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Archive for May, 2008

20 May

80%: We’ll See $5 Gas Before $3 Gas — and Mass Transit not an Option for Many

80% of Americans tell SurveyUSA they expect to see gasoline selling for $5 per gallon before they’ll see it at $3 per gallon.
Just 18% say they expect the price to fall to $3 first. Those aged 18-34  are significantly more likely than others to take this view.
Nearly two-thirds of respondents with vehicles say they’ve thought […]

20 May

Running Mates: Pennsylvania Edition

Same 16 tickets, different state. In Pennsylvania, Obama starts with an 8-point lead over McCain, before we mention any possible running mates for either.

Click the graphic to bring up the interactive crosstabs. Research conducted for WCAU-TV in Philadelphia.

19 May

Running Mates: 8 Tickets, 16 Matchups, 17 States

SurveyUSA put together four potential running mates for John McCain, four others for Barack Obama, and ran the sixteen resulting matchups against one other in each of seventeen states. For good measure, we began by asking registered voters if they would vote for McCain or Obama, without naming any running mates; the VP matchups were […]

19 May

In Oregon, Obama Leads Clinton by 13

33 hours until votes are counted in Oregon’s Democratic primary for President of the United States, Illinois Senator Barack Obama leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton by 13 points, defeating her 55% to 42%, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted for KATU-TV, the ABC affiliate in Portland, Oregon.
Among men, Obama leads by 28 points; […]

16 May

What’s Next?

Tuesday is primary day in Kentucky and Oregon; SurveyUSA will have fresh numbers out on Monday in the Kentucky Democratic primaries for President and US Senate, and in Oregon’s presidential and gubernatorial primaries, as well as in Oregon’s 5th congressional district races and the Portland mayoral primary.
Also on tap for next week:

Missouri’s Republican primary for […]

16 May

Did You Miss Anything?

In the past week, SurveyUSA released new poll results on the following high-profile contests:
Presidential primaries in Kentucky and in Oregon.
Primaries for US Senate in Kentucky, Oregon, and New Mexico.
November head to head presidential matchups in Washington State.
Fresh data was also released on the race for mayor in Portland, Oregon, and on Carole Migden’s fight […]

09 May

NY-13 Constituents Say Fossella Should Stay in Office

61% of adults from New York’s 13th Congressional District say their U.S. Representative, Republican Vito Fossella, should remain in office, according to an exclusive SurveyUSA poll conducted for WABC-TV in New York. 32% say Fossella should resign.
Both Republicans and Democrats say Fossella should stay put: 66% of Republicans and 55% of Democrats say […]

07 May

Pollster Report Card: All Pollsters x All 2008 Contests, Median Error, Through 05/06/08

41 pollsters have a released a public poll in the 7 days before one of the 2008 presidential primaries. Here is a high-level analysis of pollster performance, sorted from lowest Median Error to highest (where lower is better, and zero is perfect).
A separate posting will be made with the same data sorted by Mean (average) […]

07 May

Pollster Report Card: All Pollsters x All 2008 Contests, Mean (Avg) Error, Through 05/06/08

41 pollsters have a released a public poll in the 7 days before one of the 2008 presidential primaries. Here is a high-level analysis of pollster performance, sorted from lowest Mean (Average) Error to highest (where lower is better, and zero is perfect).
A separate posting will be made with the same data sorted by Median […]

07 May

Election Scorecard: Indiana Governor, NC Governor

SurveyUSA also polled on 3 Gubernatorial primaries on Tuesday 05/06/08. Results follow. (click on the chart until legible).

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