In CA, Democrats Cling to Ever-So-Slight Advantages In Governor, Senator, Lt Gov Contests; ‘Yes’ 7 Puffs Ahead of ‘No’ on Marijuana
In statewide elections in California today 10/04/10, as early voting begins, 3 high-profile contests are fiercely fought, separated by 5 or fewer points, according to this latest exclusive SurveyUSA polling for KABC-TV Los Angeles, KPIX-TV San Francisco, KGTV-TV San Diego, and KFSN-TV Fresno.In the race for US Senator, incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer clings today to a narrow 46% to 43% advantage. Compared to an identical SurveyUSA poll released 12 days ago, Boxer is down 3 points; Republican Carly Fiorina is flat. Seniors are moving toward Boxer; voters under age 50 are giving Fiorina another look.
In the race for the open Governor’s seat, Democrat Jerry Brown clings today to a narrow 47% to 43% advantage. Brown is up a nominal point since the previous poll; Republican Meg Whitman is flat. There is little internal movement among many demographic subgroups, with Hispanics being an exception, where Brown had led by 11 points, now leads by 24. Whitman has offsetting strength among the larger population of white voters, dulling the overall impact of Brown’s Hispanic gains.
In the race for Lieutenant Governor, Democrat Gavin Newsom today edges incumbent Republican Abel Maldonado 42% to 37%. In 4 SurveyUSA polls on this race, Newsom has led by 1, 5, 3, and again today by 5 points.
Proposition 19, which would legalize marijuana, today passes by a slim 7-point margin, 48% to 41%. 12 days ago, “Yes” led by 5 points. Support is rising and opposition declining among voters age 50 to 64, who today support Proposition 19 by a 12-point margin, up from 5 points 12 days ago, and among those 65+, where opposition has softened.