14%19%13%14%15%18%18%11%18%16%10%12%18%14%21%11%13%15%20%16%10%18%5%16%15%20%13%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
 
14Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tom Udall is doing as United States Senator?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve52%50%54%40%51%56%58%46%57%52%56%42%29%39%31%53%67%64%81%35%51%70%36%40%53%76%71%40%48%57%46%53%85%51%52%53%39%57%52%52%54%50%53%53%50%54%56%46%53%44%56%50%54%42%50%53%52%24%48%54%53%58%
Disapprove29%37%22%25%26%31%34%26%32%29%25%43%55%38%49%26%22%15%10%45%32%13%55%41%24%6%13%56%32%27%33%22%8%30%28%30%39%27%33%27%29%27%31%26%32%31%23%34%32%20%34%28%30%46%23%38%26%66%40%24%35%27%
Not Sure18%12%24%35%22%13%8%28%11%19%19%15%16%23%20%21%11%21%8%20%17%16%9%19%23%19%16%4%20%16%21%25%7%19%20%17%22%16%16%21%17%24%16%21%18%16%21%20%16%36%10%22%17%12%27%9%22%10%12%22%13%15%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
 
15Do you approve or disapprove of the job Martin Heinrich is doing as United States Senator?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve46%45%46%38%37%50%54%37%52%44%50%39%26%38%21%42%62%56%70%33%42%61%32%36%44%65%66%36%36%52%45%55%68%48%43%45%37%49%47%44%43%43%49%47%38%52%51%42%43%35%51%49%44%42%42%45%43%21%43%42%40%53%
Disapprove28%33%23%20%28%28%35%24%31%30%23%38%49%34%49%27%23%15%11%41%33%14%53%37%22%13%14%48%35%24%29%22%22%25%28%31%38%26%32%26%27%27%30%24%31%31%25%29%31%17%34%28%28%32%27%40%24%62%36%29%30%28%
Not Sure26%21%31%42%35%22%11%38%17%26%28%23%24%28%30%31%15%29%19%26%25%26%15%27%34%23%20%16%29%24%26%22%9%26%29%24%26%25%21%30%30%30%21%29%31%16%24%28%25%48%16%23%28%26%31%15%34%17%21%29%30%18%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.