In an election today for Oregon governor, 3 months until ballots are returned, Republican Chris Dudley and Democrat John Kitzhaber finish effectively even, according to this latest SurveyUSA poll conducted exclusively for KATU-TV in Portland.
Today, it’s Dudley 46%, Kitzhaber 44%, within the survey’s 4.2 percentage point margin of sampling error. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 7 weeks ago, Kitzhaber is up 4 points; Dudley is down 1. Men are moving to Kitzhaber: 7 weeks ago, Dudley, a former center for the Portland Trail Blazers, led by 14 among male voters. Today, Dudley trails by 4, an 18-point swing. Affluent voters are moving to Kitzhaber: 7 weeks ago, Dudley lead by 14 among Oregonians who earn more than $50,000 a year. Today, tied.
Kitzhaber, Governor of Oregon from 1995 to 2003, leads among the youngest and often least-reliable voters. Dudley leads among the oldest and often most-reliable voters. 84% of those who support the Tea Party vote Republican. 83% of those who oppose the Tea Party vote Democrat.
In an election today for United States Senator from Oregon, Incumbent Democrat Ron Wyden defeats Republican law school professor Jim Huffman, 53% to 35%. Compared to a SurveyUSA poll 7 weeks ago, Wyden now polls above 50% among men and women and among voters of all ages.