Tomorrow is tax day, and SurveyUSA took the opportunity to check and see how many of you were expecting to get some money back. Polling in fifteen states conducted this past weekend shows a fairly narrow band of responses, with between half and two-thirds receiving refunds, about 1 in 4 owing money, and with those breaking even numbering in the single digits.

Of the states surveyed, Californians are the least likely to be getting money back this year — only 51% there expect a refund. Wisconsin is at the other end of the spectrum, with 66% there looking for a check in the mail.

Wisconsin respondents are also the least likely to owe money — only 19% say they do — and those in Missouri and Minnesota are the most likely to say they owe money, with 26% in each of those two states telling us so. Results for all states polled can be found here.