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Archive for June, 2008

20 Jun

Quick Takes: Three Congressional Races

Three SurveyUSA Congressional Districts polled over the past few days; here’s a quick summary.
In Washington State’s 2nd Congressional District, Democrat Rick Larsen, first elected to the US House of Representatives eight years ago, defeats Republican Rick Bart by 18 points.
In Washington State’s 8th Congressional District, where Republican Dave Reichert and Democrat Darcy Burner are facing off […]

19 Jun

Iowa VP Matchups

Click the chart for crosstabs.

18 Jun

Great Lakes: Wisconsin VP Matchups

Barack Obama defeats John McCain in Wisconsin regardless of which of this month’s tested running mates are in the race:

Click the chart to see the crosstabs. Research conducted for KSTP-TV Minneapolis and WDIO-TV Duluth.

17 Jun

McCain Leads Obama By 12 in Kentucky

140 days until America elects its next President, Republican John McCain leads Barack Obama by 12 points in the Bluegrass State, according to this SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for WHAS-TV Louisville, WLEX-TV Lexington, and WCPO-TV Cincinnati.
Today, it’s McCain 53%, Obama 41%.

McCain leads by 16 points among men, by 8 among women.
Obama leads by 13 points […]

17 Jun

Great Lakes VP Pairings: In Minnesota, Too Close To Call

20 weeks to election day, with both parties’ nomination fights over, SurveyUSA moves to a likely voter model in its Presidential and Vice Presidential matchups. This month we start in the Great Lakes region, and in the state of Minnesota, where in most cases, the race is too close to call:

Margin of sampling error on […]

09 Jun

In Kentucky’s Third District, Democrat Yarmuth Well Ahead of Republican Northup in ‘06 Rematch

SurveyUSA’s exclusive polling for Louisville’s WHAS-TV shows incumbent Democrat John Yarmuth 17 points atop Republican Anne Northup in the US House race in Kentucky’s 3rd Congressional District. Northup held the seat for five terms, beginning in 1996; Yarmuth won the seat by a 3-point margin in November of 2006.
Today, it’s Yarmuth 57%, Northup 40%. Northup […]

05 Jun

Is Hillary more interested in what’s best for America? Or what’s best for Hillary Clinton?

Asked of registered voters (including Republicans and Independents):
“Is Hillary Clinton more interested in what’s best for America? Or more interested in what’s best for Hillary Clinton?”
Greater NYC (WABC-TV):

What’s best for America: 50%
What’s best for Hillary Clinton: 46%

Greater Philadelphia (WCAU-TV):

What’s best for America: 44%
What’s best for Hillary Clinton: 48%

Washington State (KING-TV):

What’s best for America: 39%
What’s […]

03 Jun

VP Roundup: New York

Obama wins New York by 10 points, without running mates in the equation. With running mates, results vary from Obama by 1 to Obama by 20.

Click the table for crosstabs. Research conducted for WABC-TV New York, WHEC-TV Rochester, and WNYT-TV Albany.

03 Jun

VP Watch: Show Me Missouri

On his own, Obama leads McCain by 2 points, within the margin of sampling error, in Missouri. When running mates are added to the mix, McCain takes the lead with any of Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Tim Pawlenty, or Chuck Hagel … unless Obama chooses John Edwards:

Click the table to see the crosstabs. Research conducted […]

03 Jun

Running Mate Watch: Massachusetts

SurveyUSA’s Massachusetts data on Vice Presidential running mates follows. Sans VP, Obama leads McCain by 5 points, outside of the survey’s 4.1 percentage point margin of sampling error. In certain pairings, McCain is able to close the gap to within the margin of error, but Obama retains the lead. Outcomes range from Obama winning by […]

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