In an election for President of the United States in Washington state today, 08/03/12, three months until votes are counted, Barack Obama defeats Mitt Romney 54% to 37%, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for KING-TV in Seattle. Obama’s 17-point lead today is identical to Obama’s 17 point defeat of John McCain in WA state in 2008. The Evergreen State’s 12 electoral votes are safely blue.
This is SurveyUSA’s first poll of likely voters in Washington state; previous 2012 polls have been of registered voters, and are not apples-to-apples comparable.
Obama today leads by 10 points among Independents and by 30 points among moderates. Obama leads by 12 points among men and by 22 points among women. Obama leads by 23 points among the youngest voters and by 7 points among the oldest voters.
In greater Seattle, Obama leads 2:1. In Eastern WA, Obama has a narrow advantage. In Western WA, Romney has a narrow advantage.
Cell-phone and home-phone respondents included in this research: SurveyUSA interviewed 700 state of Washington adults 08/01/12 and 08/02/12, using blended sample, mixed mode. Of the adults, 597 were registered to vote; of them, 524 were identified by SurveyUSA as being likely to vote in the November general election. Respondents reachable on a home telephone (71% of likely voters) were interviewed on their home telephones in the recorded voice of a professional announcer. Respondents not reachable on a home telephone (29% of likely voters) were shown a questionnaire on their smartphone, tablet, laptop or other electronic device.