Results of SurveyUSA News Poll #12555
 
55% in Idaho Say U.S. Senator Larry Craig Should Resign: Less than 36 hours after the Capitol Hill newspaper Roll Call first broke the story of Larry Craig's arrest in an airport bathroom, 89% in Idaho are aware. SurveyUSA interviewed 600 Idaho adults the evening of 8/28/07 to measure initial reaction, including 475 registered voters who have heard the news accounts. Of Idaho voters, 55% today say Craig should resign. 34% say Craig should remain in office. 11% are not sure. Among Idaho Republicans, 45% say Craig should resign, 42% say Craig should remain in office. Democrats and Independents overwhelmingly say Craig should resign. There are many sides to a complex story, and as new facts come to light, opinions can be expected to change.
 
Job Approval for Craig down 26 Points to 34%: Among all Idaho adults, 34% today approve of Craig's Job Performance, 58% disapprove. When SurveyUSA last recorded Job Approval numbers for Craig and fellow U.S. Senator from Idaho Mike Crapo, in November 2006, Craig had a 60% Job Approval, 26 percentage points higher than his approval today. Crapo had a 61% Job Approval in November 2006, identical to his Job Approval today. Over 19 consecutive months of tracking Craig, his SurveyUSA Job Approval among Idaho Republicans ranged from 71% to 82%. Today, among Idaho Republicans Craig's approval is 46%. Among Idaho Conservatives, Craig's Job Approval for 19 months ranged between 70% and 80%. Today, among Conservatives, Craig's approval is at 51%.
 
Favorability Ratings of Possible Successors: If Craig resigns, Idaho Republican Governor C.L. Butch Otter would appoint a replacement, almost certainly a Republican. Among those Republicans who may be under consideration: Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch is today at "Plus 9"; U.S. Congressman Mike Simpson is today at "Plus 21"; Former Governor Dirk Kempthorne is at "Plus 13." "Plus" numbers are calculated by subtracting the percent of respondents who view a person un-favorably from the percent who view the person favorably. Risch is viewed favorably by 26% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 17%. 32% are neutral on Risch. 25% have no opinion of Risch. Simpson is viewed favorably by 40% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 19%. 25% of Idaho voters are neutral on Simpson. 17% have no opinion. Kempthorne is viewed favorably by 46% of Idaho voters, unfavorably by 33%. Former Congressman Larry LaRocco, a Democrat who may run for the U.S. Senate against Craig or Craig's successor in the 2008 General Election, is at "Plus 1" today, viewed favorably by 22%, unfavorably by 21%.
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Larry Craig is doing as United States Senator?
600 AdultsAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Approve34%32%36%35%31%37%46%15%24%51%25%16%35%42%
Disapprove58%62%54%53%63%58%46%80%66%41%67%78%61%46%
Not Sure8%5%10%11%7%6%8%4%10%8%8%6%4%11%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%50%50%33%40%27%46%22%27%36%34%11%89%10%
 
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mike Crapo is doing as United States Senator?
600 AdultsAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Approve61%62%61%52%65%67%73%45%55%72%62%32%67%51%
Disapprove26%29%23%27%25%27%18%46%26%18%27%45%25%33%
Not Sure13%9%16%21%11%6%10%9%19%10%12%23%8%16%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Adults100%50%50%33%40%27%46%22%27%36%34%11%89%10%
 
3Based on what you know now, should United States Senator Larry Craig remain in office? Or resign?
475 Registered Voters Familiar With StoriesAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.6%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Remain In Office34%32%36%41%28%35%42%20%28%43%28%26%34%**
Resign55%58%52%51%58%55%45%72%62%42%63%65%55%**
Not Sure11%10%12%8%13%10%13%8%11%15%10%9%11%**
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%0%
Composition of Registered Voters Familiar With Stories100%52%48%29%41%30%47%23%25%38%34%10%100%0%
 
4Is your opinion of Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch ... favorable? Unfavorable? Neutral? Or do you have no opinion of Lieutenant Governor Jim Risch?
537 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Favorable26%29%23%28%25%26%36%13%22%39%23%11%29%9%
Unfavorable17%21%12%12%20%18%12%26%21%11%15%39%17%13%
Neutral32%28%36%28%30%39%27%38%29%26%38%28%31%37%
No Opinion25%22%29%32%25%18%26%22%28%24%24%22%23%40%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%31%40%28%47%22%26%37%36%10%89%10%
 
5Is your opinion of US Congressman Mike Simpson ...
537 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Favorable40%42%38%32%42%45%50%26%35%53%39%23%42%24%
Unfavorable19%25%12%23%16%17%12%30%19%8%18%30%19%14%
Neutral25%20%31%23%25%28%22%29%26%20%35%21%24%37%
No Opinion17%14%19%22%17%10%16%15%20%19%9%27%15%25%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%31%40%28%47%22%26%37%36%10%89%10%
 
6Is your opinion of former Congressman Larry LaRocco ...
537 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Favorable22%25%19%13%23%30%16%37%23%10%31%37%23%12%
Unfavorable21%24%18%12%25%24%24%15%21%24%18%17%22%14%
Neutral33%31%35%36%30%34%31%29%36%35%31%28%31%44%
No Opinion24%20%28%39%22%12%29%19%21%31%19%19%24%29%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%31%40%28%47%22%26%37%36%10%89%10%
 
7Is your opinion of former Governor Dirk Kempthorne ...
537 Registered VotersAllGenderAgeParty AffiliationIdeologyFamiliar With St
Margin of Sampling Error: ± 4.3%MaleFemale18-3435-5455+RepublicDemocratIndependConservaModerateLiberalYesNo
Favorable46%48%44%46%48%43%64%25%35%58%39%31%47%43%
Unfavorable33%34%31%27%33%40%18%58%41%23%38%50%35%18%
Neutral17%14%20%20%16%16%13%13%22%13%20%17%15%34%
No Opinion4%3%5%7%3%2%6%3%2%6%3%1%3%5%
Total100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%100%
Composition of Registered Voters100%51%49%31%40%28%47%22%26%37%36%10%89%10%
 
** Too few respondents of this type were interviewed for this data to be meaningful.