Central FL Moves to McCain, But Men & Southeast FL Move to Obama, Putting 27 Electoral Votes Into Play, 21 Days Till Voting Begins
In an election for President of the United States in Florida today, 09/29/08, three weeks till early voting begins, Democrat Barack Obama and Republican John McCain tie, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WFLA-TV Tampa, WFOR-TV Miami, WKRG-TV Mobile-Pensacola, and WFTX-TV Cape Coral. McCain gets 48% today, Obama 47%, an outcome within the survey’s margin of sampling error. McCain’s nominal 1-point advantage may or may not have statistical significance; the contest should be reported as even. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 09/18/08, McCain has lost 11 points among Florida men. McCain had led by 10 among men, now trails by 1. Obama is up in Southeast Florida, which includes Miami and Fort Lauderdale, where Obama had led by 12, but now leads by 22. McCain is up in Central Florida, which includes Orlando, where McCain and Obama had been tied, but McCain now leads by 14. In Southwest Florida, which includes Tampa, McCain had let by 14, now leads by 4. There was important movement among college grads, where McCain had led by 10, now trails by 4; among lower-income voters, where Obama had led by 3, now leads by 10; and among voters older than John McCain, where McCain had led by 24, now leads by 8. SurveyUSA’s interactive tracking graphs , a SurveyUSA exclusive, allow you to track the votes of every demographic group.