Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #23181
 
New Mexico Whites Split, But Clinton Carries the State With Overwhelming Support from Latino Voters;
Democrat Toulouse Oliver Well Positioned To Defeat Republican Espinoza in Secretary of State Contest:


Former New Mexico Governor Gary Johnson captures 14% of the vote for President of the United States in an election in New Mexico today, 10/03/16, 19 days till early voting begins, but that is not enough to derail Democrat Hillary Clinton, who defeats Donald Trump at this hour 46% to 33%, with Green Party candidate Jill Stein finishing 4th behind Johnson at 2%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KOB-TV, the Hubbard Broadcasting station in Albuquerque.

Trump carries white voters by a nominal 2 percentage points, 42% to 40%, but Clinton buries Trump among New Mexico's Latino voters, 52% to 21%. Clinton holds 83% of the Democratic base, compared to just 76% of Republican who stand with Trump. Johnson siphons 24% of the Independent vote, where Clinton manages 35% to Trump's 29%. Clinton leads among college-educated whites by 22 points. She leads among suburban women by 21 points. She leads among the most affluent voters by 15 points.

Half of Trump supporters say they are voting "for" Trump, half say they are voting "against" Clinton. By contrast, 66% of Clinton supporters are voting "for" Clinton; just 33% are voting "against" Trump. Of those who are voting for Johnson, 21% say they are voting "against" Trump, 5% are voting "against" Clinton, and 70% are voting "for" Johnson. Voters who say the economy is the most important issue facing the country back Clinton 49% to 31%. Voters focused on terrorism or immigration back Trump. Voters focused on education or the environment back Clinton.

In the contest to fill the open seat for New Mexico Secretary of State, Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver is well positioned to defeat Republican Nora Espinoza, 54% to 34%. Toulouse Oliver, the Bernalillo County Clerk, is backed by 57% of Latinos, 59% of seniors and 60% of college-educated voters. She gets 90% of the vote among "very liberal" voters. Espinoza gets 68% of the vote among "very conservative" voters, but trails Toulouse Oliver in every region of the state and among voters of all ages.

Context and Filtering: SurveyUSA interviewed 800 state of NM adults 09/28/16 through 10/02/16. Of the adults, 682 were registered to vote. Of the registered, 594 were determined by SurveyUSA to be likely to vote on or before 11/08/16 in the Presidential election; 524 were likely to vote in the Secretary of State contest. 5% of registered voters say they almost always vote in Presidential elections but will not vote in 2016 because they do not like any of the candidates. An offsetting 7% of voters tell SurveyUSA they almost never vote in Presidential election, but will vote in 2016 because they are uniquely drawn to one of the candidates. This research was conducted using blended sample, mixed mode. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (69% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (31% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on the display of their smartphone, tablet or other electronic device. Democrat Barack Obama defeated Republican Mitt Romney by 10 points in 2012 and defeated Republican John McCain by 15 points in 2008. In 2004 and 2000, Democrats John Kerry and Al Gore carried New Mexico by less than 1 percentage point. New Mexico's last elected Secretary of State, Republican Dianna Duran, resigned after pleading guilty to felony embezzlement and money laundering. The seat is open. Gary Johnson was elected Governor of New Mexico in 1994 and 1998. He ran as a Republican.
 
1New Mexico will elect a President on Tuesday, November 8. Please listen to these 5 statements and tell me which ONE statement best describes you: One: I always vote in Presidential elections, and will definitely vote in this year's presidential election. Two: I always vote in Presidential elections, but this year, I do not like the candidates, so I will not vote in the presidential election this year. Three: I'm not sure yet whether I will or will not vote this year. Four: I rarely vote in Presidential elections, but this year I will go out of my way to vote. Five: I don't vote in Presidential elections, and I won't vote this year.
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Always Do / Will This Year54925329690120189151210340282211566585704464130741501782041071051658155519221156603417617518614235922130710619323118619314114316220416138817337775879510933908854131
Always Do / Not This Year34221210116721135141452439518176551501671041014614102013201612423447914122233181775116103
Not Sure Yet 5321331917126361821231031049913013221331415124------212747371734172313341351612202826163757515291375
Rarely Do / Will This Year452618141313526181623632412877623146621263111235222185436152916131521158141812212319258109311211125
Don't / Won't This Year110100010100000000000000000------00100000010011001010000000001
Total682323359133161221168294388325270877710082689015582177240237122130216976659110233636636232226209163452266390154241264264225159181201250223459212470961051171344212211883145
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
2If the election for President of the United States were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? (names rotated) Republican Donald Trump? Democrat Hillary Clinton? Libertarian Gary Johnson? Green Party candidate Jill Stein? Or some other candidate?
594 Likely November VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Donald Trump (R)19395982630825655138126501759604113412111958147860392435476925615461768891831034873657166484655804514849144272734452933252741
Hillary Clinton (D)273119154386286871001731181213431152145105761571182163195605212361102538269389834020911215154791318610071748196781959318033474848231392671
Gary Johnson (L)844439302621755283344741019181217013491791833171319256175352622136025581635332133292230303747354916141416228211014
Jill Stein (G)107313424671100234100910063000600363019370375501634637513106304
Other14943263584722110413454523121052104373108433683123758311125121333
Undecided20516510411559110156130051006010112181315103117513112415111261147911150102802
Total594280314103133202155236358298234626887735672137811562012181141111868461531032236065361971931911463952373361222062462072081491571802171824111924028397104112351029966136
Composition of Likely November Voters100%47%53%17%22%34%26%40%60%50%39%10%12%15%12%10%12%23%14%26%34%37%19%19%32%14%10%9%17%38%10%11%6%34%33%33%25%68%41%58%21%36%43%37%37%26%28%32%39%31%69%32%68%14%16%18%19%6%17%17%11%23%
 
3Is yours more a vote FOR Donald Trump, or more a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
193 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 7.2 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Trump964650121735322967573182728228251543364128181222223314312732344445484322343436322124263817792670131314241216161321
Against Clinton96494714134624276968189313219517063257373220021324371130262941434535592538303433272328412769237314142121171791419
Not Sure10100100110010000001001000001000000110010010100101001010000001
Total19395982630825655138126501759604113412111958147860392435476925615461768891831034873657166484655804514849144272734452933252741
Composition of Trump Voters100%49%51%13%15%42%29%29%71%65%26%9%30%31%21%7%2%6%1%62%30%7%41%31%20%1%2%18%25%36%13%3%1%28%32%40%47%49%44%55%26%39%35%38%36%26%25%30%44%23%77%25%75%14%14%18%23%15%17%13%14%21%
 
4Do you vote for Trump enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
193 Trump VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 7.1 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically11355581017493727866832133632276460673765129251224243919213141395351525630403839392821334916972885181524251720171621
With Reservations7839391613321829495618521281470714920826301402102230640222035353931461833263126192520302850215710111020121381118
Not Sure21200110220020100002102100012000000211110020110201102020010102
Total19395982630825655138126501759604113412111958147860392435476925615461768891831034873657166484655804514849144272734452933252741
Composition of Trump Voters100%49%51%13%15%42%29%29%71%65%26%9%30%31%21%7%2%6%1%62%30%7%41%31%20%1%2%18%25%36%13%3%1%28%32%40%47%49%44%55%26%39%35%38%36%26%25%30%44%23%77%25%75%14%14%18%23%15%17%13%14%21%
 
5Is yours more a vote FOR Hillary Clinton or more a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
273 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 5.7 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Clinton1808298203956655912182752224372468666341359176439391025671924186065512713871104395780566449495362551255712224293132215192249
Against Trump91375417223022395235451117214213610837457133121112104271473124311270404615225029362223273322693457918171601620322
Not Sure20211012111010000111020100201100120111110122011011111000100001
Total273119154386286871001731181213431152145105761571182163195605212361102538269389834020911215154791318610071748196781959318033474848231392671
Composition of Clinton Voters100%43%57%14%23%31%32%37%63%43%44%12%1%4%2%8%17%39%28%5%26%68%6%12%36%23%20%4%13%40%9%14%9%35%34%31%15%79%42%57%21%30%49%33%39%28%29%31%38%29%71%34%66%12%17%18%18%1%11%14%9%26%
 
6Do you vote for Clinton enthusiastically? Or with reservations?
273 Clinton VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 6 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Enthusiastically16066941727595744116766816051526596263212191753383572463122218545748231266791355073505844425056381225510421292432014181448
With Reservations10648581934262753534148172531619441373858712382217411461113838273416784455152954314226322739376936701018231701721923
Not Sure75221133414111001212131250011212014115154035010313426211010131
Total273119154386286871001731181213431152145105761571182163195605212361102538269389834020911215154791318610071748196781959318033474848231392671
Composition of Clinton Voters100%43%57%14%23%31%32%37%63%43%44%12%1%4%2%8%17%39%28%5%26%68%6%12%36%23%20%4%13%40%9%14%9%35%34%31%15%79%42%57%21%30%49%33%39%28%29%31%38%29%71%34%66%12%17%18%18%1%11%14%9%26%
 
7How would you describe your vote: A vote FOR Gary Johnson? A vote AGAINST Donald Trump? Or a vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton?
84 Johnson VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 10 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Johnson5930292021135411722307171512812083512711289011517512222211684221381226211618251226202633223714119111191676
Against Trump1811774601178100123344031140655122803311432141171710311453999810125408317
Against Clinton52211122231020010102212101001111031113231121212121423010210112
Not Sure32110201203000020100210001002010001220212101203001230000002020
Total844439302621755283344741019181217013491791833171319256175352622136025581635332133292230303747354916141416228211014
Composition of Johnson Voters100%53%47%36%31%25%8%66%34%39%52%8%4%12%22%22%15%21%0%16%59%21%11%22%40%20%2%4%23%30%8%20%5%42%32%26%15%71%30%70%19%42%39%26%39%35%26%35%36%44%56%42%58%19%17%17%20%2%34%25%12%17%
 
8Is yours more a vote FOR Jill Stein? A vote AGAINST Hillary Clinton? Or a vote AGAINST Donald Trump?
10 Stein VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 30.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
For Stein65212313331100113100510023000200342015240154201323333301103203
Against Clinton33001011130000110000300030000300011003110110300111103101003001
Against Trump10100100110000001000100010000100010001010101000100101010000100
Not Sure0-------------------------------------------------------------
Total107313424671100234100910063000600363019370375501634637513106304
Composition of Stein Voters100%74%26%10%33%37%20%43%57%71%15%14%0%0%19%27%39%15%0%0%85%15%0%0%56%30%0%0%0%55%0%0%28%64%34%2%15%85%33%67%0%34%66%54%46%0%10%58%32%43%57%31%69%48%10%27%5%0%60%26%0%41%
 
9In past Presidential elections, have you more often voted for the Republican candidate? More often voted for the Democratic candidate? Or have you in the past split pretty much down the middle?
34 Protest VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 16.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Republican86213224424242000107012510012131004435252322120232617213040012
Democrat221398724157391010339411155201301547000141871471412811822659814121503619681
Split11000100101000100000100010001000000100100101000010101001001000
Not Sure21111012100200000000001000000210002102211011101112112100100010
Total34221210116721135141452439518176551501671041014614102013201612423447914122233181775116103
Composition of Protest Voters100%65%35%30%32%18%20%62%38%16%41%43%16%7%13%10%27%16%3%23%50%19%14%15%45%1%4%17%20%29%11%4%0%41%18%42%31%61%38%60%49%38%13%74%14%12%22%29%46%36%64%8%92%24%2%21%21%16%33%18%30%9%
 
10Which ONE of these 6 issues is the single most important issue facing the country today? Immigration? Terrorism? The Economy? National Security? Education? The environment? Or is some other issue most important?
628 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Immigration593227111020182138262761291232163211819221414225900000271220252927281616232616111415231742154414211128991010
Terrorism11048621118453629815645919211791019134036322827315701100000253052435547573636323550182239402486268515241723922142019
Economy2331041303063825893140117902627412426235827687385374677361900233000738468511669512940861006581737160846516883150233837471139341558
National Security633726141321162737302310108856164181920111621840006300192024173825381430192619181422282341164713916129811119
Education66303624171411412525329239617141453228742615120000660173019115123439203618261819232027402244111191111517513
Environment36211557121212242592031711310419130110159000003624732311222311211710788181125927531160108317
Other402416151096251516121232518910514191141239000000191011631152512121629651114122020172310485194910
Not Sure206143664911810202125612871410110000007671145148751343586812713173301843
Total6283023261131442081622573703032487774907859811428216321822411911620184635911023363663621119920515641524935613821825123021215316318923119543319443391971121194011310576140
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%48%52%18%23%33%26%41%59%48%39%12%12%14%12%10%13%23%13%26%35%36%19%19%33%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%34%32%33%26%68%41%58%23%36%41%39%36%26%28%32%39%31%69%31%69%15%16%18%19%6%18%17%12%22%
 
11OK, let us turn our attention now to the special election for New Mexico Secretary of State. Do you plan to vote in the election for Secretary of State? Or, do you plan to leave that portion of your ballot blank?
628 Likely POTUS Voters Plus ProtestersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Plan To Vote5242562688811518713420232226220459587468506512371132183194104961587758528919455573116916618013334421329410817322717719113513815919715736716436079809310432968857125
Plan To Leave Blank57273091414202334232212966614751427125112732310223742414151041223118221128101113161994812457881161412127
Not Sure47182817157831151823671043212617818910174341117521182091330143111231325118121315281819285910533588
Total6283023261131442081622573703032487774907859811428216321822411911620184635911023363663621119920515641524935613821825123021215316318923119543319443391971121194011310576140
Composition of Likely POTUS Voters Plus Protesters100%48%52%18%23%33%26%41%59%48%39%12%12%14%12%10%13%23%13%26%35%36%19%19%33%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%34%32%33%26%68%41%58%23%36%41%39%36%26%28%32%39%31%69%31%69%15%16%18%19%6%18%17%12%22%
 
12If the election for New Mexico Secretary of State were today, and you were filling out your ballot right now, who would you vote for? Republican Nora Espinoza? Or Democrat Maggie Toulouse Oliver?
524 Secretary Of State VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 4.4 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Nora Espinoza (R)17686902238655160116102532148514394134995616715735523241632053564672788674963966645958514157703813847129263130402427292337
MaggieToulouse Oliver (D)2831351484753104801001831361153261116285698651699163223191675216371132842259692874421411715749911359210971798798762079918445424751654452077
Undecided6635302024184432224356512914512217291512931544121781031628211144224119162825241318152844221848871612215141411
Total5242562688811518713420232226220459587468506512371132183194104961587758528919455573116916618013334421329410817322717719113513815919715736716436079809310432968857125
Composition of Secretary Of State Voters100%49%51%17%22%36%26%39%61%50%39%11%11%14%13%10%12%24%14%25%35%37%20%19%31%15%11%10%17%37%11%11%6%33%32%35%26%67%42%58%21%34%45%35%38%27%27%32%39%30%70%31%69%15%15%18%20%6%18%17%11%24%
 
13Do you approve or disapprove of the job Susana Martinez is doing as Governor?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve24711413335518775851611278634495240192338151018353726566171025608433161747495861421041357393739278666377916418381166354339523035483544
Disapprove336168169718410675155181156149321631284150986447119161384410670512940120224431125117844625312619654105163125113789788123112224103233434565581067523183
Not Sure994157272628185346433521121614816194293823122143965929964333629305736592743284635162136364752277219171224220181718
Total682323359133161221168294388325270877710082689015582177240237122130216976659110233636636232226209163452266390154241264264225159181201250223459212470961051171344212211883145
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
14Do you approve or disapprove of the job Tom Udall is doing as United States Senator?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve35716219553831249713622116815236233926366010067611221674452114734724521342935311181191116325813820483120140139113851019213298259106252405262701059634484
Disapprove2001217933426856751259567374338401820238807732675352593335632114370626263121871054564826872494269794415559141452445342849292939
Not Sure1254085463629148243625013122316151032735413911255018113223713173444536367341812657415641253840398145477811291029415261122
Total682323359133161221168294388325270877710082689015582177240237122130216976659110233636636232226209163452266390154241264264225159181201250223459212470961051171344212211883145
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%
 
15Do you approve or disapprove of the job Martin Heinrich is doing as United States Senator?
682 Registered VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+RaceParty AffiliationParty AffiliationIdeologyIssueAttend ChurchEvangelicalMilitary HousehoEducationIncomeUrbanityCell Phone / LanRegionSuburbanRuralStrong RIndependentHS EducaCollege
Credibility Interval: ± 3.8 pct pointsMaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+WhiteHispanicOtherStrong RRepublicIndy LeaIndependIndy LeaDemocratStrong DRepublicIndependDemocratVery ConSomewhatModerateSomewhatVery LibImmigratTerrorisEconomyNationalEducatioEnvironmNeverOccasionRegularlYesNoYesNoHigh SchSome Col4-year C< $40K$40K - $> $80KUrbanSuburbanRuralCell PhoLandlineBernalilRest of MenWomenMenWomenMenMenWomenMenWhites
Approve3111471655160110911102011431343420381729568657581021443947956244213912228372511297955922112617266104129125868491851097823310320840455257952503377
Disapprove19110883274561587211997613338344018202497279336548481292838551815859636561117841024264806370504559793715459132312847322644342541
Not Sure18069111555749181126885752019282421144516475961193573221393256161536167504211356116467355766926445763108724913125321845725342527
Total682323359133161221168294388325270877710082689015582177240237122130216976659110233636636232226209163452266390154241264264225159181201250223459212470961051171344212211883145
Composition of Registered Voters100%47%53%19%24%32%25%43%57%48%40%13%11%15%12%10%13%23%12%26%36%35%18%19%32%14%10%9%18%37%10%11%6%35%34%31%25%68%40%59%23%37%40%41%35%25%28%31%39%33%67%31%69%14%15%17%20%6%18%17%12%21%