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If Democrat Inslee Vacates House Seat in WA01 to Run for Governor, Transplant Kucinich Starts at Material Disadvantage

SurveyUSA Breaking News - 05/31/11 09:18 AM

Incumbent Democratic Congressman Jay Inslee, from Washington State’s 1st Congressional District, is well liked and surrenders solid Democratic footing in that district were he to run for Governor, according to this latest KING5 News poll conducted by SurveyUSA.Dennis Kucinich, longtime Ohio Congressman and occasional Presidential aspirant, is one Democrat who might move to Washington State specifically to seek Inslee’s seat, if Inslee vacates. Today, 18 months from the next Congressional election:

* Inslee has a Plus 24 Favorability rating in the 1st District (56% Favorable, 32% Unfavorable).
* Kucinich has a Minus 25 Favorability rating in the 1st District (21% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable).
* Inslee starts with 40% entrenched support (voters who would support him no matter the opponent).
* Kucinich starts with 15% entrenched support (voters who would support him no matter the opponent).
* Kucinich starts with 38% entrenched opposition (voters who would oppose him no matter the opponent).

Given the choice between having a representative in Congress who shares one’s values or who has roots in the community, shared values is 3:1 preferred to roots. Yet at the time time, voters by 6:1 tell SurveyUSA that Kucinich would do a worse job representing them in Congress than someone who has lived in the District longer, indicative of the headwinds that an outsider, transplanted into the District for the purpose of running, would encounter.

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