In Ohio 15, Democrats Have Opportunity to Pick-Up Seat Held by Retiring Republican Pryce
In an election for U.S. House of Representatives today, six weeks until votes are counted, to fill the open seat in Ohio’s 15th Congressional District, Democrat Mary Jo Kilroy maintains a slight edge over Republican Steve Stivers, within the survey’s margin of sampling error, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for Roll Call, the newspaper of Capitol Hill, and WCMH-TV Columbus. Today, it’s Kilroy 47%, Stivers 42%, Independent Don Eckhart 5%, Libertarian Mark Noble 3%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll conducted 6 weeks ago, the Democrat Kilroy is flat, the Republican Stivers is down 2. The Democrat had led by 3, now leads by 5. This movement comes from two groups: voters age 50+, where there has been a 7-point swing to the Democrat; and whites, where there has been a 5-point swing to the Democrat.
Kilroy has a Net Favorability of Plus 5. Stivers has a Net Favorability of Plus 10. Deborah Pryce has a Net Favorability of Plus 21. John McCain has a Net Favorability of Plus 4. Barack Obama has a Net Favorability of Plus 3. 32% in the district approve of the job President Bush is doing. 14% approve of the job the US Congress is doing.
By 2:1, voters in the district say they prefer a candidate for Congress who says alternative sources of energy are key to the country’s future rather than a candidate who says that offshore drilling is key to the country’s energy independence. A majority in the district say that Congress should focus on the economy ahead of all other issues. Of those focused on the economy, Kilroy leads by 14 points. Of those focused on terrorism, Stivers leads 7:1.
Additional results of this poll can be found here .
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