Results of SurveyUSA Election Poll #14748
 
24 Hours Till Votes Are Counted, Missouri Is Still Tied, Could Go Either Way: McCain 48%, Obama 48%, in SurveyUSA's final tracking poll of Missouri, released Election Eve. No change since an identical SurveyUSA poll 1 week ago. Research, underwritten by KMOX radio in St. Louis and KCTV-TV in Kansas City, has McCain up by 25 points in the Ozarks, up by 22 points in the boot-heel, and up by 11 points along the Iowa border. Obama leads by 16 points in greater St. Louis and by 10 points in greater Kansas City. The more younger voters who turn-out, the better Obama's chances. The more older voters who turn-out, the better McCain's chances. McCain must win Missouri to be elected President. Obama would like to win Missouri, but has many paths to 270 electoral votes that do not include Missouri's 11. 800 adults interviewed 10/30/08 through 11/02/08 yielded 754 registered voters and 674 likely voters.
 
If the election for President were today, would you vote for ... (choices rotated) Republican John McCain? Democrat Barack Obama? Or one of the other candidates?
674 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeOwn a Gun?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.9%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoNorthernKansas CSouthwesSt. LouiSoutheas
McCain (R)48%49%47%38%53%48%52%47%50%46%53%50%53%11%****89%10%50%83%33%11%49%46%58%39%32%70%24%41%52%57%37%54%42%61%40%58%
Obama (D)48%46%49%55%43%49%44%48%47%49%43%47%43%83%****9%86%40%14%62%86%47%49%38%57%62%26%73%54%45%40%59%43%52%36%56%36%
Other2%3%2%3%3%1%3%3%2%3%2%2%2%2%****1%2%6%2%2%3%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%2%2%2%1%3%3%2%4%
Undecided2%2%2%4%1%2%1%2%2%2%2%2%1%4%****1%1%4%1%3%1%1%2%2%3%2%2%1%3%2%2%2%2%3%1%2%2%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%25%31%25%19%56%44%50%10%40%87%10%1%2%34%39%25%38%40%15%46%54%54%24%22%52%46%41%59%51%47%16%19%19%37%9%
 
 
Missouri voters will also elect a Governor. If the election for Governor were today, would you vote for (choices rotated) Republican Kenny Hulshof? Democrat Jay Nixon? Libertarian Andrew Finkenstadt? Or Constitution Party candidate Gregory Thompson?
674 Likely VotersAllGenderAge<50 / 50+AgeRaceParty AffiliationIdeologyCollege GradAttend Religious ServiceAbortionIncomeOwn a Gun?Region
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 3.8%MaleFemale18-3435-4950-6465+18-4950+< Obama> McCain> In BetWhiteBlackHispanicOtherRepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNoRegularlOccasionAlmost NPro-lifePro-choi< $50K> $50KYesNoNorthernKansas CSouthwesSt. LouiSoutheas
Kenny Hulshof (R)39%41%37%32%42%41%40%38%40%37%39%41%42%12%****77%8%35%70%24%8%40%37%49%30%23%59%17%33%43%45%32%47%33%48%32%46%
Jay Nixon (D)54%51%57%57%50%55%57%53%56%54%58%54%52%79%****18%88%52%24%70%86%53%56%45%65%69%35%78%59%52%49%61%47%58%47%61%47%
Andrew Finkenstadt (L)2%3%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%3%0%1%2%2%****1%1%3%2%1%3%2%1%1%1%3%1%2%2%1%1%2%2%1%1%2%3%
Gregory Thompson (CP)2%3%1%3%2%1%1%2%1%2%0%2%2%2%****2%0%4%2%2%1%2%1%2%1%2%3%1%2%1%2%2%0%2%2%2%1%
Undecided3%3%4%5%3%2%2%4%2%4%3%2%3%5%****1%3%6%3%3%2%2%4%3%3%4%3%2%4%3%3%3%3%6%2%2%4%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Likely Voters100%47%53%25%31%25%19%56%44%50%10%40%87%10%1%2%34%39%25%38%40%15%46%54%54%24%22%52%46%41%59%51%47%16%19%19%37%9%
 
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.